shoe
Weather Weenie
Edwardsville, Illinois
Posts: 43 
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Post by shoe on Jun 23, 2024 17:49:07 GMT -6
Great meeting you and your son as well. Thank you for everything you do for so many.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Jun 24, 2024 7:29:47 GMT -6
There may be some mitigating factors that may keep us from cracking 100 tomorrow... no doubt about it. But the southwest wind is often an over performer. And since I posted 100 last week for Tuesday... I plan to keep it at this point to continue to drive home the message that the heat today..and especially tomorrow..will be more oppressive. If we hit 98 or 99... so be it.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 24, 2024 9:34:40 GMT -6
Twin Cities weather office is predicting at or near all time record high flooding exceeding 1965 flood levels. They've had a flood wall built since then so that should help reduce damage. But, as we know, that just squirts the high water out on to some other lesser protected land.
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Post by REB on Jun 24, 2024 10:28:34 GMT -6
Chris is in Glenn’s time slot this week!
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jun 24, 2024 11:03:49 GMT -6
Tomorrow night into Wednesday morning is starting to look like a good area wide soaker
NBM has widespread 1" + totals across the area
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 24, 2024 11:15:20 GMT -6
Tomorrow night into Wednesday morning is starting to look like a good area wide soaker NBM has widespread 1" + totals across the area I sure hope so...the proof is in the pudding, as they say. I'm interested to see if the models showing scattered airmass storms developing tomorrow afternoon are legit or not. Some even have a complex dropping down the river valley earlier in the day. Guess we'll see *shrug* |
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Post by Jeffmw on Jun 24, 2024 12:12:22 GMT -6
The KTVi afternoon forecast didn’t show much rain for the metro area Tuesday.
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Post by bdgwx on Jun 24, 2024 13:48:32 GMT -6
Twin Cities weather office is predicting at or near all time record high flooding exceeding 1965 flood levels. They've had a flood wall built since then so that should help reduce damage. But, as we know, that just squirts the high water out on to some other lesser protected land. Looking at the video it appears the Rapidan Dam in southern MN is in danger of "failure". I put "failure" in quotes here because in looking at the live video it appears to have already failed to some extent. www.youtube.com/watch?v=eChQ9b8kOmA |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 24, 2024 14:51:30 GMT -6
Twin Cities weather office is predicting at or near all time record high flooding exceeding 1965 flood levels. They've had a flood wall built since then so that should help reduce damage. But, as we know, that just squirts the high water out on to some other lesser protected land. Looking at the video it appears the Rapidan Dam in southern MN is in danger of "failure". I put "failure" in quotes here because in looking at the live video it appears to have already failed to some extent. www.youtube.com/watch?v=eChQ9b8kOmAI was watching the same video and agree with your assessment. Sioux City also had a bridge (I couldn't tell whether it was a railroad or a roadway bridge) wash out. All that water is heading this way. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 24, 2024 15:18:10 GMT -6
Two more chances for "heavy rain" via NWS...let's see how many hundreths that amounts to, lol
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Post by bdgwx on Jun 24, 2024 15:44:49 GMT -6
The Euro thinks those storms in southern MN are going to eventually sag into our area tomorrow providing some relief from the heat. I don't know...while I am skeptical that we'll hit 100 F tomorrow I'm also skeptical that it will be because of that.
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Post by yypc on Jun 24, 2024 19:13:36 GMT -6
Dew point finally broke 70
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Post by ajd446 on Jun 24, 2024 19:39:05 GMT -6
Dp 73, now this is the oppressive st louis heat we all expect.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jun 24, 2024 20:22:43 GMT -6
Dp 73, now this is the oppressive st louis heat we all expect. Didn't feel too bad outside today |
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Post by ajd446 on Jun 24, 2024 20:31:17 GMT -6
Yes, it did not feel bad until about 4 p.m. however I think the moisture was higher in my area on the west side, versus the metro east as the heat built in west to east.
But I could be wrong.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 24, 2024 20:55:33 GMT -6
The breeze has been the real MVP with this heat...and shade goes a long way with keeping cool. That sun will get ya quick this time of year.
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Post by House Springs ~ DeerKiller ~ on Jun 24, 2024 21:18:58 GMT -6
The 1st week sucked 🥵
I'm already more tolerant...
Yes the wind helps tremendously!
A cold beverage while floating in cool water helps also!
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Post by yypc on Jun 25, 2024 5:05:58 GMT -6
83 low?! Impressive, but might not hold if we get rain tonight.
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Post by bdgwx on Jun 25, 2024 7:31:38 GMT -6
83 low?! Impressive, but might not hold if we get rain tonight. The record is currently 82 F from 1988. Like you said rain may be the deciding factor on whether a new record occurs. My skepticism of reaching 100 F is waning. We're already at 89 F at 8 am and with no clouds and this close to the summer solstice the temperature will climb rapidly and could go superadiatatic briefly. I noticed that both the 5 minute METARs and aircraft soundings stopped coming in last night. I wonder if there is a minor data disruption occurring. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 25, 2024 9:05:53 GMT -6
Yeah, the clouds are hanging tough to the north and I'm assuming mid-level capping will keep a lid on afternoon convection. Roasting in progress...
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Post by cardsnweather on Jun 25, 2024 9:09:19 GMT -6
Yeah, the clouds are hanging tough to the north and I'm assuming mid-level capping will keep a lid on afternoon convection. Roasting in progress... Seeing some signs of bubbling just S of main line. Could continue to sag further S but most likely won’t get here. |
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Post by ajd446 on Jun 25, 2024 9:49:25 GMT -6
Winds picking up humidity is dropping.
I'm wondering if we hit 103 today with this deep mixing and break the record
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Post by Snowman99 on Jun 25, 2024 10:02:29 GMT -6
96/72/105 at 11 am at Lambert.Humidity dropping like a rock.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jun 25, 2024 10:05:23 GMT -6
96/72/105 at 11 am at Lambert.Humidity dropping like a rock. 93/73/108. I need a mister for this dry air |
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Post by ajd446 on Jun 25, 2024 10:08:48 GMT -6
I'm working outside and in Ofallon missouri it feels much drier in the last hour.
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Post by yypc on Jun 25, 2024 11:01:21 GMT -6
98/70 at noon
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jun 25, 2024 11:07:10 GMT -6
Seems like models don't have a good handle on the convection up the River. Perhaps it will sag south and if nothing else throw an outflow boundary which could spawn new storms?
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Post by bdgwx on Jun 25, 2024 11:17:02 GMT -6
5 minute METARs and aircraft soundings are back. The airport hit 98 F before noon. An airplane recorded 23.5 @ 850 mb temperatures at 9:40am.
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Post by bdgwx on Jun 25, 2024 11:26:19 GMT -6
Seems like models don't have a good handle on the convection up the River. Perhaps it will sag south and if nothing else throw an outflow boundary which could spawn new storms? Speaking of outflow boundaries...The dewpoint depression at 850mb is 20 C with unidirectional winds, weak shear, and warm upper air temperatures. Like I was hinting at a couple days ago I wouldn't totally eliminate the possibility that the gusty phase of the outflow boundaries won't be on the warmer side. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 25, 2024 11:28:46 GMT -6
OFB near SPI headed our way...should get some storms going at least down to 70 this afternoon
HRRR looks very active this evening and overnight
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