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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 12, 2023 8:16:04 GMT -6
Tomorrow looks like another messy setup with a cluster moving through mid-morning with potential for some clearing and destabilization ahead of the next round during the evening hours. That second round could bring a severe threat if we clear out during the afternoon.
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Post by REB on Aug 12, 2023 8:16:07 GMT -6
.48" here. Glad you got some rain Brighton!
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Aug 12, 2023 8:21:49 GMT -6
Picked up a measly 0.15” last night
Lots of leaves in the pool so must of been some decent winds
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 12, 2023 8:26:14 GMT -6
Longer range models are looking pretty toasty later this month as the blocking pattern breaks down and a trof develops along the W Coast which causes the ridge to balloon across the Central US. We may not be done with excessive heat if that verifies...
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Post by amstilost on Aug 12, 2023 9:13:00 GMT -6
I really like the Code Red Alerts. Initial call at 4:51am....Gust front went through at 5:06, first rain drops approx 5:20 or so. The cells that went over me at 7 miles west of De Soto had weakened considerably, thankfully. The cells on radar took on an almost due north/south orientation with gaps between them when they went overhead. I guess I was under one of those gaps, again thankfully. I ended up with .4375" of rain.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Aug 12, 2023 9:22:06 GMT -6
Longer range models are looking pretty toasty later this month as the blocking pattern breaks down and a trof develops along the W Coast which causes the ridge to balloon across the Central US. We may not be done with excessive heat if that verifies... I’ve been saying we are going to pay for this. No way will it let us off this easy! |
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Post by dschreib on Aug 12, 2023 10:03:31 GMT -6
.65", according to the Davis on the swing set.
Lots of thunder, according to the anxious dog.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Aug 12, 2023 11:27:01 GMT -6
high winds and torrential rains imby in the early morning. Will be doing some yard cleanup shortly. Sunday afternoon and overnight looks like our next best chance of severe weather. Wow, what a strange August. Definitely seems like more severe events around in August than what we've seen earlier this Spring. Then GFS depicts a dry and hot pattern setting up until late August, before the NW flow re-establishes itself in time for September.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 12, 2023 11:46:04 GMT -6
85/75* a bit muggy today
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 12, 2023 13:48:40 GMT -6
A few streamers on radar with the front moving through...could kick off a few little popcorn cells with peak heating
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Post by Jeffmw on Aug 12, 2023 19:13:59 GMT -6
Guess everyone is taking a break tonight.
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Post by ComoEsJn on Aug 12, 2023 21:30:07 GMT -6
Looks like some humidity relief early-mid week. Even if it's short-lived, looking forward to it
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 12, 2023 21:33:18 GMT -6
Looks like some humidity relief early-mid week. Even if it's short-lived, looking forward to it Tuesday looks like a top 10 day |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 13, 2023 7:11:42 GMT -6
3k NAM develops a bow echo that tracks down I-70 into the Metro early this afternoon...the HRRR looks a bit more muted in intensity and organization. Looks like we will see a bit of broken sunshine today with some destabilization and a strong storm threat this afternoon.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Aug 13, 2023 7:56:37 GMT -6
3k NAM develops a bow echo that tracks down I-70 into the Metro early this afternoon...the HRRR looks a bit more muted in intensity and organization. Looks like we will see a bit of broken sunshine today with some destabilization and a strong storm threat this afternoon. The hrrr really struggled with the rain Friday night ……. It basically had us getting nothing….. I’m curious to see how it does today |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Aug 13, 2023 8:44:32 GMT -6
Trying to mow my wet and tall grass before it rains.i thought it wldve dried out more yesterday, although im not sure but i guess it cldve rained lastnight.
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Post by amstilost on Aug 13, 2023 9:12:57 GMT -6
Quick view of radar is showing a split that looks to affect me and maybe a few others. I mowed last evening and the ground was still pretty wet. I, too, would have thought it would have dried more during the day. I had to do it because the dew in the morning is so heavy and adding another day or two would have been a 2 cut situation. I can't believe how fast the grass has been growing the last 2 weeks.
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Post by pbc12871 on Aug 13, 2023 9:17:15 GMT -6
Textbook split right up 44.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 13, 2023 9:23:25 GMT -6
Trying to mow my wet and tall grass before it rains.i thought it wldve dried out more yesterday, although im not sure but i guess it cldve rained lastnight. The humidity never got much below 80% here yesterday...it's still damp out IMBY too but the mowing needs to be done. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 13, 2023 9:24:30 GMT -6
3k NAM develops a bow echo that tracks down I-70 into the Metro early this afternoon...the HRRR looks a bit more muted in intensity and organization. Looks like we will see a bit of broken sunshine today with some destabilization and a strong storm threat this afternoon. The hrrr really struggled with the rain Friday night ……. It basically had us getting nothing….. I’m curious to see how it does today Looks more realistic than the 3km NAM to me...we're not going to see enough destabilization for a full blown bow echo like it shows. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 13, 2023 9:27:15 GMT -6
The 12z 3kNAM looks way less organized now and too slow with the eastward progression...it's struggling big time
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Post by ajd446 on Aug 13, 2023 9:39:32 GMT -6
Well, we definately need to miss this tain today in st.peters I hope. I have been mowing every 4 days, and my yard is still a swamp in the low spots. Plus mosquitos and lawn fungus is horrible this year.
Im ready for a bit of a dry weather pattern going into the fall.
Im at 11.22 inches for the summer which most of that came since the 4th of July.
Its been a very wierd season here.
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Post by eurekakim on Aug 13, 2023 11:13:39 GMT -6
Chris said this earlier precip would split and then if clearing or even partial clearing happened, it would/could get things popping late this afternoon into the evening. Correct me if I’m wrong but there were 2 “parts” to this today and this evening.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Aug 13, 2023 11:30:13 GMT -6
We’re going to torch the last couple weeks of this month.
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Aug 13, 2023 12:28:18 GMT -6
Sun has been peaking out here.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Aug 13, 2023 12:38:58 GMT -6
We’re going to torch the last couple weeks of this month. Ya….death ridge  |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Aug 13, 2023 12:45:39 GMT -6
We’re going to torch the last couple weeks of this month. Ya….death ridge This usually opens up the tropics also |
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Post by tedrick65 on Aug 13, 2023 13:45:22 GMT -6
Ya….death ridge This usually opens up the tropics also I thought we needed 600dm to qualify for "death ridge" status 😁 |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 13, 2023 14:00:54 GMT -6
Looks like the severe threat is pretty much nil at this point...widespread clouds and precip isn't allowing for much if any destabilization. CAMs have shifted tonight's activity way south...the "heavy rain" threat doesn't look to materialize once again except for the southern counties maybe.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 13, 2023 14:02:54 GMT -6
~598dm...close enough
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