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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 6, 2023 19:07:24 GMT -6
Yeah, that has my attention. It is always a bit of a mystery sorting out how these types of events play out... But i'm getting more concerned by the minute about a high wind event evolving late tonight. Seems like a pretty textbook setup |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 6, 2023 19:21:00 GMT -6
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 6, 2023 19:27:28 GMT -6
That cell is a monster.
Warned for 3” hail and tops over 60k feet
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 6, 2023 19:41:17 GMT -6
Very strong couplet on the storm now
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 6, 2023 19:41:19 GMT -6
That cell is a monster. Warned for 3” hail and tops over 60k feet Very strong and tight mid-level rotation too. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 6, 2023 19:42:00 GMT -6
920'd  |
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Post by John G -west belleville on May 6, 2023 19:45:14 GMT -6
Looks to skirt north on that map. Not sure it won't propagate further south |
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Post by John G -west belleville on May 6, 2023 19:45:40 GMT -6
920'd The power of AI |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 6, 2023 19:53:43 GMT -6
Looks to skirt north on that map. Not sure it won't propagate further south Corfidi vectors and thickness contours strongly suggest that it will turn SE down the river valley. Might be a glancing blow for the Metro but the N counties are definitely in the thick of it. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 6, 2023 19:57:50 GMT -6
Warning on that storm has confirmed tornado wording now...not surprising
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Post by mosue56 on May 6, 2023 20:18:49 GMT -6
Maybe 3a, BRTN?
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on May 6, 2023 20:24:54 GMT -6
Ya it definitely seems to favor the southern route toward metro the last few frames. Going to be interesting to see what happens. We've seen this many times. Those right turning storms love STL.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on May 6, 2023 20:53:54 GMT -6
Doesn't have much forward push to it. Is it going to get torn apart before it gets here?
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Post by dgl1004-Moberly, MO on May 6, 2023 20:57:03 GMT -6
Phone has gone off a couple times and sirens just went off in Moberly but it looks like it’s going to miss us to the north.
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Post by Chris Higgins on May 6, 2023 21:06:31 GMT -6
The southeast push has stalled.. looks more easterly over last 15 mins or so.
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Post by cozpregon on May 6, 2023 21:23:09 GMT -6
55000’+ tops on that
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on May 6, 2023 23:02:44 GMT -6
Yep, that's a no go...
STL pushed it away. Boooooo
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 7, 2023 2:34:29 GMT -6
Missed by 100+ miles...unreal
POPs every day except Tuesday next week...let's see how many times we get missed. I don't think we even got a tenth yesterday, it barely wet the ground and then the wind blew hard for hours. This pattern seems more droughty by the minute.
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savunma
Weather Weenie
Granite City
Posts: 72 
Snowfall Events: 11/16/14 - 1.5"
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Post by savunma on May 7, 2023 6:55:41 GMT -6
Dry as a damn bone.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 7, 2023 7:51:06 GMT -6
Outflow boundary from last night's storms across IL is oozing into the Metro from the NE...looks like a weak MCV lifting towards the region from OK may interact with that later this afternoon and fire some scattered storms. Models have 4-5000j/kg CAPE but relatively weak bulk shear so pulse severe storms are possible. Short-range models favor the IL side for these.
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Post by weatherj on May 7, 2023 8:24:14 GMT -6
Outflow boundary from last night's storms across IL is oozing into the Metro from the NE...looks like a weak MCV lifting towards the region from OK may interact with that later this afternoon and fire some scattered storms. Models have 4-5000j/kg CAPE but relatively weak bulk shear so pulse severe storms are possible. Short-range models favor the IL side for these. Outflow boundary came through here about 7:45 am with a very cool east-northeast breeze and low clouds moving west-southwest. There wasn't a drop of rain till about 9:00 am when a brief moderate shower popped. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 7, 2023 9:42:14 GMT -6
SPC mesoanalysis showing 4000j/kg+ SBCAPE and near-zero CINH across the river valley...storms should have no problem developing early this afternoon ahead of the approaching MCV and along/near the remnant boundaries. It looks like there's a boundary draped across Central MO that links up with the one across W/Central IL, with moisture pooling between them.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 7, 2023 10:33:22 GMT -6
New Day 1 outlook  |
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Post by John G -west belleville on May 7, 2023 11:40:20 GMT -6
It's May 7th and i can't recall the last time we had meaningful rain. Not a good sign for the year...
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 7, 2023 12:04:14 GMT -6
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Post by tedrick65 on May 7, 2023 12:06:06 GMT -6
It's May 7th and i can't recall the last time we had meaningful rain. Not a good sign for the year... 2.32" on April 14-16. 3 weeks. I've had 0.03" of random sprinkles this month. |
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on May 7, 2023 12:06:33 GMT -6
Fun
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Post by tedrick65 on May 7, 2023 12:12:37 GMT -6
Who has the ecowitt weather station? Going to bite the bullet and install a complete weather station on the house. I have the WittBoy with the GW2001 base station. One of my daughters gave it to me for Christmas after doing a ton of research. I'm not sure I can give a good assessment. It looks like the piezometer works pretty good for precipitation. However, where I am is so sheltered it's hard for me to give a good assessment on wind readings. It seems like it's pretty low even for where I am. It doesn't do the calculation between absolute and relative pressure automatically. I've also had a lot of trouble trying to get it hooked up to weather underground, but that may be a firewall issue on my network. |
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Post by Snowman99 on May 7, 2023 12:24:37 GMT -6
Happy birthday Reb!
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on May 7, 2023 12:31:22 GMT -6
Happy birthday Reb!
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