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Post by Snowman99 on Sept 24, 2022 6:33:30 GMT -6
screw apple tv. Wish danny mac had been able to call it for stl fans
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Sept 24, 2022 7:29:08 GMT -6
screw apple tv. Wish danny mac had been able to call it for stl fans Edmonds would have probably said he was texting with Albert and ruined the call anyway. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Sept 24, 2022 7:50:03 GMT -6
I have to be honest. I didn't think he'd make it to 700 when the season started. I thought there was no chance. I thought he would hit 10 to maybe 15 home runs for the season.
Never doubt the machine
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Post by jmg378s on Sept 24, 2022 9:52:13 GMT -6
Pujols is only 6 RBIs behind Ruth for 2nd all time by the way. Just saying...
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Post by Snowman99 on Sept 24, 2022 10:07:59 GMT -6
wonder if he'll get into the HOF . lol
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Sept 24, 2022 10:18:00 GMT -6
Pujols is only 6 RBIs behind Ruth for 2nd all time by the way. Just saying... I could be misremembering, but I believe RBI didn’t become an official stat until Ruth had been in the league for a few years. Still remarkable. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Sept 24, 2022 10:19:29 GMT -6
Wagons west on the 12z gfs for hurricane Ian.
Gulf states are now in play.
Gfs gets it to borderline CAT 5 status before weakening some near landfall.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Sept 24, 2022 10:21:47 GMT -6
Definitely a westward trend in the models with Ian...
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Post by jmg378s on Sept 24, 2022 10:25:49 GMT -6
Yeah, Ian missing the CONUS trough has been on the table in the ensembles.
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Post by jmg378s on Sept 24, 2022 10:48:33 GMT -6
SHIPS data indicates shear may relax to 3-9kts while Ian passes through the reservoir of very high ocean heat content. If the low and mid level vortex get aligned it may explode in intensity very quickly.
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Post by amstilost on Sept 24, 2022 11:15:57 GMT -6
I have not followed much weather lately, but I was not expecting the warmth that hit me in the face walking outside. It could have always been in the forecast but I just 'assumed' after the beautiful, cool mornings we have had that it would continue. My mistake. Great job Mr. Pujols. I seen the headlines this morning and quickly looked for numerous video highlights. Hmmmm, I agree with Snowman. What a sham/shame that TV Sports has become. Granted, we pulled the plug on cable and local TV, 7 and 3-1/2 years ago, respectively. (And I use that term very loosely  ) Oh well, I guess I am just belly-aching so I will stop............ For the time being  |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Sept 24, 2022 12:00:11 GMT -6
screw apple tv. Wish danny mac had been able to call it for stl fans Edmonds would have probably said he was texting with Albert and ruined the call anyway. Lol. Also, “See, he didn’t try to do too much there, just stick the bat out, blah blah blah.” |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Sept 24, 2022 12:10:09 GMT -6
Big shift in the GFS with the ingestion of extra upper air data. Pretty sure the extra balloons have started going up.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Sept 24, 2022 12:11:21 GMT -6
As for Albert... Im thrilled, but it stinks that it wasnt at home and it is extra crummy that it could only be seen on AppleTV. What a waste.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Sept 24, 2022 12:18:39 GMT -6
Big jump westward on the 12z GEFS for Ian. Be interesting to see what the EPS shows. They've been further east with Ian than the GEFS  |
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Post by jeepers on Sept 24, 2022 13:02:03 GMT -6
NHS still showing it hitting the west side of FL.
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Post by jeepers on Sept 24, 2022 13:02:14 GMT -6
sorry, fat fingers
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Post by Snowman99 on Sept 24, 2022 13:16:25 GMT -6
recon cant even find a good center. Going to have to wait for it to consolidate for the models to get a good handle on it
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Sept 24, 2022 18:09:30 GMT -6
A little Pojols home run trivia.
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Post by packrat on Sept 25, 2022 10:30:11 GMT -6
I am highly invested in Ian. I’m supposed to fly out of STL at 6:30 Friday night to Orlando to leave on a cruise out of Port Canaveral Saturday afternoon. It’s going to be very, very close on a lot of counts.
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Post by Snowman99 on Sept 25, 2022 10:41:07 GMT -6
gfs came east some
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Sept 25, 2022 12:32:06 GMT -6
Euro remains east. Amazing consistency from it. A Tampa landfall probably is the highest end impact scenario from a strength perspective. Otherwise, the models with the further west track show Ian peaking around CAT 4 before rapidly weakening before landfall. Biggest risk is probably if Ian stalls over Florida and produces prolific rainfall/flooding. |
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Post by jeepers on Sept 25, 2022 12:34:42 GMT -6
My daughter’s boyfriend just started a Phd program In Gainesville. Moved there a month ago from Ohio.
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modracer
Weather Intern
MASCOUTAH, Illinois
Posts: 835
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Post by modracer on Sept 25, 2022 16:33:37 GMT -6
We were at the Farm this weekend down in Vienna, buttoning up things for next weekends opener.
On the way home this afternoon, on I24, I57 and I64, we must have seen 50-75 utility trucks heading south to stage for Ian’s landfall.
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Post by jmg378s on Sept 25, 2022 18:13:20 GMT -6
Starting to see sustained deep convection within the core of Ian and it appears some of it's earlier structural problems are beginning to be resolved with pressures falling. SHIPS diagnostics is forecasting very low shear, 2-5kts, for the next 36 hours while with storm moves through some of the deepest warmest waters of the Atlantic, OHC approaching 200 kj/cm2. The storm appears to be poised for rapid intensification, let's see what happens.
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Post by REB on Sept 26, 2022 5:17:34 GMT -6
Any thoughts on weather in Atlanta and Savannah before 1 p.m. on Thursday?
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Post by Chris Higgins on Sept 26, 2022 7:00:35 GMT -6
Reb, I expect it to be breezy but dry in Atlanta Thursday. Increasing winds are limely there because of the tight pressure gradient between fall high pressure to the north and the approaching Ian.
Savannah may well get into some of the outerbands Thursday... possibly as early as Thursday morning. Gusty winds and some severe weather cannot be ruled out in those bands.
Safe travels!
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Post by Chris Higgins on Sept 26, 2022 7:57:26 GMT -6
It is really astonishing to see the enormous difference in solutions between the NAM and the NAM3k. It just highlights the small incredibly complex dynamics in play.
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Post by jmg378s on Sept 26, 2022 11:27:50 GMT -6
The 12z GFS would almost be comical if it wasn't so serious. But it has Ian paralleling the FL coast, taking a hard turn right into Tampa then stalling in just the right spot to keep pushing water into the bay for like a full day while it spins down.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Sept 26, 2022 11:31:05 GMT -6
The 12z GFS would almost be comical if it wasn't so serious. But it has Ian paralleling the FL coast, taking a hard turn right into Tampa then stalling in just the right spot to keep pushing water into the bay for like a full day while it spins down. There could be some serious beach erosion/flooding if Ian misses the trof. A lot of models show it putting on the brakes on approach. |
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) Oh well, I guess I am just belly-aching so I will stop............
