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Post by John G -west belleville on Sept 22, 2022 9:41:53 GMT -6
I know. It came out of nowhere. Two gust fronts merged literally as they reached the Mississippi river and 64 corridor in far NW st Clair county. Within minutes this huge storm blew up and radar echo tops jumped 20-25K feet in 10 mins. So there was definitely some major lift for a little bit. Would love to see that radar archive. Didn't catch it quick enough on rs |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Sept 22, 2022 10:05:50 GMT -6
What's the meta on a good radar site these days that's available on normal web browsers (not on a phone)? Weatherunderground is always down and while the NWS did finally make a 'light' version of their radar it's not like the old one I remember.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Sept 22, 2022 12:35:17 GMT -6
Wyoming had some last week. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Sept 22, 2022 13:20:15 GMT -6
Models are suggesting Fiona could deepen to around 940mb at landfall in Nova Scotia after weakening some before the transition to extra/sub-tropical structure.
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Post by bdgwx on Sept 22, 2022 13:56:06 GMT -6
Models are suggesting Fiona could deepen to around 940mb at landfall in Nova Scotia after weakening some before the transition to extra/sub-tropical structure. Storm scale models (HWRF, HMON, HAFS, COAMPS) have Fiona going sub-930 just prior to landfall. I believe the record for a Canadian landfall is 948 mb by Ginny 1963. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Sept 22, 2022 14:17:57 GMT -6
Models are suggesting Fiona could deepen to around 940mb at landfall in Nova Scotia after weakening some before the transition to extra/sub-tropical structure. Storm scale models (HWRF, HMON, HAFS, COAMPS) have Fiona going sub-930 just prior to landfall. I believe the record for a Canadian landfall is 948 mb by Ginny 1963. Yikes |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Sept 22, 2022 14:18:51 GMT -6
Man, you talk about top 10 weather days coming up! Pretty much every day next week. Hopefully everyone can get out an enjoy.
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Post by jmg378s on Sept 22, 2022 14:30:01 GMT -6
ECMWF taking Fiona down to 920mb during the extratropical transition prior to landfall.
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Post by bdgwx on Sept 22, 2022 14:45:07 GMT -6
Storm scale models (HWRF, HMON, HAFS, COAMPS) have Fiona going sub-930 just prior to landfall. I believe the record for a Canadian landfall is 948 mb by Ginny 1963. Yikes They're all yikes worthy, but HWRF is a mega yikes. I plugged this wind field into the IKE calculator and got 180 TJ which tops Sandy's 140 TJ.  |
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Post by ComoEsJn on Sept 22, 2022 14:58:18 GMT -6
Its September 22nd and the dew point is 43. You could tell me that my dog is uglier than my mom and it wouldn't ruin my mood right now.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Sept 22, 2022 19:25:11 GMT -6
They're all yikes worthy, but HWRF is a mega yikes. I plugged this wind field into the IKE calculator and got 180 TJ which tops Sandy's 140 TJ. That would set the N Atlantic pressure record, no? |
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Post by cozpregon on Sept 22, 2022 20:23:23 GMT -6
I may be incorrect- but I believe Fiona is phasing with the ex typhoon which hit Alaska
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Post by bdgwx on Sept 22, 2022 21:15:32 GMT -6
Oh, yeah, I think you're right. Nice catch.
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Raja72
Weather Weenie
Waterloo, IL
Posts: 47 
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Post by Raja72 on Sept 23, 2022 6:47:21 GMT -6
Good morning to the Corner! This is the second time this year I have had to ask “what is happening in my back yard”. I am supposed to board a flight to Fort Myers on Thursday, 9/29 for my brother’s wedding, which is scheduled for 10/1 (likely to be postponed to 10/3). Looking at the models and formation of Tropical Depression Nine, I have to make a decision on travel plans. It seems the probability of a “storm” is high, but very uncertain at this time. I am leaning towards canceling my plans. Perhaps I should suggest a “change in venue”? The Midwest is nice this time of year. 😉. Any thoughts?
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Post by Snowman99 on Sept 23, 2022 7:23:12 GMT -6
currently, ft meyers is not someplace you wanna be next week That could change of course, but it looks like that area will be in the thick of Hermine
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Sept 23, 2022 7:36:38 GMT -6
00z euro showing potential for Florida to take a hit followed by another major landfall around Virginia.
Trends are definitely honing in on Florida.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Sept 23, 2022 7:39:45 GMT -6
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Sept 23, 2022 7:51:01 GMT -6
Hurricane models are a bit further west than the gfs/euro/gem.
Would probably allow more time for strengthening and miss most land prior to entering the GOM.
HWRF and HMON both show a high end CAT 3 or low end CAT 4 heading towards the mainland.
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Raja72
Weather Weenie
Waterloo, IL
Posts: 47
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Post by Raja72 on Sept 23, 2022 7:54:29 GMT -6
currently, ft meyers is not someplace you wanna be next week That could change of course, but it looks like that area will be in the thick of Hermine Many thanks, snowman! That appears to be the case. Really appreciate your response. |
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Raja72
Weather Weenie
Waterloo, IL
Posts: 47
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Post by Raja72 on Sept 23, 2022 7:59:19 GMT -6
Thanks to everyone for their expertise! I know there is a long way to go and things can and will change as to an exact tract, but I will likely err to the side of caution. Safety is my main concern. With that said, as a weather geek, the prospect of experiencing something like this naws at my wild side 😜. You guys rock!
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Post by ComoEsJn on Sept 23, 2022 8:15:32 GMT -6
does the newest potential placement of the hurricane = temps not warming up quite as much here in the midwest a week or so from now? or nah? just judging it based on some maps this morning on temp & dew point forecasts.
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Post by Jeffmw on Sept 23, 2022 10:39:39 GMT -6
If I’m looking at some of these models right some 40s for lows are popping up.
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Post by ajd446 on Sept 23, 2022 13:40:19 GMT -6
Nice light rain in st.peters look like a damp fall afternoon for folks along and north of the Missouri River
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Post by Snowman99 on Sept 23, 2022 14:41:45 GMT -6
Well Florida will be hit by Ian if it gets hit..Hermine formed way out east in the Atlantic lol
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Sept 23, 2022 15:13:18 GMT -6
Beautiful Fall day.
Ahhhh, lol
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Post by jmg378s on Sept 23, 2022 21:16:45 GMT -6
Pujols hits number 20 on the season and 699 for career.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Sept 23, 2022 21:28:17 GMT -6
Pujols hits number 20 on the season and 699 for career. 700! Lets gooo!
Wish he would have done it at home, but oh well
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Post by jmg378s on Sept 23, 2022 21:38:22 GMT -6
Pujols hits number 20 on the season and 699 for career. 700! Lets gooo!
Wish he would have done it at home, but oh well
Wow! Yeah at home would have been better. The Dodger fans are loving every bit of though. Pujols is legit helping the Cards win games in the second half of the season. Way more productive than I was expecting. |
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Post by bdgwx on Sept 23, 2022 22:40:16 GMT -6
I have to be honest. I didn't think he'd make it to 700 when the season started.
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Post by mosue56 on Sept 24, 2022 6:24:40 GMT -6
He hit 700 the next at bat afterwards! Did anyone see it on Apple TV?
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