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Post by bdgwx on Jun 13, 2022 13:56:54 GMT -6
100F is still very much on the table. Remember, that maximums are often throttled more by the dry adiabatic lapse rate and dewpoint in the planetary boundary layer than by the duration of the solar insolation. Even a couple of hours of 600+ W/m2 or irradiance is enough to get us to this threshold.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jun 13, 2022 14:15:08 GMT -6
bdg I know you were asking about this Perfect. This will be awesome. They provide a reasonable default, but then allow us to manually set it as well. I asked them on Twitter if there was a way to manually enter storm motion (I couldn’t find one) and they confirmed there is not. So looks like we’re stuck with the algorithm. |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Jun 13, 2022 14:18:50 GMT -6
Thank you... Amazing page. Almost 101F now It's insane outside. Here in East Belleville it's like 99/76 DP. Disgusting |
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Post by bdgwx on Jun 13, 2022 14:28:57 GMT -6
Perfect. This will be awesome. They provide a reasonable default, but then allow us to manually set it as well. I asked them on Twitter if there was a way to manually enter storm motion (I couldn’t find one) and they confirmed there is not. So looks like we’re stuck with the algorithm. Oh. I misread that tweet. By radar operator they mean the actual official radar operator. This is still WAY better than having nothing at all. |
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Post by bdgwx on Jun 13, 2022 14:38:12 GMT -6
Regional power prices are a little on the high side. It's about $500 per MWh here in St. Louis.  |
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Post by cardsnweather on Jun 13, 2022 14:43:01 GMT -6
HI 115°. June 13.
I can’t remember the last time we passed 115° HI.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 13, 2022 15:19:47 GMT -6
bdg I know you were asking about this But where's the fix for the missing lightning?? |
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Jun 13, 2022 16:13:53 GMT -6
Is it me or is that an exceptionally large heat advisory/warning area? I swear in the past the heat warnings were around major cities, not blanketing parts of states.
I'm melting taking the dog out, the only saving grace is the blowtorch winds.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 13, 2022 16:55:39 GMT -6
Topped out at 96/116 in Brighton
Bring on November...
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 13, 2022 17:00:04 GMT -6
Looks like a station or two in Kansas approached 110* today.
I'm not liking the drying trends heading into the rest of the month and possibly into July. Of course it could drastically change, but the !AccuNotWx! 90 day only shows one day with measurable rainfall over the next month. Let's hope that's wrong...
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jun 13, 2022 17:49:49 GMT -6
I think a tornado is going to hit within half a mile of me.
Damn it’s loud in Chicago at the moment.
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Post by scmhack on Jun 13, 2022 17:53:08 GMT -6
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Post by mosue56 on Jun 13, 2022 18:01:47 GMT -6
My cousin was driving to CO and in western KS his car thermometer showed 108 late this pm.
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Post by John G -west belleville on Jun 13, 2022 18:08:50 GMT -6
Easy to see the northeastern part of the ridge being run by severe weather, looks like a doozy over Chicago.
At the pool and in the shade it isn't too bad outside with the breeze
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Post by bdgwx on Jun 13, 2022 18:13:39 GMT -6
100F will do it for the high at the airport.
I got to 96 at my house which is consistent with the -4 difference I see typically see on hot days.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jun 13, 2022 18:16:48 GMT -6
I think a tornado is going to hit within half a mile of me. Damn it’s loud in Chicago at the moment. That cell over Chicago had me very worried for a minute. It was in a ripe environment and looked like it was going to drop something significant. Thankfully it looks like it stayed outflow dominant. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jun 13, 2022 18:24:53 GMT -6
I think a tornado is going to hit within half a mile of me. Damn it’s loud in Chicago at the moment. That cell over Chicago had me very worried for a minute. It was in a ripe environment and looked like it was going to drop something significant. Thankfully it looks like it stayed outflow dominant. Very intense lightning and some hail, but got off easy compared to some others around me. Looks like some 90mph winds in that little pocket/hook like structure. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Jun 13, 2022 18:58:27 GMT -6
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 13, 2022 19:10:40 GMT -6
Wife is at a conference in Columbia, MO. We were on the phone,she had the Weather Channel on at the same time. She said they were giving a blow by blow of the Chicago situation and said they were pretty animated about it.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 13, 2022 20:10:55 GMT -6
Some NASTY bow echoes moving across N IN and NW OH...~100mph velocity returns headed into Ft. Wayne
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 13, 2022 20:13:04 GMT -6
I hope no one has plans to visit Yellowstone in the near future. They've had excessive amounts of rain causing landslides and washed out roads. They have evacuated the entire park and closed all the entrances. Gardiner, MT, at the north entrance, is cut off and is without electricity and water.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jun 13, 2022 20:16:20 GMT -6
Regional power prices are a little on the high side. It's about $500 per MWh here in St. Louis. As long as the grid holds, they were threatening hours long rolling blackouts back in April on some news sources if the entire eastern and central portions of the country entered into a prolonged heat spell/wave of this nature or stronger that lasts for days and according to the GEFS that's exactly what's in store, and possibly well past Independence Day. Will be upper 90s and 100s everyday until then? No, probably not. But not much going below 90 degrees either for anything more than a day or 2 (likely this weekend, then that's it). |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jun 13, 2022 20:18:18 GMT -6
Looks like a station or two in Kansas approached 110* today. I'm not liking the drying trends heading into the rest of the month and possibly into July. Of course it could drastically change, but the !AccuNotWx! 90 day only shows one day with measurable rainfall over the next month. Let's hope that's wrong... I agree with you on this. We’ve seen a pretty steady trend now of what looked like wetter patterns setting up, only to dry up. The overall flow just has the look of drying out. I don’t like it either. |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jun 13, 2022 20:20:10 GMT -6
100F will do it for the high at the airport. I got to 96 at my house which is consistent with the -4 difference I see typically see on hot days. Guess our 100+ drought is over. Somewhere it said we hit it last year, but it didn't reach 100*F at Belleville/Scott, AFB or at least I don't think so. Probably didn't hit in Belleville today either, but with 110 HI Plus it really doesn't matter much other than papers numbers. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jun 13, 2022 21:10:23 GMT -6
Looks like a station or two in Kansas approached 110* today. I'm not liking the drying trends heading into the rest of the month and possibly into July. Of course it could drastically change, but the !AccuNotWx! 90 day only shows one day with measurable rainfall over the next month. Let's hope that's wrong... I agree with you on this. We’ve seen a pretty steady trend now of what looked like wetter patterns setting up, only to dry up. The overall flow just has the look of drying out. I don’t like it either. TWC forecast certainly aren’t perfect, but seeing nothing but 90+ and no rain for the next 10 days is not what you want to see in June  |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jun 13, 2022 21:11:22 GMT -6
Some NASTY bow echoes moving across N IN and NW OH...~100mph velocity returns headed into Ft. Wayne |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jun 13, 2022 21:48:20 GMT -6
Major league derecho in progress for sure...
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Post by cardsnweather on Jun 14, 2022 6:21:10 GMT -6
Dew points look like they’ll be much better next week. Even though it looks like we may reach triple digits M, T and W.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jun 14, 2022 6:35:45 GMT -6
Yep prolonged heat wave is just starting. With a few minor and brief "cooldowns" I would fully expect this to last for quite some time.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jun 14, 2022 6:35:55 GMT -6
89 on my9 thermometer at 7 AM. Yuck!
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