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Post by unclesam6 on Dec 10, 2019 20:44:59 GMT -6
 Rabbit frost sent in from a viewer |
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Post by unclesam6 on Dec 10, 2019 20:47:58 GMT -6
NAM Pretty potent with the Saturday clipper
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 10, 2019 21:41:36 GMT -6
00z icon looks good for STL Sunday-Monday.
Good start to the night’s runs
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Post by TK on Dec 10, 2019 21:41:52 GMT -6
Chris laying down the gauntlet with possible accumulating snow Monday with 2-3 more snow possibilities going into Christmas...
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 10, 2019 21:58:38 GMT -6
Chris laying down the gauntlet with possible accumulating snow Monday with 2-3 more snow possibilities going into Christmas... where was this? |
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 10, 2019 22:06:10 GMT -6
GFS has snow here by noon Sunday
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Post by TK on Dec 10, 2019 22:06:27 GMT -6
Glen laying down the gauntlet with possible accumulating snow Monday with 2-3 more snow possibilities going into Christmas... where was this? His evening TV slot |
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Post by TK on Dec 10, 2019 22:07:40 GMT -6
Sorry - I always get Chris and Glen mixed up...lol |
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Post by amstilost on Dec 10, 2019 22:08:20 GMT -6
Chris laying down the gauntlet with possible accumulating snow Monday with 2-3 more snow possibilities going into Christmas... And the Birthday gifts just keep coming... There will be no getting any snowblowers out of mothball status, leave them be. There will be no "trying to get ahead of the system" for all you in the snow/ice removal business, let the trucks sit. I will do my part....the blade will stay off the 4 wheeler until the majority of the snow/ice has fallen.  |
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Post by TK on Dec 10, 2019 22:09:11 GMT -6
Hey Snowman BTW what are your thoughts on the next 2 weeks?
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 10, 2019 22:09:30 GMT -6
Sorry - I always get Chris and Glen mixed up...lol Ahh..ok, Gotchya, lol. |
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Post by TK on Dec 10, 2019 22:11:57 GMT -6
Chris laying down the gauntlet with possible accumulating snow Monday with 2-3 more snow possibilities going into Christmas... Sorry Chris - I see Glen and I always have you on my brain |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 10, 2019 22:13:01 GMT -6
Gfs still amps it up. Snow Sunday followed by rain a day later though makes zero sense.
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 10, 2019 22:13:12 GMT -6
Hey Snowman BTW what are your thoughts on the next 2 weeks? I really am not sure. Looks like a chance or 2 of snow, especially next week. I think the GFS is overbaking the arctic airmass later next week. I believe Christmas will be a brown one, and maybe a mild one. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 10, 2019 22:18:38 GMT -6
Gfs still amps it up. Snow Sunday followed by rain a day later though makes zero sense. That would be a nice hit of WAA snow. We know those come ahead of schedule, warmer than modeled, and can pack a punch. |
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Post by TK on Dec 10, 2019 22:19:04 GMT -6
I am a little concerned as I have to travel to Cali on business all next week and eventually have to drive 2 hours through Donner Pass-Sierra Nevada Mountains from Sacramento to Reno next Wed evening. With this active pattern I could be in trouble....
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 10, 2019 22:20:41 GMT -6
Gfs still amps it up. Snow Sunday followed by rain a day later though makes zero sense. Until its ensembles agree with it the operational run is an outlier |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 10, 2019 22:21:09 GMT -6
Gfs still amps it up. Snow Sunday followed by rain a day later though makes zero sense. I mean, the storm bombs from 1006mb to 982mb in 24 hours without a strong high in place. I’m not saying the rapid intensity increase is right, but if it is, then it should have no problem punching the warm air north. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 10, 2019 22:25:24 GMT -6
I am a little concerned as I have to travel to Cali on business all next week and eventually have to drive 2 hours through Donner Pass-Sierra Nevada Mountains from Sacramento to Reno next Wed evening. With this active pattern I could be in trouble.... Hope you have some nice plump people with ya. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 10, 2019 22:25:31 GMT -6
Gfs still amps it up. Snow Sunday followed by rain a day later though makes zero sense. I mean, the storm bombs from 1006mb to 982mb in 24 hours without a strong high in place. I’m not saying the rapid intensity increase is right, but if it is, then it should have no problem punching the warm air north. It will bomb out eventually, just a matter of where. The pattern and teleconnections suggest something that would intensify further east, along/off the east coast |
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Post by TK on Dec 10, 2019 22:43:43 GMT -6
I am a little concerned as I have to travel to Cali on business all next week and eventually have to drive 2 hours through Donner Pass-Sierra Nevada Mountains from Sacramento to Reno next Wed evening. With this active pattern I could be in trouble.... Hope you have some nice plump people with ya. That's funny but also a little scary |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 10, 2019 22:48:52 GMT -6
GEM putting together a nice run for the area
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 10, 2019 22:51:40 GMT -6
I think you'll be ok tk..just keep an eye on the sky and pay attention to the forecast.
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Post by cozpregon on Dec 10, 2019 22:53:38 GMT -6
I think the Saturday system may surprise... wouldn't call it a clipper coming out of the Pac NW- but that looks rather strong. Wouldn't doubt to see a couple inches somewhere close to here  NAM has a pretty tight system coming thru too  The late weekend/early next week system obviously looks like it coming to 2 parts... the WAA and then the main system. I would think some snow with WAA then have to wait and see how it interacts with polar low coming down  GFS just gets sucked in |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 10, 2019 22:59:29 GMT -6
GFS seems more aggressive with the PV coming down than the other models. That doesn't really fit the pattern but anything is possible in the context of a single system
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 10, 2019 22:59:49 GMT -6
00z GEFS looks great.
The individual members are beginning to diverge into two groups though, so a long way to go.
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Post by cozpregon on Dec 10, 2019 23:05:31 GMT -6
GFS seems more aggressive with the PV coming down than the other models. That doesn't really fit the pattern but anything is possible in the context of a single system Yes... steeper than it's past runs too |
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Post by cozpregon on Dec 10, 2019 23:22:43 GMT -6
Another thing which I think may help for Saturday... sounding doesn't look like much- but the lapse rates ahead of the system are impressive especially into the growth zone- looks like we should see some quick development as it approaches.  |
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Post by unclesam6 on Dec 11, 2019 0:22:37 GMT -6
EURO coming in suppressed with the initial wave of WAA
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Post by unclesam6 on Dec 11, 2019 0:26:21 GMT -6
Much better run than 12z tho. Moisture doesn't get zapped.
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