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Post by amstilost on Dec 3, 2019 12:53:38 GMT -6
That was like 4 inches imby. Lets bring that 14 inch area up to the metro. I had 8" in De Soto with that storm. I hope the 12z GFS doesn't pull off a coup with this run. It seems to be just outside of my area anyway, then bombs out to our east. Then the storm on it's heels bombs up to our south and east again. I could handle 10" of snow on the ground from two back to back storms. It will be my birthday for the first one. My wishes are in. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 3, 2019 13:00:25 GMT -6
12z euro is not biting on the early week storm. It does have the artic air nearby and a storm later next week.
I think we will cash in before Christmas.
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 3, 2019 13:56:28 GMT -6
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 3, 2019 14:16:58 GMT -6
12z euro is not biting on the early week storm. It does have the artic air nearby and a storm later next week. I think we will cash in before Christmas. Way way out there but that system in the 10 day window looks ripe. I’m keeping an eye on that one |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 3, 2019 14:23:28 GMT -6
12z euro is not biting on the early week storm. It does have the artic air nearby and a storm later next week. I think we will cash in before Christmas. Way way out there but that system in the 10 day window looks ripe. I’m keeping an eye on that one I’ll call an ice storm for the late week period. Retreating high, those are tough in STL |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 3, 2019 14:35:41 GMT -6
Way way out there but that system in the 10 day window looks ripe. I’m keeping an eye on that one I’ll call an ice storm for the late week period. Retreating high, those are tough in STL Ensembles have been hinting at a good setup around that time so we’ll have to see how it plays out. The amount of cold air sloshing around is a good sign |
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 3, 2019 15:10:20 GMT -6
There's an article in these tweets from Forbes, that is interesting
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 3, 2019 15:16:12 GMT -6
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Post by Sparkman - Wildwood, Mo on Dec 3, 2019 15:37:47 GMT -6
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Post by amstilost on Dec 3, 2019 15:51:26 GMT -6
Amazingly beautiful. But I didn't see any 'hamster' flakes......they must be pretty rare.  |
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Post by dschreib on Dec 3, 2019 16:42:35 GMT -6
On a much, much worse note--our oldest had to deal with the first loss of a student, and she doesn't even student-teach until next semester. She's doing field work at Scott City Elementary, where two students were killed over the weekend when the car they were in was swept away by floodwaters. Today wasn't going to be an easy day for her...or anyone at the school.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Dec 3, 2019 18:53:05 GMT -6
On a much, much worse note--our oldest had to deal with the first loss of a student, and she doesn't even student-teach until next semester. She's doing field work at Scott City Elementary, where two students were killed over the weekend when the car they were in was swept away by floodwaters. Today wasn't going to be an easy day for her...or anyone at the school. I heard abt that flash flood. Rescue units from Cape girardeau were involved. Wish the outcome was different. |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Dec 3, 2019 19:02:12 GMT -6
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Dec 3, 2019 19:07:52 GMT -6
I thought there were 3 killed, but after reading the full article, i realized the third fatality was a separate incident where his truck was found upside down in the water.
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Post by cozpregon on Dec 3, 2019 21:41:41 GMT -6
That's looking better  |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 3, 2019 21:52:10 GMT -6
Things actually look loaded heading into next week. I didn’t think we would be saying that until the end of the month at the earliest. That’s big league cold air in Canada and it looks like it wants to play ball.
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Dec 3, 2019 22:03:43 GMT -6
Agreed. Next week and the following week both look fun!! It’s early but things are looking good for a late fall winter storm in my opinion. Not too often you have that much cold air diving down in December with what looks to be an active jet stream with maybe even a southern storm in play.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 3, 2019 22:15:48 GMT -6
00z gfs not going to give us early week snow, but the bigger picture looks good still.
Patience will be rewarded
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Post by Chris Higgins on Dec 4, 2019 1:03:23 GMT -6
00z gfs not going to give us early week snow, but the bigger picture looks good still. Patience will be rewarded Patience is rewarded with long stretches of cold dry weather around here...that usually end with heavy rain and mud lol. All kidding aside, the pattern seems to be trending toward favorable. |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Dec 4, 2019 7:52:21 GMT -6
On a much, much worse note--our oldest had to deal with the first loss of a student, and she doesn't even student-teach until next semester. She's doing field work at Scott City Elementary, where two students were killed over the weekend when the car they were in was swept away by floodwaters. Today wasn't going to be an easy day for her...or anyone at the school. So sorry to hear this..... not the kind of on the job training you want |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 4, 2019 9:58:12 GMT -6
I'm surprised the models are painting the cold and potential winter weather in the mid and long range...the teleconnections don't look great. The effects of the strongly positive NAO are pretty apparent in the orientation and movement of the arctic airmass.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 4, 2019 10:05:36 GMT -6
I'm surprised the models are painting the cold and potential winter weather in the mid and long range...the teleconnections don't look great. They do look better as we head into mid month. The AO and NAO will start to trend negative which is good. ECMWF has them hovering around neutral after that so the cold shots may be quick in and quick out rather than persistent |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Dec 4, 2019 10:07:27 GMT -6
On a much, much worse note--our oldest had to deal with the first loss of a student, and she doesn't even student-teach until next semester. She's doing field work at Scott City Elementary, where two students were killed over the weekend when the car they were in was swept away by floodwaters. Today wasn't going to be an easy day for her...or anyone at the school. That is a terrible story. My heart goes out to those families and your daughter. Those hills in southeast Missouri are just terrible in heavy rain with the danger posed by low water crossings. If the NWS issued warnings every time one of those flooded they would be under warnings 2/3rds of the year. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 4, 2019 10:07:57 GMT -6
Also worth noting the SSW event is on the weaker side, so it is likely influencing some of the trends the next 2 weeks, but it may fail to drive substantial winter weather in January
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Post by Chris Higgins on Dec 4, 2019 10:08:49 GMT -6
I'm surprised the models are painting the cold and potential winter weather in the mid and long range...the teleconnections don't look great. The effects of the strongly positive NAO are pretty apparent in the orientation and movement of the arctic airmass. I expect quick hitting shots of cold air. The key will be getting the timing/phasing to workout. We may end up with a situation that is more "return flow" based on the tail end of the arctic air... bitter cold...snow...then ice..then rain and mud. Time will tell. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 4, 2019 10:12:41 GMT -6
12z GFS with a nice backside snow and wind event Monday night
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Post by unclesam6 on Dec 4, 2019 10:12:44 GMT -6
12z gfs starting to show some light
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 4, 2019 10:13:02 GMT -6
So close to a boomer
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 4, 2019 10:15:22 GMT -6
That’s a kaboom for Chicago. Hopefully we can get the models to trend towards a solution similar to this |
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Post by ndolan387 on Dec 4, 2019 10:18:07 GMT -6
That’s a kaboom for Chicago. Hopefully we can get the models to trend towards a solution similar to this 850mb low looks to be near/just south of Ste. Genevieve on that run which is decent. |
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