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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 30, 2019 15:34:53 GMT -6
Wind advisory midnight to 6pm Sunday. We need wind for about a week, along with dry weather to dry this crap out.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Nov 30, 2019 16:44:10 GMT -6
I think the 9/10th is a time period to watch. Definitely looks like a familiar setup for a strong secondary low to develop after the lead wave brings the cold air down
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Post by Tilawn on Nov 30, 2019 16:54:13 GMT -6
Pretty darn foggy here at the house this afternoon.
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Post by REB on Nov 30, 2019 16:55:03 GMT -6
My gosh it’s foggy.
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Post by bdgwx on Nov 30, 2019 17:08:09 GMT -6
So where are we at for the year on precip and how does 2019 now rank overall? As of 5pm on the 30th the airport is at 52.14". The highest YTD value is 53.41" from 2008.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Nov 30, 2019 17:35:59 GMT -6
Foggy here, too. Visibility down to a few hundred feet
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 30, 2019 19:06:46 GMT -6
Got real foggy here for a short while, now looks like it's going away
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Post by Tilawn on Nov 30, 2019 20:04:26 GMT -6
Got real foggy here for a short while, now looks like it's going away Clear skies here and no fog about 30 minutes ago when I looked out last time
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Post by ndolan387 on Nov 30, 2019 21:50:59 GMT -6
The WAA wasn't as strong as predicted. The fog played a role in us not seeing the 60s! Important to note regarding bigger low pressure systems this upcoming winter if there's a trend.
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Post by jeffcobeeman on Nov 30, 2019 22:41:32 GMT -6
They posted a wind advisory at Branson from 9pm tonight until 6 pm tomorrow. Gusts 40 to 50 mph. I decided to head back this afternoon instead of risking a white knuckle drive back here in the early morning. The drive down Wednesday wasn't bad. I had waited until late morning before we left here, and winds had died down a lot. Glad we came back today since they have also posted the wind advisory for here too. The 5th wheel is nice except pulling it in the wind is no fun. It looks like we had a lot of rain here based on the gravel washed out of my diveway. It poured down there last night, and when we left this afternoon they had 4 gates open in the dam. It rained until 8 am, then quickly cleared and got to almost 70 degrees.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Nov 30, 2019 23:56:05 GMT -6
Meremac river down this way sure jumped up the last few hours. Wonder if it will go into flood stage.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Dec 1, 2019 7:57:49 GMT -6
Had snow mixing in around daybreak but it's all liquid now...surface temps are a bit too warm.
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Post by Tilawn on Dec 1, 2019 8:43:53 GMT -6
Misting with tiny little flakes mixing in. Temp 37°
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Dec 1, 2019 9:03:47 GMT -6
The deck was damp this morning. Don't know if it was from snow, sleet or rain because it was all done by the time I got up.
But the wind woke me up...again. In a sleepy stupor I first thought it was thunder.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 1, 2019 9:09:21 GMT -6
Hrrrr and Hi res NAM bring a decent burst of snow to the area this evening
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Post by unclesam6 on Dec 1, 2019 10:11:52 GMT -6
Steady flurries
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Post by weatherj on Dec 1, 2019 10:17:38 GMT -6
I know things look quiet over the next 2 weeks with seasonal to slightly abv avg. values temp wise, but I have to wonder if a big shot of cold is in store as we head towards Christmas and onward. That shot in November was very intense and one we hadn't seen since November of 2013. Last year's was close, but not quite as sharp.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 1, 2019 11:07:17 GMT -6
I know things look quiet over the next 2 weeks with seasonal to slightly abv avg. values temp wise, but I have to wonder if a big shot of cold is in store as we head towards Christmas and onward. That shot in November was very intense and one we hadn't seen since November of 2013. Last year's was close, but not quite as sharp. Models have been predicting a potential SSW and associated disturbance of the PV in the 10th-20th range. These events are correlated with increased winter weather during the event, followed by mild weather for about 2 weeks. So, I would say something interesting in the 10th-20th range and then around New Year’s a more sustained winter pattern conducive to snow and cold. Obviously, these events are hard to predict and depending on if it is reflective or absorptive, impacts to our weather could vary substantially.
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Post by unclesam6 on Dec 1, 2019 11:30:02 GMT -6
Steady light snow. Beautiful start to December.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Dec 1, 2019 11:33:07 GMT -6
Not a flake nor a drop here today so far. Just breezy.
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Post by weatherj on Dec 1, 2019 11:40:07 GMT -6
It looks like November finished right at the -5 mark for Lambert. Not a bad start and hopefully we can see negative anamolies till at least February. By the way, today marks the one year anniversary of the tornado outbreak just to our N across central Illinois. Taylorville got hit hard IIRC. December of last year was very mild. Not looking to repeat.
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Dec 1, 2019 13:11:33 GMT -6
Steady flurries in WashMO. Surprised they made it this far south. I wonder if Richwoods is off. 🤔
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Post by Tilawn on Dec 1, 2019 14:00:47 GMT -6
Better get the trucks ready!!!
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Dec 1, 2019 14:25:30 GMT -6
Flurries in St Clair now
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Post by ndolan387 on Dec 1, 2019 14:55:38 GMT -6
I second your thought unclesam. Steep lapse rates, strong backside cyclonic flow, some lift, just enough moisture, and cold 850mb temps made/make for some pretty mood snow today as we ring in Dec and the last month of 2019!
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Dec 1, 2019 15:15:38 GMT -6
Still 38 here all liquid thus far.
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 1, 2019 15:16:41 GMT -6
Snow showee
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twocat
Junior Forecaster
North St. Peters off Cave Springs
Posts: 387
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Post by twocat on Dec 1, 2019 15:20:14 GMT -6
I'm tardy with the report from the Davis on the roof in north St. Pete. It reported 2.15" over the weekend. Some pretty insignificant flurries going on right now.
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Dec 1, 2019 18:02:55 GMT -6
Almost home. Ran the gamut of all mother nature could throw at us on the drive out and the drive back. Seems like we got everything but hail and sun. Thoroughly enjoyed the thunderboomers. 😁
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Post by Jeffmw on Dec 1, 2019 18:21:58 GMT -6
The Winds where not that bad today.
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