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Post by amstilost on May 24, 2024 19:49:48 GMT -6
I have only had enough rain to dampen the concrete.
I added a 4th 14t load of 3/4" minus rock and 14t of 3/4" clean. Looks great, but I just hope it is functional. Each shower we get I try and 'steamroll' the driveway with the car. Lots of back and forth trips.
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Post by dmbstl on May 24, 2024 21:01:11 GMT -6
This lightinibg show over Granite City/Collinsville is crazy. Sitting on my porch watch this and it seems almost constant.
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Post by John G -west belleville on May 24, 2024 21:21:30 GMT -6
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 24, 2024 21:25:14 GMT -6
Well that was disappointing
Ended up with a 5 minute shower here
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Post by Snowman99 on May 24, 2024 21:45:40 GMT -6
.23 here. What a pisser.
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Post by tedrick65 on May 24, 2024 22:04:48 GMT -6
.55" today in this corner of High Ridge. Nothing big lately, but something nearly every day.  |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 24, 2024 23:00:53 GMT -6
Sunday is still highly up in the air, but it looks like we will see an MCS move through the area very early Sunday morning. It could be a pretty mean MCS as well.
Then a break until the afternoon when another round of storms could fire along the cold front.
That's all subject to change.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on May 25, 2024 0:38:19 GMT -6
Sunday is still highly up in the air, but it looks like we will see an MCS move through the area very early Sunday morning. It could be a pretty mean MCS as well. Then a break until the afternoon when another round of storms could fire along the cold front. That's all subject to change. Ya depends on what happens Sat. Could make it dope or dud.... |
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Post by REB on May 25, 2024 6:25:50 GMT -6
Looks like vantage vue needs a cleaning. No rain measured and….i know it rained. Ugh
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 25, 2024 6:47:01 GMT -6
Looks like vantage vue needs a cleaning. No rain measured and….i know it rained. Ugh I've been fighting bugs with my original Vantage Pro gauge...every time I think I fixed it it works for a while then stops working. I've got a new reed switch to put in...hope that's the culprit. I've had it since 2007, and it's been refurbished once. It's about due for replacement. |
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Post by REB on May 25, 2024 7:40:45 GMT -6
Looks like vantage vue needs a cleaning. No rain measured and….i know it rained. Ugh I've been fighting bugs with my original Vantage Pro gauge...every time I think I fixed it it works for a while then stops working. I've got a new reed switch to put in...hope that's the culprit. I've had it since 2007, and it's been refurbished once. It's about due for replacement. Bought mine in April of 2010. I looked at the invoice and I can't believe the difference in what they cost today. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 25, 2024 8:38:00 GMT -6
NAM looks aggressive building instability northward to roughly I-70 behind the cluster of storms tomorrow morning...we'll need to watch that closely with ~50kts of bulk shear and curved hodographs.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 25, 2024 8:41:47 GMT -6
I've been fighting bugs with my original Vantage Pro gauge...every time I think I fixed it it works for a while then stops working. I've got a new reed switch to put in...hope that's the culprit. I've had it since 2007, and it's been refurbished once. It's about due for replacement. Bought mine in April of 2010. I looked at the invoice and I can't believe the difference in what they cost today. Yeah, IIRC I paid around $550-600 for mine...inflation is a bummer. I'm wondering if the Vantage Pro 2 will work with my console or not. I may just have to keep replacing parts if not... |
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Post by amstilost on May 25, 2024 8:42:27 GMT -6
I had a very heavy but very brief shower last night I'm guessing around 10:00 I really didn't pay attention to the time. I know with the severe thunderstorm warnings, I was mentioned in them, but it really didn't look like the Box encompassed me. I was right on the very western edge of it looking on the map. But that heavy shower lasted maybe 15-20 seconds at the most. And had some distant Thunder. There was a flashing strobes going on in the sky but the Thunder was still pretty distant. Hoping for no flooding with the heavy rainfall mentioned on Sunday.
Also, after really scratching my head trying to figure out why I couldn't get a point forecast on my phone, I cleared 24 hours of browsing data and it miraculously started working again.👍👍
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 25, 2024 11:13:02 GMT -6
NAM looks aggressive building instability northward to roughly I-70 behind the cluster of storms tomorrow morning...we'll need to watch that closely with ~50kts of bulk shear and curved hodographs. HREF shows a good signal for supercells to form tomorrow afternoon along the frontal boundary in a favorable environment. Wildcard will be how the MCS tonight and tomorrow morning behaves. |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on May 25, 2024 11:43:21 GMT -6
Latest day two update includes a 10% tornado risk for the STL metro and points south and south east.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 25, 2024 12:08:52 GMT -6
For tomorrow
“DESPITE THE STABILIZING EFFECT OF THIS MORNING CONVECTION, RECOVERY
IS ANTICIPATED ACROSS SOUTHERN/EASTERN MISSOURI DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENTUALLY INTO SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND WESTERN KENTUCKY AS A
STOUT EML ADVECTS ACROSS THE REGION FROM THE WEST. THE EXACT
EVOLUTION OF STORM DEVELOPMENT IN THE WAKE OF MORNING CONVECTION
REMAINS UNCLEAR. PERSISTENT SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE ON THE
REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THROUGH THE DAY WHICH WOULD HAVE A
CONTINUED WIND/HAIL THREAT AND COULD GROW UPSCALE INTO A CLUSTER
WITH AN INCREASED WIND THREAT. HOWEVER, EVEN IF STORMS DO NOT
CONTINUE TO FORM ALONG THIS BOUNDARY, ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE LIKELY
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING AS A SECONDARY SHORTWAVE TROUGH
APPROACHES AND ERODES INHIBITION. 45 TO 50 KNOTS OF EFFECTIVE SHEAR
WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELL STORM MODE WITH A PRIMARY THREAT OF LARGE
HAIL. IN ADDITION, IF SUFFICIENT BOUNDARY LAYER RECOVERY CAN OCCUR
NORTH OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY, THE ENVIRONMENT WOULD BE QUITE
FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES WITH LARGE LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS. A 10%
HATCHED TORNADO THREAT HAS BEEN ADDED FOR THE REGION WHERE THIS
THREAT MAY BE GREATEST.”
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Post by STGOutdoors on May 25, 2024 12:48:03 GMT -6
Definitely starting to get uneasy about tomorrow afternoon. NAM has PDS tornado soundings for down this way.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 25, 2024 13:02:30 GMT -6
Definitely starting to get uneasy about tomorrow afternoon. NAM has PDS tornado soundings for down this way. You guys in the SE Ozarks are ground zero, IMO...the I-70 corridor is more of a conditional threat dependent on airmass recovery and retreat of the composite outflow. |
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BDS
Wishcaster
Columbia, MO
Posts: 202 
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Post by BDS on May 25, 2024 15:00:32 GMT -6
I can’t recall the last time I’ve ever seen a watch issued that includes the potential for 5 inch hail like the PDS Tornado Watch issued for Oklahoma/Kansas. I’ve seen 4 inch hail a few times.
4.5 inch hail is grapefruit. Bigger than grapefruit is insane.
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Post by REB on May 25, 2024 15:30:27 GMT -6
I would like a nice shower so I don’t have to water my neighbor’s garden .i also need to know that the Davis is back to working again.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 25, 2024 20:53:59 GMT -6
The MCS late tonight and tomorrow morning is little concerning This is the HRRR environment ahead of the MCS  Wind and spin ups would be a big problem |
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Post by Chris Higgins on May 25, 2024 22:07:12 GMT -6
The MCS late tonight and tomorrow morning is little concerning This is the HRRR environment ahead of the MCS Wind and spin ups would be a big problem That's why I opted to chase in the morning! I think the AM could end up being the main event. The southwest MO storms will struggle some as they move away from better instability and east of the LLJ. I think the northern complex will take over as it will have the full expanse of the LLJ to with which to work. I have little doubt the atmosphere will get worked over big time early Sunday. I have doubts about the recovery being advertised for the afternoon. Still, at this point, best to remain cautious becaise if the recharge does take place, things could get very volatile tomorrow afternoon. |
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Post by cardsnweather on May 26, 2024 3:11:25 GMT -6
Not a good report coming out of Valley view, TX.
4-5 tornado warnings in W Missouri right now.
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Post by weatherj on May 26, 2024 3:31:48 GMT -6
It looks to me everything out west so far is staying scattered-cellular rather than congealing into an MCS. We'll have to wait and see, but this may be a key to the afternoon development if that trend continues.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on May 26, 2024 4:13:43 GMT -6
Tornado watch south of the metro area all the way into northern Arkansas. Judging by radar that looks to be where the Lion's share of the precipitation is going. Rolla to Perryville look to get a pretty good deluge. Only have distant thunder and occasional light rain here.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 26, 2024 4:44:02 GMT -6
CAMs weren't even in the ballpark.
The airmass is gonna get scrubbed out by all that stratoform rain across MO I'd say. We'll have to watch trends later this afternoon, but it's probably gonna be a struggle to build instability behind all this.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 26, 2024 5:13:49 GMT -6
A crouded campground in Claremore, OK was hit by a tornado last night...not good.
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Post by Snowman99 on May 26, 2024 5:33:59 GMT -6
Flop
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on May 26, 2024 5:44:10 GMT -6
A crouded campground in Claremore, OK was hit by a tornado last night...not good. I was following the storm coverage on the OKC stations on YouTube last evening. They were talking about the lack of places to go for protection when people are at campgrounds. They were talking hypothetically but it sounds like it became reality. Not good. |
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