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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Mar 28, 2022 8:15:06 GMT -6
The nostalgia is definitely getting me amped up. That time when Pujols hit that homerun off Brad Lidge... Yes, only tempered by the realization he hasn’t been an average or better hitter since 2016 and has no defensive value. I’m cool with it if he plays minimally and hits a few homers along the way, but if the franchise was trying to win they would go trade with Oakland for a pitcher. Albert circa 2010 is long gone. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 28, 2022 8:42:34 GMT -6
Pujols was a legit good hitter vs left handed pitchers last season slashing .294/.336/.603 for an OPS of .939
Sure the move was made partly for nostalgia but he can help this team win vs lefties. Also seeing Pujols, Yadi, and Waino potentially all going out together is really cool.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Mar 28, 2022 9:02:41 GMT -6
Pujols was a legit good hitter vs left handed pitchers last season slashing .294/.336/.603 for an OPS of .939 Sure the move was made partly for nostalgia but he can help this team win vs lefties. Also seeing Pujols, Yadi, and Waino potentially all going out together is really cool. I love data which is one reason I love baseball and weather. I see the split argument being tossed around and it was literally just last year in a very small sample that the left handed split existed. The previous several seasons in much larger samples he had virtually no split and was below average against both lefties and righties. Also, we have a team of lefty mashers, need some righty mashers. I’ll be at Opening Day smiling and cheering, but this move doesn’t make the team more competitive which is disappointing. |
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Post by jmg378s on Mar 28, 2022 13:08:24 GMT -6
Can't really disagree with anything you said WSC. Pujols is unlikely to improve the team in any meaningful way and he just takes up a roster spot. And it will be a giant elephant in the room if team makes the playoffs and he is more or less healthy but terrible. On the other hand it is just one year with the DH in place (the only reason this happened anyway). Won't be an everyday batter either. One of the best moves the Cardinals made was NOT signing him in 2012, but this time around I kinda like the idea of Pujols finishing as a Cardinal with Yadi (and Wainwright) even if it is the wrong decision objectively.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Mar 28, 2022 14:10:08 GMT -6
I'm in for the nostalgia and seeing him hit a few more out of Busch wearing #5 that brought us all so much joy over the years. Lots for the young guys to learn from him and his presence in the clubhouse will be important.
Not everything is about numbers on a grid.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Mar 28, 2022 18:24:22 GMT -6
One of those cases where the move is more abt revenue than wins i think. I personally would have passed and looked for more depth in the pitching and i hope we can find and grow a new catcher as well. But hopefully it works out. Pujols may have excelled while he was in st louis and being back together may get him on track. I wldnt look for a hitter vs lefty, but theres a certain amt of magic in the game. Sadly, you cant try to find that magic. It just happens. We shall see.
In weather, Easter looks chilly. Pretty active pattern taking shape too, with a fast storm track.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 28, 2022 18:38:59 GMT -6
Pujols was a legit good hitter vs left handed pitchers last season slashing .294/.336/.603 for an OPS of .939 Sure the move was made partly for nostalgia but he can help this team win vs lefties. Also seeing Pujols, Yadi, and Waino potentially all going out together is really cool. I love data which is one reason I love baseball and weather. I see the split argument being tossed around and it was literally just last year in a very small sample that the left handed split existed. The previous several seasons in much larger samples he had virtually no split and was below average against both lefties and righties. Also, we have a team of lefty mashers, need some righty mashers. I’ll be at Opening Day smiling and cheering, but this move doesn’t make the team more competitive which is disappointing. 2019 he had an .830 OPS v LHP in 181 plate appearances
2020 he was bad across the board, but I'm not holding that 60 game season against any player
His .939 OPS against lefties last season was done in 146 plate appearances. Not a huge same size but not small either.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Mar 28, 2022 18:57:14 GMT -6
I love data which is one reason I love baseball and weather. I see the split argument being tossed around and it was literally just last year in a very small sample that the left handed split existed. The previous several seasons in much larger samples he had virtually no split and was below average against both lefties and righties. Also, we have a team of lefty mashers, need some righty mashers. I’ll be at Opening Day smiling and cheering, but this move doesn’t make the team more competitive which is disappointing. 2019 he had an .830 OPS v LHP in 181 plate appearances
2020 he was bad across the board, but I'm not holding that 60 game season against any player
His .939 OPS against lefties last season was done in 146 plate appearances. Not a huge same size but not small either.
Eh, I would argue strongly that 181 plate appearances is a very small sample size in baseball. I’m confident I could find a 181 plate appearance stretch where Mike Trout looks like a bad hitter. 2019 was the year of the “rabbit ball” where even Tommy Edman was blasting homers, so you need a stat indexed to the league like WRC+ or OPS+. In 2019 his WRC against lefties was 112, so a bit above average and something I would certainly take this year to go along with my nostalgia. 2017, 2018, and 2020 he was well below average even with the split so it seems like last year was a major outlier propped up by small sample size where a couple homers swing the whole thing. Regardless, this signing isn’t the problem. It’s that we don’t get this signing and somebody to stabilize the rotation especially with Jack out. From a weather perspective, I’m hoping things trend warmer and dry for Opening Day. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 28, 2022 22:33:05 GMT -6
Opening Day last year was brutal. We had some nose bleed tickets and the wind combined with the chilly temps and rain made it miserable. I’m hoping for warm and sunny weather on the 7th
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Post by Chris Higgins on Mar 29, 2022 0:25:14 GMT -6
Having a tough time buying into the SPC expansion in both the slight risk and the 5% tornado probabilities to the North....especially tornado probs. Even for QLCS tornadoes you need SOME instability. Not seeing much if any CAPE anywhere near us.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Mar 29, 2022 6:39:08 GMT -6
Looks like gravity waves this morning. Looking south from just south of MidAmerica Airport.   |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Mar 29, 2022 9:58:34 GMT -6
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Mar 29, 2022 10:03:48 GMT -6
Little shower just came through. Huge drops.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Mar 29, 2022 10:47:52 GMT -6
Loud thunder while I’m working here in Hecker
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 29, 2022 11:52:03 GMT -6
That’s a beefy moderate risk for tomorrow
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Post by jmg378s on Mar 29, 2022 15:35:31 GMT -6
Winds aloft tomorrow will be ripping at up to 50kts at 925mb so lots of shear, but pretty much all flavors of CAPE less than 200 j/kg on pretty much all models (some much lower) in metro vicinity. Wouldn't take much though with really strong winds just above the surface to get a severe gust. As Chris already pointed out though it remains to be seen just how far north the severe threat will be. I'm usually harping about risks not being aggressive enough with low instability high shear environments at times...but 100 j/kg or so is really low instability.
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Post by House Springs ~ DeerKiller ~ on Mar 29, 2022 22:11:40 GMT -6
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Mar 30, 2022 0:51:21 GMT -6
Might not even get any lightning out of this batch moving in. Bummer...
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Mar 30, 2022 7:55:57 GMT -6
Sure getting some major league downpours. No thunder that I've heard.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 30, 2022 8:23:10 GMT -6
Looks like some rotation in the line near Bourbon, Mo
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Post by amstilost on Mar 30, 2022 8:27:21 GMT -6
Have not had very much rain here yet, Storm Total has me at trace with the .3-.5" line speeding my way. Constructing/attempting a green house/tunnel house/cattle panel house and figured it was a good idea to not try and put the plastic on yesterday or today.  Breaking News......"De Soto couple last seen 5,000' over Illinois after the wind picked them up along with the plastic sheeting they were attempting to cover greenhouse with." Maybe we will try on Friday. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Mar 30, 2022 8:47:04 GMT -6
very heavy rain for a few minutes. No thunder or lightning.
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Jeke
Junior Forecaster
Old Jamestown, MO
Posts: 320 
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Post by Jeke on Mar 30, 2022 9:59:26 GMT -6
Line is thru here. Not much to it.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 30, 2022 10:20:06 GMT -6
Tropical storm-like conditions when the line came through in Brighton...sideways sheeting rain
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Mar 30, 2022 10:54:38 GMT -6
Not much excitement here either. Just steady moderate rain.
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Post by Jeffmw on Mar 30, 2022 11:14:55 GMT -6
If these storms were coming in later in the afternoon would they be more severe?
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Post by ajd446 on Mar 30, 2022 11:47:41 GMT -6
Tons of rain in the st.peters area today. Some real toad stranglers at times
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Mar 30, 2022 12:19:08 GMT -6
Roads are under here in Fletcher. Can’t get out.
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Post by Snowman99 on Mar 30, 2022 12:24:34 GMT -6
i've seen toads strangled. They croak
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Post by jeepers on Mar 30, 2022 14:26:36 GMT -6
1.1 inches so far
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Breaking News......"De Soto couple last seen 5,000' over Illinois after the wind picked them up along with the plastic sheeting they were attempting to cover greenhouse with." Maybe we will try on Friday.
