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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 11, 2022 18:34:25 GMT -6
Glen’s graphic with that hole of nothing over St Louis made me laugh and shake my head. It was truly ugly. It was either laugh or cry. Looked like we was using the 18z GFS snow map. Interesting choice |
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 11, 2022 18:45:38 GMT -6
Glen’s graphic with that hole of nothing over St Louis made me laugh and shake my head. It was truly ugly. It was either laugh or cry. Looked like we was using the 18z GFS snow map. Interesting choice Fish tweeted that 18z map, lol. Quite comical. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 11, 2022 18:46:36 GMT -6
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 11, 2022 18:47:05 GMT -6
18z euro is pretty dry, but good for 1-3 inches or so in the metro.
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Post by Jeffmw on Jan 11, 2022 18:51:31 GMT -6
Hey Chris with the Christmas Season over think it’s time for a new Thread?
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jan 11, 2022 19:00:49 GMT -6
Glen’s graphic with that hole of nothing over St Louis made me laugh and shake my head. It was truly ugly. It was either laugh or cry. I was wishing I had a camera handy to get a picture of it. |
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Post by bdgwx on Jan 11, 2022 19:04:13 GMT -6
The 18Z GFS is almost perfect. We just need that hole to slide west for it it be realistic.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 11, 2022 19:07:52 GMT -6
18z GEFS is starting to look encouraging. Mean snow (assuming 10:1 ratios) is up to almost 4"  |
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 11, 2022 19:35:08 GMT -6
18z euro is pretty dry, but good for 1-3 inches or so in the metro. is it all west? |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 11, 2022 19:39:20 GMT -6
18z euro is pretty dry, but good for 1-3 inches or so in the metro. is it all west? North… It kind of dries out. It only goes out to 90 hours, so there could still be a pivot, but just looks weaker/drier. Certainly a possibility we have seen across the ensembles. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 11, 2022 19:42:57 GMT -6
00z NBM has an STL snow minimum sandwich Very cool  |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 11, 2022 19:45:29 GMT -6
On this map my family in South Carolina get 5 inches lol….. gotta move south to see snow ….. unreal
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 11, 2022 19:47:10 GMT -6
With it being such a dynamic system with so many moving pieces, any snow “holes” observed on models should be taken only as entertainment until we get another 48 hours or so closer.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 11, 2022 19:51:10 GMT -6
NAM looks great so far.  |
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Post by bororug on Jan 11, 2022 20:17:19 GMT -6
NAM looks great so far. I get excited when I see a post like this...especially from Snowman😊 |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 11, 2022 20:19:56 GMT -6
NAM looks great so far. I get excited when I see a post like this...especially from Snowman😊 Until you realize the nam was only out to hour 15 when he posted it… Nice to be excited for a model run finally though |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 11, 2022 20:39:48 GMT -6
Hour 72 and the nam looks ready to go off.
Edit: somehow it has the WAA go around STL lol, but it looks ready to swing through a trowel like structure by the end of the run.
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Post by landscaper on Jan 11, 2022 20:46:46 GMT -6
NAM not looking so hot, through its 84 hour (6am Saturday) run no snow in the metro basically it’s creating the snow hole over us
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 11, 2022 20:46:46 GMT -6
Hour 72 and the nam looks ready to go off Might just be the NAM doing NAM things but it tucks the energy back pretty far west that run. That might up the kaboom potential if it’s onto something |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 11, 2022 20:49:16 GMT -6
NAM not looking so hot, through its 84 hour (6am Saturday) run no snow in the metro basically it’s creating the snow hole over us Closed 500mb, 700mb, and 850mb vorts nearly stacked in southwest Missouri. That thing would crush the metro if it went past hour 84 in my opinion |
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 11, 2022 20:59:25 GMT -6
Nam Looks amazing, heavy snow moving into the metro at 6 a.m. saturday, ready to be an absolute crusher
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 11, 2022 21:05:50 GMT -6
NAm my be slowing things down a bit...
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 11, 2022 21:10:06 GMT -6
Yeah you can see that TROWAL like look on the NAM. Pretty.
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Post by landscaper on Jan 11, 2022 21:43:30 GMT -6
RGEM and icon looks good tonight
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 11, 2022 21:50:06 GMT -6
ICON looks really good with how it evolves the upper level energy Swings a nice compact 500mb low near our wheelhouse that kicks off a TROWAL over the area  |
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bob
Junior Forecaster
Posts: 334 
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Post by bob on Jan 11, 2022 22:02:05 GMT -6
Are we going to need the Friv meter for this one?
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 11, 2022 22:04:45 GMT -6
Gfs looks better still not there, but trying
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 11, 2022 22:04:55 GMT -6
0Z GFS carbon Copy of 18Z essentially.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 11, 2022 22:05:31 GMT -6
Oh my god. I ...and others...will be screaming bloody murder if the GFS happens.
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Post by ajd446 on Jan 11, 2022 22:07:46 GMT -6
Gfs is trending north with the big snows, and still gives metro near 1 inch
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