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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Dec 4, 2021 13:25:55 GMT -6
Next weekends storm is close to a a STL Special. Kind of scary though being in the bullseye this far out though. Trends today are rather nice nice though. 🤞
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Post by Jeffmw on Dec 4, 2021 14:01:16 GMT -6
Is my new Avatar pic ok? My Game Character from Star Trek: Online.
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Jeke
Junior Forecaster
Old Jamestown, MO
Posts: 320 
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Post by Jeke on Dec 4, 2021 16:13:32 GMT -6
Is my new Avatar pic ok? My Game Character from Star Trek: Online. Yes, it's there... |
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 4, 2021 16:23:13 GMT -6
lol
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 4, 2021 16:24:23 GMT -6
18z gfs looks great next weekend at this range.
Ends up not quite cranking as much as I expected, but conceptually the lead wave coaxes down the cold air and a surface low is close to the benchmark.
Not a bad look 7 days out
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 4, 2021 17:43:01 GMT -6
18z gfs looks great next weekend at this range. Ends up not quite cranking as much as I expected, but conceptually the lead wave coaxes down the cold air and a surface low is close to the benchmark. Not a bad look 7 days out Good to see some consistency between the models at this range. I’m still not sold on that setup yet. The EPS isn’t showing much accumulation in the 7 day range |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Dec 4, 2021 17:57:23 GMT -6
I still think we are grasping at straws with any snow here. Lol
But it would be so nice!
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Dec 4, 2021 19:53:56 GMT -6
I'm way more interested with the Tuesday potential than next weekend as far as snow is concerned. Still think strong storms are more likely with that system.
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Post by unclesam6 on Dec 4, 2021 21:11:06 GMT -6
Chris, check your pms!
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Post by jeepers on Dec 4, 2021 21:59:15 GMT -6
To everyone dealing with the bug, my best wishes to you and your’s for a speedy recovery.
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Post by ndolan387 on Dec 4, 2021 22:08:22 GMT -6
Hopefully the FGEN snow comes to us on Tues/Wed. Crazy to watch this shortwave intensify as it moves east into the Great Lakes/East Coast. It seems to happen so much.
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Post by ndolan387 on Dec 4, 2021 22:23:09 GMT -6
Great general track in the upper levels and surface for us next Sat on the 00z GFS! Borderline temps though, but super early. A good setup for deformation snow.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 4, 2021 23:11:49 GMT -6
Models are going back to the warm flow again.
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Post by ajd446 on Dec 5, 2021 5:41:01 GMT -6
Gutters overflowing thos morning. .5 inches of rain in the gauge.
Impressive downpoir for 5 min in st.peters
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Post by Tilawn on Dec 5, 2021 8:56:54 GMT -6
Sounds like you need to clean the gutters out if they overflowed this morning
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Post by dschreib on Dec 5, 2021 9:54:49 GMT -6
ketchup is blasphemous on steak lol Well done with ketchup.  |
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twocat
Junior Forecaster
North St. Peters off Cave Springs
Posts: 395 
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Post by twocat on Dec 5, 2021 10:28:37 GMT -6
Apparently, I am on the wrong side of St. Pete. According to the Davis on the roof in North St. Pete we only had .05" Barely got the street wet. We need some rain. Wish me luck, please. I'm getting a brand new right knee in the morning. To say I am nervous about it is an understatement.
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 5, 2021 10:42:36 GMT -6
Well at least we got next weekend over with early instead of 4 days from now. Cold air? What cold air. Lol. Fantastic.
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Dec 5, 2021 10:50:36 GMT -6
Apparently, I am on the wrong side of St. Pete. According to the Davis on the roof in North St. Pete we only had .05" Barely got the street wet. We need some rain. Wish me luck, please. I'm getting a brand new right knee in the morning. To say I am nervous about it is an understatement. Got .04” on the Ambient here in VR. Mt. Pete must be the place to be. Praying your surgery goes well. |
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Post by ajd446 on Dec 5, 2021 10:50:41 GMT -6
My gutters are fine, it was a torrential downpour at 530. Wish somoeone else lived in the willot rd area of st.peters to back me. I was shocked at how intense it was.
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Post by freezyfree on Dec 5, 2021 10:53:41 GMT -6
Apparently, I am on the wrong side of St. Pete. According to the Davis on the roof in North St. Pete we only had .05" Barely got the street wet. We need some rain. Wish me luck, please. I'm getting a brand new right knee in the morning. To say I am nervous about it is an understatement. I got a brand new knee three years ago. My best advice is do everything the drs. and physical therapists tell you to do! |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Dec 5, 2021 11:13:49 GMT -6
Looks largely dry the rest of the month after today. Most models not even showing moisture with Tuesday anymore and even the weekend is iffy at best. Looks like the blast furnace is back as well after this week with not much cold till well after the Holidays, think more like MLK Day time into February.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 5, 2021 11:24:45 GMT -6
Well at least we got next weekend over with early instead of 4 days from now. Cold air? What cold air. Lol. Fantastic. That always seemed like the most likely outcome unfortunately. This patterns sucks and will continue to suck for the foreseeable future |
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 5, 2021 11:53:31 GMT -6
Well at least we got next weekend over with early instead of 4 days from now. Cold air? What cold air. Lol. Fantastic. That always seemed like the most likely outcome unfortunately. This patterns sucks and will continue to suck for the foreseeable future agree. The pattern is a disaster. |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Dec 5, 2021 12:10:25 GMT -6
Apparently, I am on the wrong side of St. Pete. According to the Davis on the roof in North St. Pete we only had .05" Barely got the street wet. We need some rain. Wish me luck, please. I'm getting a brand new right knee in the morning. To say I am nervous about it is an understatement. Good luck with your surgery. Break a leg  |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Dec 5, 2021 12:35:00 GMT -6
Euro screams tornado outbreak in the Tennessee Valley late week. Might be trying to kick off a secondary low for us Saturday night into Sunday but otherwise prior to that not much if anything.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Dec 5, 2021 12:38:34 GMT -6
It stays too far south to do us any good though.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Dec 5, 2021 12:41:34 GMT -6
CFS 768hr run pretty much showing a Winter Cancelled for it's 0Z run. Might still get our 2011-2012 Winter just with a few global dynamics changed a bit but otherwise arriving to the same outcome.
Let's give it another 4-6 weeks though before we really write the season off though.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Dec 5, 2021 12:53:12 GMT -6
CFS 768hr run pretty much showing a Winter Cancelled for it's 0Z run. Might still get our 2011-2012 Winter just with a few global dynamics changed a bit but otherwise arriving to the same outcome.
Let's give it another 4-6 weeks though before we really write the season off though.
The CFS is worthless, but it’s latest run shows historic cold for February… |
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Post by maddogchief on Dec 5, 2021 13:56:54 GMT -6
2 out of 3 seasonal winter forecasts that I follow look to bust. (Dave Murray’s and Terry Swail’s). John Dee’s is the only one that is showing some accuracy, but it’s unfortunately not very exciting for snow lovers.
Here’s to hoping things change, but the pattern we are in appears to have some staying power.
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