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Post by Chris Higgins on Oct 11, 2021 21:47:25 GMT -6
Well that was an interesting first day of my new job. Had that tornado tack3d 150 to 200 yards to the east... I the damage would have been much more extreme in Wrights. That said, my first guess based on what I saw is EF1. Definitely a solid EF1... maybe borderline 2...but the extremeness of the damage was compounded by the type of structure... so I'm leaning on EF1.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Oct 11, 2021 22:27:52 GMT -6
That’s definitely a first day you will not forget
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Post by ams3389 on Oct 11, 2021 23:24:30 GMT -6
Soooo what exactly is this new job and what all are you doing now and when and how and why did this go down lol. It may not be any of our business…I just know I may be joining you back on FB Lives. Are the Wilson days back? Well that was an interesting first day of my new job. Had that tornado tack3d 150 to 200 yards to the east... I the damage would have been much more extreme in Wrights. That said, my first guess based on what I saw is EF1. Definitely a solid EF1... maybe borderline 2...but the extremeness of the damage was compounded by the type of structure... so I'm leaning on EF1. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 12, 2021 5:23:48 GMT -6
Well that was an interesting first day of my new job. Had that tornado tack3d 150 to 200 yards to the east... I the damage would have been much more extreme in Wrights. That said, my first guess based on what I saw is EF1. Definitely a solid EF1... maybe borderline 2...but the extremeness of the damage was compounded by the type of structure... so I'm leaning on EF1. Was my guess...an EF1 can completely destroy an outbuilding. The damage looked similar to the one that hit the neighbors a few years ago that pretty well leveled their pole barn and threw sheet metal a 1/2 mile. |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Oct 12, 2021 5:53:27 GMT -6
The new job is to be a full time chaser when weather is bad... and do 11pm show when weather is quiet. New title too... Extreme Weather Specialist.
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Post by REB on Oct 12, 2021 7:17:35 GMT -6
Well that was an interesting first day of my new job. Had that tornado tack3d 150 to 200 yards to the east... I the damage would have been much more extreme in Wrights. That said, my first guess based on what I saw is EF1. Definitely a solid EF1... maybe borderline 2...but the extremeness of the damage was compounded by the type of structure... so I'm leaning on EF1. Our household was thinking the same thing about your first day on the job. Hopefully today will be a little less busy. You put on a lot of miles yesterday. |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Oct 12, 2021 8:14:24 GMT -6
So tomorrow mid to upper 70s(near 80 maybe)
With dews starting out in the mid to upper 50s at dawn.
Low 60s by 11AM.
Upper 60s to around 70 by afternoon getting higher on the illinois side.
Models show various levels of clearing tomorrow afternoon.
The NAM has 850-925mb temps running about 18C.
Any sun after 11AM will feel completely disgustingly humid
Thursday the missouri side looks to have a nice pocket of rain cooled air.
The Illinois side temps in the 70s with high dews
Friday same thing.
Potential clearing bringing mid 70s along and East of the river.
By Saturday evening the return flow will be SW.
So temps will rebound warm next week.
But dews lower. Thank God
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Post by mosue56 on Oct 12, 2021 8:35:20 GMT -6
I’ve missed the Friv comments! Nice to read one today!
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 12, 2021 8:56:29 GMT -6
Friv, the NAM has a low-level moisture bias so dewpoints probably won't that high...but still unseasonable. This weekend into early next week looks pretty darn nice. I picked a good stretch to take some vacation days!
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Oct 12, 2021 9:10:02 GMT -6
extreme weather specialist....guess that means youll be camping out at brtns or mads place tracking snowstorms. 😉
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 12, 2021 13:37:20 GMT -6
Don't look now, but models are showing flakes across the lakes next week with a deep closed low/trof digging into the Midwest and OHV with an impressive cold dump.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 12, 2021 15:09:38 GMT -6
When’s the last October we had two moderate risk?
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Post by REB on Oct 12, 2021 17:22:11 GMT -6
US National Weather Service Saint Louis Missouri 32m · We've rated the tornado that moved through Wrights, IL an EF-2, estimating max wind speeds around 115 mph. This tornado destroyed 4 farm buildings in or near Wrights, before moving NE and producing sporadic damage to vegetation. Check the link for additional information bit.ly/3mQkED4May be an image of map and text 2727 9 Shares |
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Post by Jeffmw on Oct 12, 2021 18:09:36 GMT -6
Who’s ready for it to be dark at by 6:30 pm.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 12, 2021 19:10:28 GMT -6
Classic eagle wing presentation on the tornadic supercell near KFDR. Cool stuff for October  |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Oct 12, 2021 19:34:35 GMT -6
Who’s ready for it to be dark at by 6:30 pm. And not get light until after 7 AM |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Oct 12, 2021 20:16:26 GMT -6
/photo/4.
Found this interesting
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 12, 2021 21:01:23 GMT -6
Joe B calling for cold winter like he has every year for the last 20 or so.  |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Oct 13, 2021 7:07:31 GMT -6
Joe B. definitely overdoes the cold winter forecasts (kind of loses it's effect after a few decades of the same message lol), but I think he may be on to something with that post. I would prefer December is not like 1989 however! I can't imagine the kind of energy demand crunch and cost this country will face when we get another cold snap like that. We saw a taste of it in Feb. of this year.
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Post by dschreib on Oct 13, 2021 8:23:08 GMT -6
Joe B calling for cold winter like he has every year for the last 20 or so. Mostly along the east coast, I would think. Epic snows, too? |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 13, 2021 8:57:57 GMT -6
At least he shows his work, lol
Those are some pretty heavy hitter analogues...
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 13, 2021 9:40:32 GMT -6
1989/90 had like one month of cold. November was warm I think, even record highs if I remember correctly. December was a beast several record lows, way below 0. Then January was very warm again, not sure about February.
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Post by amstilost on Oct 13, 2021 10:25:58 GMT -6
1989/90 had like one month of cold. November was warm I think, even record highs if I remember correctly. December was a beast several record lows, way below 0. Then January was very warm again, not sure about February. Average 53.4 32.4 42.9 10.8 - - - - 0.2" Jan. 1-31, 1990 Average 50.6 32.0 41.3 4.6 - - - - 6.9" Feb. 1-28, 1990 Average 59.0 40.5 49.8 3.2 8.4" Mar. 1-31,1990 .2" of Feb snow fell on 2/3/90 6.6" of Feb snow fell on 2/4/90 so, likely, the same system. The rest of the month had a scattering of Trace amounts. 8.4" of snow fell between 3/23 and 3/24/90 again, likely the same system. March 1990 had a very chilly/cold final 8 days which dropped the departure average back to +3.2. Looking at the front 23 days it would have been a very high + if the final week was not so cold. Data from NOWData in Climate Section of STL NWS site. |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Oct 13, 2021 13:20:33 GMT -6
Well that batch of rain fell apart.
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 13, 2021 13:26:38 GMT -6
dew of 68 and temp of 79 at 2pm. Oct 13. Its pretty gross out.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Oct 13, 2021 13:54:48 GMT -6
Yep it’s humid for sure. All that rain and storms though is vanishing.
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 13, 2021 13:55:13 GMT -6
the euro sure is a soaker around here. 3-5 inches the next couple of days. Way wetter than other models
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 13, 2021 14:00:19 GMT -6
Thinking the EC may be onto something considering we're dealing with tropical remnants interacting with a stalled boundary. That's usually a recipe for excessive rainfall.
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Post by amstilost on Oct 13, 2021 14:56:14 GMT -6
is that boundary where all the rain fell today going to sag south any or is this where it will stall??? as long as 3-5" doesn't all come in a few hours....yes, I am being picky but 3-5 over 48-60 hours should fill the pond back up.:-)
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Post by Chris Higgins on Oct 13, 2021 15:11:08 GMT -6
Well look what is showing up on the Euro ensemble... well... one of the members anyway. It's not much... but it is a sign of the times...and NO... I don't think it will snow lol.  |
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