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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 17, 2021 22:44:22 GMT -6
Yup felt it here in Perryville. I thought I had lost my damn mind until I just got on Facebook and saw Chris’s post!
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modracer
Weather Intern
MASCOUTAH, Illinois
Posts: 835
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Post by modracer on Nov 18, 2021 7:06:07 GMT -6
I was sitting in the motorhome last night at deer camp, and I felt it. I thought I was feeling things. I was thinking maybe it was the storm rolling in, just west of Vienna, Illinois Anybody else just feel the earthquake? I didn't post until confirmed by USGS, but it was a 3.7 near Williamsville, MO. Felt in Hillsboro MO. |
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Post by snowday_lover on Nov 18, 2021 9:19:27 GMT -6
I fell asleep during the winter weather forecast last night before they got to the actual months and if we can expect snow. Anyone want to sum it up for me? Thanks.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 18, 2021 10:46:39 GMT -6
New GFS and yet another option for the end of next week. I hope this isn't a trend for the rest of winter or you guys are going to go nuts!
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Nov 18, 2021 11:08:55 GMT -6
New GFS and yet another option for the end of next week. I hope this isn't a trend for the rest of winter or you guys are going to go nuts! Seems like models want to dig that S stream energy way down into Baja and N MX now with the N stream crushing anything that tries to develop. But the ensemble means still have a decent look with an inverted trof to the S and the surface ridge settling in across the N Central Plains. I also noticed that the SOI took a pretty big drop a few days ago which signals a storm developing around then. |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Nov 18, 2021 11:32:57 GMT -6
I fell asleep during the winter weather forecast last night before they got to the actual months and if we can expect snow. Anyone want to sum it up for me? Thanks. December - cold with little snow January - cold early in the month, then warming - little snow February - cold for the month with fair amount of snow |
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Post by snowday_lover on Nov 18, 2021 12:03:14 GMT -6
I fell asleep during the winter weather forecast last night before they got to the actual months and if we can expect snow. Anyone want to sum it up for me? Thanks. December - cold with little snow January - cold early in the month, then warming - little snow February - cold for the month with fair amount of snow |
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Post by snowday_lover on Nov 18, 2021 12:03:30 GMT -6
Thanks, guy!
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Nov 18, 2021 13:01:51 GMT -6
New GFS and yet another option for the end of next week. I hope this isn't a trend for the rest of winter or you guys are going to go nuts! Seems like models want to dig that S stream energy way down into Baja and N MX now with the N stream crushing anything that tries to develop. But the ensemble means still have a decent look with an inverted trof to the S and the surface ridge settling in across the N Central Plains. I also noticed that the SOI took a pretty big drop a few days ago which signals a storm developing around then. 12z euro is delayed but not denied for a post Turkey day storm. Finally kicks the low north by Saturday night. Cold air might not be around by then unfortunately |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 18, 2021 16:14:20 GMT -6
That’s a wonky and not very favorable looking setup for the Thanksgiving day system on the EPS. The EPS has the energy digging way down into Mexico which means it would need to gain some serious latitude for it to track favorably for us Not seeing much of a cold air connection either with that ridging over top Very “meh” as 99 would say  |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Nov 18, 2021 17:22:40 GMT -6
Yeah, that's a pretty janky looking setup other than the -NAO. Need that ridging in the EPAC to be further north but the deep low off AK is a problem. Hope that's not a staple this winter or it'll be a constant exercise in frustration as Chris said.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Nov 18, 2021 18:28:28 GMT -6
Chris at 5 you asked if STL had ever experienced a blizzard. You told viewers
1982 wasn't a blizzard but you never addressed the initial question.
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 18, 2021 18:49:10 GMT -6
Chris at 5 you asked if STL had ever experienced a blizzard. You told viewers 1982 wasn't a blizzard but you never addressed the initial question. probably because the answer is no |
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Post by Sparkman - Wildwood, Mo on Nov 18, 2021 19:02:26 GMT -6
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 18, 2021 19:10:10 GMT -6
He went pretty bold in December and January |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 18, 2021 19:11:36 GMT -6
Chris at 5 you asked if STL had ever experienced a blizzard. You told viewers 1982 wasn't a blizzard but you never addressed the initial question. Not sure I follow. I defined what it takes to be a blizzard and then showed that 1982 was not a real blizzard. I never asked if there has EVER been an official blizzard (I don't think) The answer to that question is most likely no. |
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Post by cozpregon on Nov 18, 2021 19:15:54 GMT -6
I recall a blizzard warning back in the 70s- but that was a ground blizzard
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Post by cozpregon on Nov 18, 2021 19:18:50 GMT -6
Other than that- the 2011 sleet blizzard
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Nov 18, 2021 19:25:20 GMT -6
2014 New Years storm
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 18, 2021 19:31:24 GMT -6
Not officially a blizzard but about as close as you’ll get around here |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Nov 18, 2021 19:37:34 GMT -6
Chris at 5 you asked if STL had ever experienced a blizzard. You told viewers 1982 wasn't a blizzard but you never addressed the initial question. Not sure I follow. I defined what it takes to be a blizzard and then showed that 1982 was not a real blizzard. I never asked if there has EVER been an official blizzard (I don't think) The answer to that question is most likely no. Maybe it was Vic Faust that asked. I was making supper at the time and wasn't looking at the screen. |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 18, 2021 19:48:32 GMT -6
I'll have to go back and look at the observations... but at least at the airport I don't think it qualified... but it was REALLY close. |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 18, 2021 19:49:40 GMT -6
Not sure I follow. I defined what it takes to be a blizzard and then showed that 1982 was not a real blizzard. I never asked if there has EVER been an official blizzard (I don't think) The answer to that question is most likely no. Maybe it was Vic Faust that asked. I was making supper at the time and wasn't looking at the screen. I just watched it again... Glenn did ask it... but I didn't answer because I didn't know for sure. That wasn't part of the plan lol. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Nov 18, 2021 20:40:57 GMT -6
There's been quite a few storms through the years that produced blizzard conditions in outlying areas where it's open. Terrain and buildings make a big difference when it comes to blowing snow and wind gust strength. The storm in 1996 was a blizzard here...it blew the highway shut and they had to bring in snowblowers from up north to clear it. The drifts were massive. The 2014 storm was similar but not as much snow fell here with that one.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Nov 19, 2021 2:50:01 GMT -6
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Nov 19, 2021 6:02:13 GMT -6
Maybe it was Vic Faust that asked. I was making supper at the time and wasn't looking at the screen. I just watched it again... Glenn did ask it... but I didn't answer because I didn't know for sure. That wasn't part of the plan lol. Good to know I haven't completely lost my mind. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Nov 19, 2021 8:33:38 GMT -6
Still a decent inverted trof/secondary development on the ensembles around Black Friday but it's pretty far South. Definitely need better phasing involved to get a good track with a cold connection. Probably a thread the needle situation, which isn't uncommon this time of year. Still something to keep an eye on though.
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Post by cardsnweather on Nov 19, 2021 8:34:47 GMT -6
Maybe it was Vic Faust that asked. I was making supper at the time and wasn't looking at the screen. I just watched it again... Glenn did ask it... but I didn't answer because I didn't know for sure. That wasn't part of the plan lol. This is why you are the best! |
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Post by cardsnweather on Nov 19, 2021 8:35:45 GMT -6
Wife and I having another in early January… our last one was Jan. 11, 2019. Hoping for an encore snow performance!
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Nov 19, 2021 8:50:21 GMT -6
Wife and I having another in early January… our last one was Jan. 11, 2019. Hoping for an encore snow performance! Congrats and I hope you get your wish! |
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