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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 7, 2020 10:21:20 GMT -6
CFS 768hr would be nuts if what it shows happens October 23rd to 26th or Hr 372-420. Decent snow possibly accumulating at that time. I'll take "will never happen but it's fun to look at" for $1,000 i.imgur.com/as2pGMQ.png |
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 7, 2020 12:35:43 GMT -6
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 7, 2020 12:36:17 GMT -6
pretty sure that site is getting thrashed.
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 7, 2020 13:44:42 GMT -6
that 240 hour euro on the other hand...
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Post by bdgwx on Oct 7, 2020 14:00:05 GMT -6
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 7, 2020 14:05:29 GMT -6
Sitting outside with my dog on oct 7 with temps near 90 and getting eaten by mosquitoes is not how I envision Fall
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Post by ajd446 on Oct 7, 2020 14:31:10 GMT -6
Heck of a indian summer. A light freeze and frost and 90 in a 48 to 60 hour period. Crazy.
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Post by Jeffmw on Oct 7, 2020 15:13:00 GMT -6
CFS 768hr would be nuts if what it shows happens October 23rd to 26th or Hr 372-420. Decent snow possibly accumulating at that time. I'll take "will never happen but it's fun to look at" for $1,000 i.imgur.com/as2pGMQ.pngGuys remember it is 2020. |
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Oct 7, 2020 16:57:33 GMT -6
Hopefully 2020 will be crazy for winter weather this year lol.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Oct 7, 2020 17:29:35 GMT -6
Hopefully 2020 will be crazy for winter weather this year lol. C'mon!!! You know it will be! Just not for us! |
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 7, 2020 17:42:28 GMT -6
Most globals seem to want to point to a pretty potent arctic intrusion around the 3rd week of October. Will be interesting to watch this one potentially unfold.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Oct 7, 2020 18:35:43 GMT -6
Looks to me like Delta is about to get its (his/her?) act together. Becoming more symmetrical and wouldn’t be surprised to see a much stronger storm by morning.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 7, 2020 18:51:43 GMT -6
Most globals seem to want to point to a pretty potent arctic intrusion around the 3rd week of October. Will be interesting to watch this one potentially unfold. My gut tells me that probably holds merit...seems to fit with the pattern and timing of the longwave/hemispheric pattern lately. Could be a hard, killing freeze with that and maybe even some flakes if enough artic air is tapped. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 7, 2020 19:25:15 GMT -6
Delta has a much larger 30 mile wide eye that is currently within a closed eyewall.
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Oct 7, 2020 22:20:20 GMT -6
Most globals seem to want to point to a pretty potent arctic intrusion around the 3rd week of October. Will be interesting to watch this one potentially unfold. My gut tells me that probably holds merit...seems to fit with the pattern and timing of the longwave/hemispheric pattern lately. Could be a hard, killing freeze with that and maybe even some flakes if enough artic air is tapped. All related to a typhoon re-curvature off Japan. 10-14 days later usually results in a deep trough or other significant weather/pattern change November 2013 was a prime example of this as storm after storm skimmed passed Japan pumping a huge ridge in the Pacific North American Coast. While we won't see something of that kind of strength (probably), it's got it's similarities. Does seem a book-end Winter maybe what's in the works with an active cold start November into mid December with some snow, then a mild break with little to no snow followed by a potentially huge Arctic Attack in February into March. Guess we'll see how it goes. We're getting our first tastes of that new pattern in the next week or so. |
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 7, 2020 22:51:58 GMT -6
00z gfs is aggressive in that time period. Looks like a legit cold shot. Major amplification across the CPAC.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 8, 2020 9:08:47 GMT -6
Is that an eye I spy?  |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 8, 2020 9:50:09 GMT -6
Is that an eye I spy? Looks like it...pretty sheared on the NW flank though, and will continue to be. I'm guessing CAT2 or borderline 3 at landfall. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Oct 8, 2020 14:58:52 GMT -6
Delta back to cat 3
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lunchladyd
Junior Forecaster
On the Troy -Silex, Mo. line
Posts: 399 
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Post by lunchladyd on Oct 8, 2020 17:00:42 GMT -6
Well I did my own persimmon experiment. I opened 4 seeds. They all had spoons..
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Oct 8, 2020 18:45:17 GMT -6
She's bombing out again. Might get to a solid cat 4 before weakening. |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Oct 8, 2020 19:05:12 GMT -6
Late next week/weekend looks cold.
Unfortunately, probably 2 weeks later the nation’s public health will likely suffer. Should be instructive for data modeling purposes even if the event is transient.
Amazing how hurricane Delta is going to make landfall in almost the exact same spot as the last major hurricane
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Post by STGOutdoors on Oct 8, 2020 19:26:08 GMT -6
She's bombing out again. Might get to a solid cat 4 before weakening. Not sure about that. She’s still a mess though the new convection wrapping around center could be meaningful. |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Oct 8, 2020 21:06:40 GMT -6
Delta looks to be getting its act together.... eye is looking much more healthy ..... pressure is dropping and the winds are up to 120
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Post by unclesam6 on Oct 8, 2020 22:47:38 GMT -6
00z GFS still aggressive with the cold snap.
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Post by landscaper on Oct 9, 2020 5:45:16 GMT -6
I just want it to cool down , I hate mid to upper 80’s in mid October
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Oct 9, 2020 8:08:50 GMT -6
I’m actually loving the 70’s and low 80s at the moment. Saves on electric bell.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Oct 9, 2020 10:02:15 GMT -6
I just want it to cool down , I hate mid to upper 80’s in mid October Last couple days were pretty warm for sure... |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Oct 9, 2020 10:23:23 GMT -6
I don’t mind the warmth as much as the humidity ticking back up. You can feel it in the air today
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Oct 9, 2020 10:34:18 GMT -6
I don’t mind the warmth as much as the humidity ticking back up. You can feel it in the air today Especially considering the fact that this high humidity will not improve our rain chances either. Also looks like "Summer" will try to hang around a bit longer through next week with the advertised cold snap finally arriving by next weekend. |
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