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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 21, 2020 10:53:26 GMT -6
12z ukmet gives STL and south some snow. Nothing crazy
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Post by STGOutdoors on Feb 21, 2020 10:59:23 GMT -6
LOL...I already know where this is going.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 21, 2020 11:07:39 GMT -6
06z euro ensembles look decent. WSC they really like Chicago
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 21, 2020 11:13:34 GMT -6
06z euro ensembles look decent. WSC they really like Chicago I was just flipping through them and see 3 pretty distinct camps. 1. North and gfs like 2. Southeast more like the ukmet 3. Through the heart of the metro (a Ggem solution displaced 50-75 miles southeast). That’s a ton of spread. Trimodal is a headache of a distribution |
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Post by snowjunky on Feb 21, 2020 11:17:49 GMT -6
Hope you get a monster snow WSC if we aren’t going to. Next year will be our year. 😂
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Feb 21, 2020 11:27:21 GMT -6
Hope you get a monster snow WSC if we aren’t going to. Next year will be our year. 😂 That was the Cubs motto for decades |
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Post by unclesam6 on Feb 21, 2020 12:25:58 GMT -6
looks like you might wanna get the shovel ready, WSC
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 21, 2020 12:27:31 GMT -6
WSC look at the euro with viewer discretion lol
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 21, 2020 12:29:16 GMT -6
WSC look at the euro with viewer discretion lol Lol. Fun to dream about, but I’m unphased. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 21, 2020 12:32:37 GMT -6
Its pretty strange the ukie and euro disagree with each other this much at this range
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 21, 2020 12:37:30 GMT -6
Its pretty strange the ukie and euro disagree with each other this much at this range This happened with the winter storm warning bust a few weeks ago. I believe the ukmet was closest on placement with that one, but obviously they were all wrong by a lot. Those two were in lockstep in previous years, so it is interesting |
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Post by Jeffmw on Feb 21, 2020 13:25:13 GMT -6
I watched the Spring Forecast last night got a question Chris or someone else here can Answer. The Special mentioned the Mississippi River Froze over in the 1800s could that have been connected to the Little Ice Age the Earth was in round that time? Info on what I’m referring to. en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Little_Ice_Age |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 21, 2020 14:03:47 GMT -6
Here’s the euro ensembles snow depth simulation. Basically everything that falls south of Wisconsin is from the systems of interest. Not really much when you factor in melting  |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 21, 2020 14:07:56 GMT -6
I’m assuming they do, but do snow depth products also factor in compaction and snow ratio?
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Post by landscaper on Feb 21, 2020 14:21:29 GMT -6
That map looks like our standard 1”or less storms we’ve had 7-8 times this year . That is probably a likely scenario, wrap around snow showers with temps near freezing, minor accumulation on the grass
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Feb 21, 2020 14:22:20 GMT -6
I watched the Spring Forecast last night got a question Chris or someone else here can Answer. The Special mentioned the Mississippi River Froze over a could of times in the 1800s could that have been connected to the Little Ice Age the Earth was in at the time? Info on what I’m referring to. en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Little_Ice_AgeI've wondered what effect the dredging and other things done to keep the navigation channel open has had on reducing the possibility of that happening again. |
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Post by bdgwx on Feb 21, 2020 14:32:44 GMT -6
I’m assuming they do, but do snow depth products also factor in compaction and snow ratio? I'm pretty sure they do. I think they factor in 3 things: snow-liquid-ratio, compaction, and melting. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 21, 2020 14:45:02 GMT -6
That map looks like our standard 1”or less storms we’ve had 7-8 times this year . That is probably a likely scenario, wrap around snow showers with temps near freezing, minor accumulation on the grass That's kind of the way I'm leaning...but still think this has just enough room to go kaboom. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 21, 2020 14:52:55 GMT -6
That map looks like our standard 1”or less storms we’ve had 7-8 times this year . That is probably a likely scenario, wrap around snow showers with temps near freezing, minor accumulation on the grass That's kind of the way I'm leaning...but still think this has just enough room to go kaboom. There’s quite a few “kaboom” runs in the euro ensembles |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Feb 21, 2020 14:58:44 GMT -6
I'm sure Northern MO and Central IL will enjoy it very much  . |
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Post by Snowman99 on Feb 21, 2020 15:19:55 GMT -6
I'm very much looking forward to our inch of rain Sunday and Monday.
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Post by Tilawn on Feb 21, 2020 16:03:22 GMT -6
That map looks like our standard 1”or less storms we’ve had 7-8 times this year . That is probably a likely scenario, wrap around snow showers with temps near freezing, minor accumulation on the grass Just another salt slinging storm is my thoughts right now. |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Feb 21, 2020 18:27:43 GMT -6
I watched the Spring Forecast last night got a question Chris or someone else here can Answer. The Special mentioned the Mississippi River Froze over in the 1800s could that have been connected to the Little Ice Age the Earth was in round that time? Info on what I’m referring to. en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Little_Ice_AgeLittle ice age was in the l8 1600s. Volcanic activity and maunder minimum solar cycle are two leading theories. But the river used to get ice gorges even as recent as l8 70s before it was dredged. |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Feb 21, 2020 18:30:42 GMT -6
Looked at your wikipedia link just now...i now understand your question a little better, although its climate related.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Feb 21, 2020 19:57:44 GMT -6
Gefs ensemble guidance is trending north this evening making this look more like an IA to chicago snowstorm. Still 5 days away so who knows but my point is there has never been any significant consensus on a stl major snow.
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Post by maddogchief on Feb 21, 2020 20:29:52 GMT -6
I personally am not expecting much. However, there is potential. At this point I would say there’s a 20% chance of 3”+.
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Post by Jeffmw on Feb 21, 2020 22:17:41 GMT -6
I watched the Spring Forecast last night got a question Chris or someone else here can Answer. The Special mentioned the Mississippi River Froze over in the 1800s could that have been connected to the Little Ice Age the Earth was in round that time? Info on what I’m referring to. en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Little_Ice_AgeLittle ice age was in the l8 1600s. Volcanic activity and maunder minimum solar cycle are two leading theories. But the river used to get ice gorges even as recent as l8 70s before it was dredged. Iv read it lasted to the 1800s |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 21, 2020 22:29:10 GMT -6
Models certainly are north with the main snow so far tonight. Gfs just kind of sucks no matter where you live.
Let’s see what the ukmet and euro are thinking
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 21, 2020 23:16:36 GMT -6
Ukie ain’t bad
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Feb 22, 2020 7:49:24 GMT -6
Brr chilly 22 this morning. Looking forward to the warmer temps later today.
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