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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Feb 20, 2020 7:08:26 GMT -6
I think going forecast handles it well. Chance of rain and snow. Rt now thats been the prevailing pattern all winter. I did get a kick out of brtns and fishs convo on fb yesterday haha....rain and 33 is still below normal temps.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Feb 20, 2020 7:33:53 GMT -6
Okay, so we should start filling sandbags. ;-)
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Post by mosue56 on Feb 20, 2020 7:52:06 GMT -6
New page before next weeks snowstorm, yes?
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Post by Chris Higgins on Feb 20, 2020 8:51:31 GMT -6
New page before next weeks snowstorm, yes? Hmmm... but I like nostalgia. A good ole book. And old painting, old homes. Isn't that called character  |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Feb 20, 2020 9:09:38 GMT -6
I guess a snow next week would be fitting as we will, God willing, be welcoming our son into the world at that time. That would be pretty cool now that I think about it.
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Post by SnowManJoe - Wentzville, MO on Feb 20, 2020 9:17:41 GMT -6
I guess a snow next week would be fitting as we will, God willing, be welcoming our son into the world at that time. That would be pretty cool now that I think about it. Congrats! |
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mccarthb
Junior Forecaster
O'Fallon, MO - Outer Road near border of Dardenne Prarie
Posts: 443 
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Post by mccarthb on Feb 20, 2020 9:50:22 GMT -6
New page before next weeks snowstorm, yes? Hmmm... but I like nostalgia. A good ole book. And old painting, old homes. Isn't that called character Have you turned into Bob Ross? LOL! |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Feb 20, 2020 9:52:04 GMT -6
Hmmm... but I like nostalgia. A good ole book. And old painting, old homes. Isn't that called character Have you turned into Bob Ross? LOL! Ha, maybe he can paint some "happy snowflakes" for us next week. |
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Post by cardsnweather on Feb 20, 2020 10:11:54 GMT -6
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Post by STGOutdoors on Feb 20, 2020 10:14:59 GMT -6
Pretty much all models have that thing spinning into the area with enough cold interaction. Wouldn't be a big storm most likely but would have the potential to drop a moderate amount of accumulation. Question is where it will set up. My money is on a bit too far north when all is said and done.
The timing and position of the lead low on Sunday/Monday will help steer it in its wake, and that is still very much up in the air.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 20, 2020 10:20:12 GMT -6
Yeah, that looks nice...would almost certainly drop accumulating snow underneath the mid-level low. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 20, 2020 10:28:30 GMT -6
EURO looks similar to the GFS and actually a bit more wrapped up/amplified. If we can get it to dig a bit more we'll be in business...and this has potential to really blow up overhead with the arctic airmass becoming involved.
This *could* end up being the biggest storm of the season for parts of the area...what part is the key.
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Feb 20, 2020 11:39:23 GMT -6
12z ukmet puts all the emphasis on the late weekend/early week storm.
Lots of rain for the metro. Not all that cold though at least.
Let’s see what the euro goes with.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 20, 2020 12:24:41 GMT -6
12z ukmet puts all the emphasis on the late weekend/early week storm. Lots of rain for the metro. Not all that cold though at least. Let’s see what the euro goes with. The biggest limiting factor with the mid-week system is the short wavelength between the lead storm and the next one...there might not be enough room for it to really wrap up. But that might not necessarily be a bad thing as it would temper the WAA out front a bit. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Feb 20, 2020 12:31:49 GMT -6
Operational euro looks like its going to wrap up something big but likely to far south
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Post by unclesam6 on Feb 20, 2020 12:39:12 GMT -6
EURO has ghosted us again.
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bob
Junior Forecaster
Posts: 331
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Post by bob on Feb 20, 2020 12:44:53 GMT -6
what does euro show
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Post by STGOutdoors on Feb 20, 2020 13:03:46 GMT -6
Looks like it would wrap up a storm but it just never does. So next to nothing.
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Post by unclesam6 on Feb 20, 2020 13:03:59 GMT -6
wx weenies at americanwx losing their minds over next week lmao
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 20, 2020 13:19:32 GMT -6
EURO is close to going off but doesn't get it going until the storm is well off to the east. Just need the trof to go negative a bit sooner...it develops a strong impulse in the base of the trof.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Feb 20, 2020 13:46:29 GMT -6
Tell you what… the midweek system next week may get the award for the craziest and most inconsistent solutions model to model run to run etc etc. I might have better luck closing my eyes and throwing a dart at the dartboard this time.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Feb 20, 2020 13:52:44 GMT -6
My previous post aside… BRTN has a good point about the wav likes being very short.
That will really limit the moisture availability and also curtail The system's ability to cut off for very long if it does it all. The other point of interests will be that it is likely to be screaming southeast in the northwest flow.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Feb 20, 2020 14:00:15 GMT -6
My previous post aside… BRTN has a good point about the wav likes being very short. That will really limit the moisture availability and also curtail The system's ability to cut off for very long if it does it all. The other point of interests will be that it is likely to be screaming southeast in the northwest flow. Yeah, unless it slows down and pivots it might not work out well for us...but like you said, models are still kind of all over the place. |
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Post by mosue56 on Feb 20, 2020 15:15:27 GMT -6
I’d rather have the models all over the place at this point and give us hope, rather than them all saying nope, nada!
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Post by Chris Higgins on Feb 20, 2020 15:30:41 GMT -6
And she's closed!
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