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Post by cardsnweather on Dec 14, 2019 7:21:42 GMT -6
Obscene?
Elaborate.
Anyone getting hamsters right now?
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Post by cardsnweather on Dec 14, 2019 7:23:25 GMT -6
Man, we are one small shift south from really being in business here
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Post by dschreib on Dec 14, 2019 7:24:59 GMT -6
Best guesses on timing Sunday? We’ll be driving back from Columbus, leaving around 8a central time, so home around 2ish.
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Post by jmg378s on Dec 14, 2019 7:31:14 GMT -6
uh. The 6z euro is obscene Go on. About 1" of liquid equivalent precip with most of it being snow along I-70. |
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Post by ElburnDave on Dec 14, 2019 7:31:43 GMT -6
Snowmen are masters of the pregnant pause.
Sorry to hear about your pup, STG.
In town for a funeral today, so I'm hoping for no monkey business from M.N. until at least tonight.
Hope everyone sees a bit of winter with this one!
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Post by cardsnweather on Dec 14, 2019 7:36:59 GMT -6
About 1" of liquid equivalent precip with most of it being snow along I-70. I like that version of obscene. |
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Post by bdgwx on Dec 14, 2019 7:53:46 GMT -6
Yeah apparently unclesam had been working hard on that double chocolate cake last night.
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 14, 2019 7:55:13 GMT -6
Sorry guys i was at work, got busy then left. Lol
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Post by cardsnweather on Dec 14, 2019 7:59:43 GMT -6
Nams going to be good
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Dec 14, 2019 8:05:39 GMT -6
That's good. This is a really tough set up that can really leave those in the Southern 2/3 very bitter tasting. |
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Post by weatherj on Dec 14, 2019 8:12:12 GMT -6
That's good. This is a really tough set up that can really leave those in the Southern 2/3 very bitter tasting. Yeah, I'm glad I am due east of the metro. I am on the southern edge of the accumulations as is. If this were more amplified and not shearing, I'd be screwed most likely. |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 14, 2019 8:17:28 GMT -6
Thanks again for all the kind words and personal stories. It honestly means a great deal to me. This place has gotten myself and many others through much “more than weather” over the years.
Weather wise..the nam has significantly dropped the surface temps for two runs in a row now. That makes a major difference for us southern folk.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Dec 14, 2019 8:24:29 GMT -6
What are we looking at, timing wise, for start times across the area?
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Post by Chris Higgins on Dec 14, 2019 8:28:26 GMT -6
NAM has joined phase 2 party...
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Post by The Commish- Lake St. Louis on Dec 14, 2019 8:34:57 GMT -6
We currently have snow/sleet here in lake St Louis.
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 14, 2019 8:34:58 GMT -6
Nams phase 2 is quite gnarley dudes.
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Post by ndolan387 on Dec 14, 2019 8:36:11 GMT -6
NAM has joined phase 2 party... That second wave looks showery on the Precip output. Almost like a bunch of snow squalls put together. Do you know what's causing that? This is a wild probably wrong guess, but the influence of gravity waves. There must be some convection (CSI) going on I guess. |
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Post by cardsnweather on Dec 14, 2019 8:36:28 GMT -6
This is a 48 hour system start to finish.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Dec 14, 2019 8:38:11 GMT -6
Ya it is. Nice big defo sweeping right across the metro.
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Post by mchafin on Dec 14, 2019 8:38:54 GMT -6
I may have missed something, but what is the reference to chocolate cake about?
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Post by Chris Higgins on Dec 14, 2019 8:38:59 GMT -6
The NAM often looks squirley on pivotal weather... not sure why... but the QPF output is quite impressive with phase 2.
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Post by cardsnweather on Dec 14, 2019 8:40:31 GMT -6
The NAM often looks squirley on pivotal weather... not sure why... but the QPF output is quite impressive with phase 2. Hi-Res not so much |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Dec 14, 2019 8:44:27 GMT -6
I just cherry picked a couple of soundings in phase two... a lot of that snow could be sleet. The atmosphere dries out fast mid/top of the DGZ.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Dec 14, 2019 8:48:42 GMT -6
The NAM often looks squirley on pivotal weather... not sure why... but the QPF output is quite impressive with phase 2. Hi-Res not so much Hires is only out to 60hrs... there is a whole phase 2 to come through that looks beefy. |
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Dec 14, 2019 8:50:33 GMT -6
6z EURO. KABOOM.  |
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gonefishin - WashMO
Junior Forecaster
Washington, Franklin County, MO
Posts: 491 
Snowfall Events: 2013-2014: A lot!
2014-2015: If you forecast it, it will come!
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Post by gonefishin - WashMO on Dec 14, 2019 8:53:05 GMT -6
Looks outside and was shocked to see it snowing in WashMO.
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Post by birddog on Dec 14, 2019 8:54:30 GMT -6
So do I put the plow on yet? Wait till tomorrow?
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Dec 14, 2019 8:57:32 GMT -6
The name picked up on snow as the rain ends this morning.
I'm cautiously optimistic about the next system I just have a feeling anyone along 44 and South if 70 is going to be really disappointed snow wise
The nam also has like nothing with the wAA precip in St Louis
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Dec 14, 2019 8:58:04 GMT -6
So do I put the plow on yet? Wait till tomorrow? Out where you are is looking at 4-8" |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Dec 14, 2019 9:02:59 GMT -6
In a matter of two model runs the name
You like literally loses the entire low level jet feature.
last night the name had the nose of the low level jet coming off 35-40kts reaching far northern viewing area.
This morning it has the low level jet barely reaching the far Southern counties with only half that wind speed.
So take the nam with a huge grain of salt
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