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Post by showtime - Marissa on Jan 12, 2020 15:27:12 GMT -6
Chiefs imploding like Atlanta did for the Cardinals in game 5. Now Houston says hold my beer lol |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 12, 2020 15:32:32 GMT -6
Chiefs imploding like Atlanta did for the Cardinals in game 5. Now Houston says hold my beer lol Absolutely ridiculous 1st half, but very entertaining |
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Post by bdgwx on Jan 12, 2020 15:32:38 GMT -6
Taal began erupting this morning at approximately 6:30Z. I've not see any VEI estimates, but the volcano does have a history of several 4's. The satellite loop is really cool though. col.st/Apbvy |
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Post by maddogchief on Jan 12, 2020 15:35:00 GMT -6
Taal began erupting this morning at approximately 6:30Z. I've not see any VEI estimates, but the volcano does have a history of several 4's. The satellite loop is really cool though. col.st/ApbvyWhere is this thing located at? |
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Jan 12, 2020 15:43:06 GMT -6
Final measurement for Villa Ridge was 4.0” exact.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jan 12, 2020 16:04:11 GMT -6
Taal began erupting this morning at approximately 6:30Z. I've not see any VEI estimates, but the volcano does have a history of several 4's. The satellite loop is really cool though. col.st/ApbvyWhere is this thing located at? It's in the Philippines. Was wondering the extent of the ash plume. |
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Post by unclesam6 on Jan 12, 2020 16:06:45 GMT -6
Epo with a sudden change to a positive phase by D5-7 before going back down in the longer term which is a shot in the dark. I quit. good ol' near neutral ENSO-- I assume that's what's leading to the flip-floppiness at least. |
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Post by jmg378s on Jan 12, 2020 16:26:40 GMT -6
I was looking at that Taal IR imagery earlier this morning. It's pretty cool...you can see the gravity waves at the top of the ash plume emanating away from the volcano.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 12, 2020 16:41:15 GMT -6
How big do volcanic eruptions need to be to have a noticeable effect on global temps? I know major past eruptions have cooled global temps
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Post by jmg378s on Jan 12, 2020 17:01:00 GMT -6
I don't know the answer, but according to Wikipedia Pinatubo was a VEI 6 and lowered global temps by 0.5C for a couple years back in 1991.
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Post by dschreib on Jan 12, 2020 18:30:35 GMT -6
You know how you hear a joke and it’s funny the first 27 times, but then everybody tries telling the joke and it gets not funny?
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Post by mosue56 on Jan 12, 2020 18:48:05 GMT -6
Cold next weekend but no precip! Just when it’s warm! I miss real winters!
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Post by bdgwx on Jan 12, 2020 19:47:09 GMT -6
How big do volcanic eruptions need to be to have a noticeable effect on global temps? I know major past eruptions have cooled global temps Usually VEI 5 or higher. El Chichon in 1982 was a 5 and is thought to have lowered the typical El Nino response to the global mean temperature. As was already mentioned Pinatubo in 1991 was a 6 and it caused about 0.5C of cooling. Krakatoa in 1883 was a larger VEI 6 that cooled the planet by as much 1C. Tambora in 1815 was a VEI 7 and caused the year without a summer. Sulfate aerosols are relatively short lived so the radiative forcing typically wanes within a few years for the smaller 5/6 eruptions. |
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 12, 2020 21:44:26 GMT -6
Going to be a boring week weather wise. May get to 60 Thursday, however.
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 12, 2020 21:52:43 GMT -6
If anyone has Amazon Prime, I recommend the movie "Aeronauts", based on the true story of James Glaisher. He was a pioneering meteorologist in the 1860's. He went up in a balloon and measured parts of the atmosphere. Pretty good movie, some thrilling moments of course for hollywood.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Jan 12, 2020 22:02:58 GMT -6
Seen this on Twitter.  |
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Post by Sparkman - Wildwood, Mo on Jan 12, 2020 22:05:04 GMT -6
If anyone has Amazon Prime, I recommend the movie "Aeronauts", based on the true story of James Glaisher. He was a pioneering meteorologist in the 1860's. He went up in a balloon and measured parts of the atmosphere. Pretty good movie, some thrilling moments of course for hollywood. I saw it as well and although it is entertaining - I would not recommend it. The events portrayed are actually based in reality however Hollywood in all of its infinite wisdom, decided to insert a fictional female lead in place of an actual guy who actually did risk his life to save James Glaisher. There are countless females throughout history that have done heroic things worth remembering - to discount the self sacrifice of an actual historic figure in order to conjure a convenient fictional portrayal is both lazy and patronizing. Just my .02. |
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 12, 2020 22:07:04 GMT -6
Mid 30s and rain Friday will be enjoyable.
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Post by ndolan387 on Jan 12, 2020 22:18:26 GMT -6
Mid 30s and rain Friday will be enjoyable. The 850mb low just came south a decent bit from the 18z GFS run. Way to early to iron out the details. Though, rain is a good bet, but this looks more complex to me. Freezing rain to rain to sleet/snow could be another possible outcome. |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 12, 2020 22:22:57 GMT -6
Seen this on Twitter. What’s the thinking with this? |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Jan 12, 2020 22:22:58 GMT -6
Mid 30s and rain Friday will be enjoyable. The 850mb low just came south a decent bit from the 18z GFS run. Way to early to iron out the details. Though, rain is a good bet, but this looks more complex to me. Freezing rain to rain to sleet/snow could be another possible outcome. Will be interesting to see the battle between the retreating high and the WAA. I have my money on Milwaukee getting hammered, but wouldn’t be surprised if models struggle with surface temps until we are within 48 hours. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 12, 2020 23:21:30 GMT -6
GEFS continues to shift south and weaker with the system Friday. Front side icing might need to be watched
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Jan 13, 2020 0:08:05 GMT -6
Seen this on Twitter. What’s the thinking with this? Comparison of the 850mb layer to last year. Low level cold air in a far more advantageous location for tapping if and when the stream flows adjust to permit a significant system to make use thereof. This is what the poster said in correlation to the pic. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 13, 2020 0:26:55 GMT -6
Euro is a pretty big ice storm Friday
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jan 13, 2020 1:34:19 GMT -6
Mid 30s and rain Friday will be enjoyable. Deja Vu. Though it was a bit warmer than the 30s last Friday. |
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Post by bororug on Jan 13, 2020 5:53:25 GMT -6
06 Gfs makes things interesting for late week as well.
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Post by cardsnweather on Jan 13, 2020 6:40:22 GMT -6
Will be interesting to watch that unfold. I hate ice but if there’s nothing going on I’ll take it over rain.
Regardless, last thing we need is another 2-3” of rain.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Jan 13, 2020 8:02:51 GMT -6
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Post by Spaz(Wrestlerdude) on Jan 13, 2020 8:04:20 GMT -6
06 Gfs makes things interesting for late week as well. Yeah, gfs would make it another stay home weekend for sure. |
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Post by birddog on Jan 13, 2020 8:24:22 GMT -6
Reading some post saying bring on the ice... may sand fleas attack your crotch and your arms to short to scratch!
Ice out here in rural USA is a BIG deal!
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