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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Nov 8, 2019 10:13:07 GMT -6
6z Euro, 12z NAM and GFS all looking similar Monday. Rain to snow with accumulations being light, but up to 2” possible The 6z euro shows very little if any snow in my opinion. Maybe an hour before the band moves out and it’s not exactly heavy stuff. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 8, 2019 10:18:09 GMT -6
6z Euro, 12z NAM and GFS all looking similar Monday. Rain to snow with accumulations being light, but up to 2” possible The 6z euro shows very little if any snow in my opinion. Maybe an hour before the band moves out and it’s not exactly heavy stuff. I’m just going off the WxBell p-type maps. They have snow from noon to 3-4pm in the metro. Temps are marginal for sure though |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Nov 8, 2019 10:21:02 GMT -6
The 6z euro shows very little if any snow in my opinion. Maybe an hour before the band moves out and it’s not exactly heavy stuff. I’m just going off the WxBell p-type maps. They have snow from noon to 3-4pm in the metro. Temps are marginal for sure though There are some good ensembles in that run though. Tough setup for the models to deal with |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 8, 2019 10:31:09 GMT -6
Heading down to Branson and seeing a bunch of ice in spots on the side of the road clinging to some type of bush almost looks like soap suds or someone lost a truckload of small pieces of Styrofoam, l it is easily climbing up to 2/3 in on the particular stalk that it's clinging to in the ground. Thought hoar Frost was more on needles of grass and stuff not on stalks right at the ground. Hoar frost is just a very heavy frost on limbs, grass, etc. The "styrofoam" looking stuff you're referring to is frost flowers. It's the moisture inside the stem of the plant expanding during some of the first hard freezes and essentially slowly exploding out of the stem and freezing in the air through the night. Not sure how long the process actually takes though. |
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 8, 2019 12:12:43 GMT -6
EURO looks good for STL*
meh for central mo
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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 8, 2019 12:42:50 GMT -6
EURO looks good for STL* meh for central mo Yea "not great." A hair better than last night but the trends are in the wrong direction today. This is starting to look very similar to what we had early this week, maybe plus a few flakes. That is of course unless you believe the GFS and it actually pulls one out. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 8, 2019 12:48:39 GMT -6
EURO looks good for STL* meh for central mo Yea "not great." A hair better than last night but the trends are in the wrong direction today. This is starting to look very similar to what we had early this week, maybe plus a few flakes. That is of course unless you believe the GFS and it actually pulls one out. Euro looks much better to me for just about everyone. Showing much more moisture post frontal. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 8, 2019 15:44:58 GMT -6
Nws boosting pops for Monday. Has less than inch most places but noted in the disco up to 2 is possible in places. Bottom line is that it's increasingly likely it will snow Monday.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 8, 2019 16:03:31 GMT -6
I’m pretty skeptical but we will see.
You know it’s a cold day in November when the frost flowers in the shaded areas have survived the whole day.
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Post by ndolan387 on Nov 8, 2019 16:41:00 GMT -6
With two days at 60 this weekend, the snow will have to come down at a good rate to overcome the warmer ground relatively speaking temps. Though, I am not saying it won't stick. Right now, most of the snow looks to happen mid to late morning up through the early afternoon on Monday.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 8, 2019 16:46:03 GMT -6
With two days at 60 this weekend, the snow will have to come down at a good rate to overcome the warmer ground relatively speaking temps. Though, I am not saying it won't stick. Right now, most of the snow looks to happen mid to late morning up through the early afternoon on Monday. I agree. I think it is mostly mood snow... with a light coating up to MAYBE 1 inch in some spots. Could it be a little more?  I guess... but odds are too low IMO to lean that way. |
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Post by John G -west belleville on Nov 8, 2019 16:50:50 GMT -6
With two days at 60 this weekend, the snow will have to come down at a good rate to overcome the warmer ground relatively speaking temps. Though, I am not saying it won't stick. Right now, most of the snow looks to happen mid to late morning up through the early afternoon on Monday. I agree. I think it is mostly mood snow... with a light coating up to MAYBE 1 inch in some spots. Could it be a little more? I guess... but odds are too low IMO to lean that way. Either way I'm in the deer blind to enjoy the show |
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 8, 2019 16:54:25 GMT -6
I just want it to snow with the dang sun up and not in the middle of the night again.
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Post by amstilost on Nov 8, 2019 17:16:39 GMT -6
Heading down to Branson and seeing a bunch of ice in spots on the side of the road clinging to some type of bush almost looks like soap suds or someone lost a truckload of small pieces of Styrofoam, l it is easily climbing up to 2/3 in on the particular stalk that it's clinging to in the ground. Thought hoar Frost was more on needles of grass and stuff not on stalks right at the ground. Hoar frost is just a very heavy frost on limbs, grass, etc. The "styrofoam" looking stuff you're referring to is frost flowers. It's the moisture inside the stem of the plant expanding during some of the first hard freezes and essentially slowly exploding out of the stem and freezing in the air through the night. Not sure how long the process actually takes though. That is fascinating stuff. I don't ever recall this definition. I just assumed it was all hoar frost until I looked up the definition and it just showed pictures of Hoar frost that I was familiar with. Thanks for that, the family was amazed. I love this site. Thanks again Mr. Chris Higgins. |
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Post by red12 Hillsboro,mo on Nov 8, 2019 17:26:17 GMT -6
What's this birds?
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Nov 8, 2019 17:50:20 GMT -6
Yes...waterfowl flying out of the bottoms to feed. |
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Post by Tilawn on Nov 8, 2019 17:55:46 GMT -6
I’m so sure that it won’t be anything to worry about on Monday that I’m not even going to put a plow or spreader on the trucks.
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Post by amstilost on Nov 8, 2019 18:25:10 GMT -6
I’m so sure that it won’t anything to worry about on Monday that I’m not even going to put a plow or spreader on the trucks. Thank you and we will expect this top notch level commitment to continue through April. :-) |
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 8, 2019 19:35:51 GMT -6
if anyone wanted to feel a little envy
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Post by Snowman99 on Nov 8, 2019 20:20:36 GMT -6
Meh, i got that beat. I had 15 inches of rain in 6 hours once, which wiuld have been 150 inches of snow, blowing that measley 28 inches into oblivion.
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 8, 2019 20:40:19 GMT -6
00z nam even drier.
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giarC71
Wishcaster
Posts: 221 
Snowfall Events: Blizzard of'82 I became addicted to weather
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Post by giarC71 on Nov 8, 2019 20:57:52 GMT -6
Does anyone have the link to the NWS for St Louis Snowfall forecast Map?
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Nov 8, 2019 21:04:17 GMT -6
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Post by mchafin on Nov 8, 2019 21:18:01 GMT -6
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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 8, 2019 21:21:18 GMT -6
Not much to speak of on the ICON either. Oh well it’s November and least the rug wasn’t pulled 24 hours out.
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Post by cozpregon on Nov 8, 2019 21:22:09 GMT -6
What exactly are you contemplating there giar?
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Nov 8, 2019 21:28:37 GMT -6
What exactly are you contemplating there giar? I see a nice deformation zone moving east across central Illinois on the background, so my guess is he is thinking about making a Zillow or Redfin account |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Nov 8, 2019 23:28:01 GMT -6
The Gem is pretty solid.
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Post by unclesam6 on Nov 8, 2019 23:35:28 GMT -6
Has a similar look to our in-house model. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 9, 2019 0:08:25 GMT -6
Euro coming in juicy for Monday
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I guess... but odds are too low IMO to lean that way.
