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Post by Jeffmw on Sept 25, 2019 6:28:31 GMT -6
Looks like by next Thursday things will definitely start to cool off. Does anyone else see that in the models?
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Sept 25, 2019 7:23:02 GMT -6
Had two BRIEF (like less than two minutes twice brief) just after 7 AM. By 730 the sun was trying to come out.
Glad we weren't expecting snow with that kind of performance
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Post by bdgwx on Sept 25, 2019 11:13:18 GMT -6
Keep an eye on Friday for severe weather especially for areas west and northwest of St. Louis.
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Post by SnowManJoe - Wentzville, MO on Sept 25, 2019 11:44:43 GMT -6
I am really hoping the rain stays north Friday and Saturday. We have a Cub Scout Campout at Onondaga State Park.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Sept 26, 2019 6:49:32 GMT -6
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Sept 26, 2019 10:51:09 GMT -6
Very anomalously strong upper level low for sure... |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Sept 26, 2019 12:57:55 GMT -6
I got banned from this page for calling out their BS...they are forecasting an "arctic outbreak" with record lows and a snowstorm across the Upper Midwest during the first week of October with "round after round" of arctic air. Bold forecast, lol. m.facebook.com/pg/Meteorologists |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Sept 26, 2019 13:19:34 GMT -6
I got banned from this page for calling out their BS...they are forecasting an "arctic outbreak" with record lows and a snowstorm across the Upper Midwest during the first week of October with "round after round" of arctic air. Bold forecast, lol. m.facebook.com/pg/MeteorologistsWell, you are always welcome here lol. Totally different note. I just wasted 90 minutes of my life watching THE worst weather movie of all time on youtube. "Devil Winds" It was beyond painful. |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Sept 26, 2019 13:44:23 GMT -6
So nice out today...hard to believe we are looking at another week of upper 80's/low 90's starting tomorrow.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Sept 26, 2019 13:56:30 GMT -6
I got banned from this page for calling out their BS...they are forecasting an "arctic outbreak" with record lows and a snowstorm across the Upper Midwest during the first week of October with "round after round" of arctic air. Bold forecast, lol. m.facebook.com/pg/MeteorologistsPages like that are one of the downsides of social media and weather model data being available to everyone |
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Post by jeepers on Sept 26, 2019 14:22:23 GMT -6
Consider getting banned a badge of honor, brtn. Has it been named by TWC yet? Bozo the Blizzard or somesuch...
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modracer
Weather Intern
MASCOUTAH, Illinois
Posts: 835
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Post by modracer on Sept 26, 2019 18:04:14 GMT -6
As is mine, but not 30 either, add 28 to it...lol Jeffmw, our daughter just turned 30 on 9/11 so yeah 30 years has blown by in a hurry, not sure how many mph but fast! We will be married 35 years in May! Blows me away! 9.11. My birthday as well. I'm not 30 though. |
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Post by jmg378s on Sept 26, 2019 18:27:12 GMT -6
That dude over there at Facebook Meteorologists is a piece of work. If you do enough poking around you'll go down a non-weather related rabbit hole that will have you snickering & cringing... Makes the goofball at Facebook Oklahoma Weather Network look like a professional.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Sept 26, 2019 19:07:12 GMT -6
That dude over there at Facebook Meteorologists is a piece of work. If you do enough poking around you'll go down a non-weather related rabbit hole that will have you snickering & cringing... Makes the goofball at Facebook Oklahoma Weather Network look like a professional. To his credit, it does look like there could be patchy frost up there, lol. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Sept 26, 2019 19:12:48 GMT -6
So nice out today...hard to believe we are looking at another week of upper 80's/low 90's starting tomorrow. Tomorrow looks pretty toasty with the thermal ridge working in and h85 temps 20-22*C. Luckily there will be a good breeze with a strong LLJ overhead. Saturday could go either way depending on convective trends and where exactly the front ends up. But Sun-Wed just looks downright hot with the ridge in full control. |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Sept 27, 2019 3:55:01 GMT -6
After looking at the location of the thermal ridge...and getting comfortable with the limited impact from any morning storms down near I-70... I have bumped highs up to record levels for today. Southwest winds, a thermal ridge ahead of a cold front... all spell highs at or above 90 for the metro. The record for today is 91.... set in 1891! That is definitely in jeopardy IMO.
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Post by Snowman99 on Sept 27, 2019 4:23:22 GMT -6
Dave's Sept forecast. It'll probably end up being warmest Sept ever.
Oops.
.
*** Let’s start the month...first 5-6 days on the warm to hot side...then we begin the turn...with a downward trend for the bulk of the month.
*** In the end game...This will be more of the beginning of Fall rather than the end of Summer.
*** When the month is over...temperatures will be below average...the hot start will keep temps from begin well below average.
*** I don’t see any records...day or night when it comes to temperatures...and I don’t see any frost or freeze concerns...but there will be chilly nights at times...especially late month
*** What about moisture...September typically...like August is a dry month...nothing out of the ordinary this September...not too dry...not too wet.
*** Rainfall will be near to slightly below average.
*** Area rivers will continue to relax...that is great news going into Winter and next Spring.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Sept 27, 2019 6:52:52 GMT -6
That dude over there at Facebook Meteorologists is a piece of work. If you do enough poking around you'll go down a non-weather related rabbit hole that will have you snickering & cringing... Makes the goofball at Facebook Oklahoma Weather Network look like a professional. To his credit, it does look like there could be patchy frost up there, lol. Where do these jokers go when their forecasts dont verify? I saw another winter forecast a week or two back that said record cold and snow for much of northern and central mo..looks like a recycled forecast from last year from that same group (i dont remember what group but i usually dont care, especially when it looks like a fake). These posters are just trolls looking to stir up trouble. As DM points out, just way too early. The group that seems to be doubling down for early october...he is just going to lose all credibility so early in the cool season. |
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Sept 27, 2019 6:54:54 GMT -6
After looking at the location of the thermal ridge...and getting comfortable with the limited impact from any morning storms down near I-70... I have bumped highs up to record levels for today. Southwest winds, a thermal ridge ahead of a cold front... all spell highs at or above 90 for the metro. The record for today is 91.... set in 1891! That is definitely in jeopardy IMO. Frankly, ill take it. I say this every year...im not a fall fan. |
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Post by ndolan387 on Sept 27, 2019 9:48:06 GMT -6
After looking at the location of the thermal ridge...and getting comfortable with the limited impact from any morning storms down near I-70... I have bumped highs up to record levels for today. Southwest winds, a thermal ridge ahead of a cold front... all spell highs at or above 90 for the metro. The record for today is 91.... set in 1891! That is definitely in jeopardy IMO. Frankly, ill take it. I say this every year...im not a fall fan. Are you a extremist? You like really cold and hot. I like it when we break weather records for cold and snow, but not heat haha. You can take this heat 😫! |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Sept 27, 2019 10:19:42 GMT -6
I can take record heat at 92... but over 100... those we need not ever break IMO.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Sept 27, 2019 11:09:06 GMT -6
Yikes... an 8 degree jump between 11 and noon...I hope 92 is hot enough.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Sept 27, 2019 11:18:57 GMT -6
Yikes... an 8 degree jump between 11 and noon...I hope 92 is hot enough. Wind has really picked up during that time, too |
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Post by dschreib on Sept 27, 2019 11:26:37 GMT -6
After looking at the location of the thermal ridge...and getting comfortable with the limited impact from any morning storms down near I-70... I have bumped highs up to record levels for today. Southwest winds, a thermal ridge ahead of a cold front... all spell highs at or above 90 for the metro. The record for today is 91.... set in 1891! That is definitely in jeopardy IMO. Frankly, ill take it. I say this every year...im not a fall fan. I love fall, but I love a dewy fall. I like bonfires without the threat of burning down half the county. |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Sept 27, 2019 12:13:57 GMT -6
Yikes... an 8 degree jump between 11 and noon...I hope 92 is hot enough. It felt great last night/early am. But holy moly this ridge has got to go!!!!! This southerly wind sucks! |
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Sept 27, 2019 13:03:15 GMT -6
91 at 2pm at my house.
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Post by unclesam6 on Sept 27, 2019 13:22:16 GMT -6
compressional southwest flow doing it's thang thang today
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Sept 27, 2019 13:46:33 GMT -6
Frankly, ill take it. I say this every year...im not a fall fan. Are you a extremist? You like really cold and hot. I like it when we break weather records for cold and snow, but not heat haha. You can take this heat 😫! lol. I like this weather. Then snow ranks as my second favorite. Extreme cold is down there pretty far on my list. You might be recalling my rant abt the ssw last year a bit out of context. That thing was talked abt for a month before it impacted us with 2 days of extreme cold. I dont like cold without snow, if its cold it may as well snow. |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Sept 27, 2019 13:47:49 GMT -6
compressional southwest flow doing it's thang thang today Well it can do its Thang Thang somewhere else!! ☀️🌝🌞🌡🔥 |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Sept 27, 2019 14:19:01 GMT -6
Honestly... all of this heat should spell good news for winter. I expect a pretty healthy slingshot into the cold season when it gets here.
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