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Post by Chris Higgins on Mar 12, 2019 13:58:07 GMT -6
Time for a fresh thread as we begin the legitimate pivot to Spring. That statement does not imply that we are done with cold and snow...but it does imply that the pivot has begun...and the undeniable trend is toward early Spring. To that end... flood is already becoming a concern...and is likely to become a major concern in the weeks to come as the huge storage of water in the great frozen north begins to melt. Even normal rainfall will spell big trouble. While the major rivers are most at risk...there is no denying the damp soil conditions in our area...which makes any single heavy rain event a concern. Repeat offenders will only elevate those concerns. To get ready for the flood season... I have been working over the past several weeks to update, improve, fix my excel spreadsheet that I use to snag the AHPS data and convert it into a usable format for on air and online. The data crunching and manipulating is pretty intense...considering I only use Excel. If only I had some coding expertise...but I do not. This is the fruit of my labor. Have a look...and PLEASE look for mistakes, errors, etc. It has been very challenging unwinding all the different formats the NWS uses for different gauges...some report stream flows...some only stages...some get a daily forecast... others only get a forecast when the water is high enough. Some have defined flood stage, moderate flood, major flood, etc. some do not. I have tried to account for all of those elements in the product you see here. Let me know what you think...
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Mar 12, 2019 14:21:29 GMT -6
Almost there!
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Post by rb1108 on Mar 12, 2019 15:15:33 GMT -6
When is the last time Denver has had a blizzard warning, like they do currently? It seems like their winters over the past few years have been very tame (hey, that sounds familiar...)
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Post by lizard7151971 on Mar 12, 2019 15:32:19 GMT -6
Almost there! Can't wait. Going to be interesting to see new trailers now that Captain Marvel has been released. New Spiderman comes out soon also.
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Post by Snowman99 on Mar 12, 2019 16:13:05 GMT -6
LOOks like a nice dry period coming for sure. Thankfully. No snow..but at least things will dry out..finally. nws mentions high wind warning possible on thursday.
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Post by bdgwx on Mar 12, 2019 16:59:26 GMT -6
My kid told me they watched a video about tornadoes today and it mentioned the story of the guy who was thrown the furthest distance by a tornado and survived. Coincidentally that happen on this date March 12 back in 2006 here in Missouri. The SPC issued a high risk convective outlook for this date. The guy was thrown over 1300 ft and only had minor injuries.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 12, 2019 17:03:15 GMT -6
My kid told me they watched a video about tornadoes today and it mentioned the story of the guy who was thrown the furthest distance by a tornado and survived. Coincidentally that happen on this date March 12 back in 2006 here in Missouri. The SPC issued a high risk convective outlook for this date. The guy was thrown over 1300 ft and only had minor injuries. Still the most prolific outbreak I've witnessed in the Bi-State. This date also happens to be my mothers birthday...I remember making a card with the HIGH risk outlook printed out on it and it said "have a severely great birthday", lol.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Mar 12, 2019 17:04:03 GMT -6
My kid told me they watched a video about tornadoes today and it mentioned the story of the guy who was thrown the furthest distance by a tornado and survived. Coincidentally that happen on this date March 12 back in 2006 here in Missouri. The SPC issued a high risk convective outlook for this date. The guy was thrown over 1300 ft and only had minor injuries. Was that St. Mary or the following day's outbreak in northern mo?
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Mar 12, 2019 17:25:34 GMT -6
The new thread smell!
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 12, 2019 17:33:36 GMT -6
18z Hrrr has a good looking line of storms moving through the area late tomorrow afternoon
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Post by Labrat-O'Fallon IL on Mar 12, 2019 19:34:16 GMT -6
That is a massive swath of warnings and watches with the system. And we now have major river flooding being forecast.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Mar 12, 2019 19:48:04 GMT -6
Impressive storm!
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Post by amstilost on Mar 12, 2019 20:01:29 GMT -6
My kid told me they watched a video about tornadoes today and it mentioned the story of the guy who was thrown the furthest distance by a tornado and survived. Coincidentally that happen on this date March 12 back in 2006 here in Missouri. The SPC issued a high risk convective outlook for this date. The guy was thrown over 1300 ft and only had minor injuries. Still the most prolific outbreak I've witnessed in the Bi-State. This date also happens to be my mothers birthday...I remember making a card with the HIGH risk outlook printed out on it and it said "have a severely great birthday", lol. That is hilarious Brtn....My youngest daughter was still recovering from almost being taken out of this world. 18 wheeler ran a red light and T-Boned her at Hwy 67 and 61 next to then Jefferson Memorial Hospital on March 1st. I don't remember much about that outbreak.
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weatherfan17- Denver, CO
Junior Forecaster
From Ste. Genevieve, MO currently residing in the Mile High City, Denver CO
Posts: 436
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Post by weatherfan17- Denver, CO on Mar 12, 2019 22:06:59 GMT -6
When is the last time Denver has had a blizzard warning, like they do currently? It seems like their winters over the past few years have been very tame (hey, that sounds familiar...) March 23, 2016. Was my first winter here and if I remember correctly that storm didn’t live up to the blizzard warning criteria. Already fights cancelled at DEN starting at 8am. Considering that airport is out in the middle of the plains they will foresure see blizzard conditions and I for one wouldn’t want to be on a plane trying to land in 70 mph gusts and heavy snow. All area schools are cancelled as well. They have done a great job at informing the public and keeping people ahead of the storm. I will be out in it all day because who knows when if ever I’ll see another storm of this magntitude again.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 12, 2019 22:32:59 GMT -6
When is the last time Denver has had a blizzard warning, like they do currently? It seems like their winters over the past few years have been very tame (hey, that sounds familiar...) March 23, 2016. Was my first winter here and if I remember correctly that storm didn’t live up to the blizzard warning criteria. Already fights cancelled at DEN starting at 8am. Considering that airport is out in the middle of the plains they will foresure see blizzard conditions and I for one wouldn’t want to be on a plane trying to land in 70 mph gusts and heavy snow. All area schools are cancelled as well. They have done a great job at informing the public and keeping people ahead of the storm. I will be out in it all day because who knows when if ever I’ll see another storm of this magntitude again. Be careful man, a blizzard like that is no joke...there is going to be pure whiteout conditions along the front range.
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Post by Snowman99 on Mar 13, 2019 0:31:57 GMT -6
Finally some lightning and thunder on the very back end of this rain. Pouring big time.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Mar 13, 2019 0:38:01 GMT -6
Finally some lightning and thunder on the very back end of this rain. Pouring big time. Yep just came through st Clair also. Was surprised how much lightning there was.
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Post by Snowman99 on Mar 13, 2019 2:56:52 GMT -6
Looks like a high wind watch for the area for Thursday. Wind advisory still for today. Sure has been a windy sumbitch.
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Post by toddatfarmington on Mar 13, 2019 4:40:22 GMT -6
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Post by Snowman99 on Mar 13, 2019 4:46:48 GMT -6
According to SPC meso the low is at 980 in SE Colorado.
Edit..down to 978 now.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 13, 2019 6:04:49 GMT -6
Looks like we are going to see some broken clouds and at least filtered sunshine for several hours this morning. 4km WRF develops a pretty frisky looking squall line by this afternoon and evening. Definitely concerned about a wind threat with that and possibly some isolated, quick hitting tornadoes.
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Post by cardsnweather on Mar 13, 2019 6:59:22 GMT -6
Looks like we are going to see some broken clouds and at least filtered sunshine for several hours this morning. 4km WRF develops a pretty frisky looking squall line by this afternoon and evening. Definitely concerned about a wind threat with that and possibly some isolated, quick hitting tornadoes. You called it a few days ago man.
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padlur
Junior Forecaster
Ballwin(by the golf course)
Posts: 304
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Post by padlur on Mar 13, 2019 7:06:07 GMT -6
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Mar 13, 2019 7:10:15 GMT -6
Looks like we are going to see some broken clouds and at least filtered sunshine for several hours this morning. 4km WRF develops a pretty frisky looking squall line by this afternoon and evening. Definitely concerned about a wind threat with that and possibly some isolated, quick hitting tornadoes. I'm getting the broken clouds and filtered sunshine right now. Temp hovering around 48.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Mar 13, 2019 8:11:35 GMT -6
HRRR starting to show a pretty strong squall line this evening.
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Post by Tilawn on Mar 13, 2019 8:13:53 GMT -6
Haven’t seen the sun this morning. On and off again sprinkles and light shower. Not much to add to the gauge tho. Breeze is picking up already as well. Not a great day to have an outside job 😊
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Post by jeffcobeeman on Mar 13, 2019 9:40:32 GMT -6
I'll be glad if it dries out! Im ready for a month long drought really. I hope the high winds die down by Friday morning. We're hooking up the 5th wheel and heading on the first camping trip of the season. I don't want to pull that thing with high winds!
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Post by unclesam6 on Mar 13, 2019 10:01:36 GMT -6
The storm has officially "bombed" out
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Post by unclesam6 on Mar 13, 2019 10:05:59 GMT -6
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Post by cardsnweather on Mar 13, 2019 10:13:32 GMT -6
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