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Post by bellevillewxguy on May 31, 2018 10:14:39 GMT -6
Sunglasses are needed in Belleville with lots of Sun. Things cleared up pretty quickly.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on May 31, 2018 10:38:42 GMT -6
Got a big ol' goose egg for rain in St. Peters
Sunglasses needed here for the last half hour
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on May 31, 2018 11:07:04 GMT -6
5% tornado likelyhood in the southeast of MO today...
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Post by toddatfarmington on May 31, 2018 11:14:59 GMT -6
Received .57" of rain this morning, measured wind gust of 51mph at KFAM as well. Some small limb damage and sporatic power outages due to downed limbs.
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Post by goosetalk - Troy, MO on May 31, 2018 11:30:35 GMT -6
5% tornado likelyhood in the southeast of MO today... |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on May 31, 2018 11:47:38 GMT -6
5% tornado likelyhood in the southeast of MO today... thank you! |
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Post by STGOutdoors on May 31, 2018 12:16:25 GMT -6
Things should pop over south central MO any minute now. A little concerned about hail potential with these cells.
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Post by toddatfarmington on May 31, 2018 12:57:05 GMT -6
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Post by STGOutdoors on May 31, 2018 12:59:03 GMT -6
Tornado Watch has been issued. Could get nasty down here over the next couple hours. Showers just starting to pop. |
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Post by perryville on May 31, 2018 13:25:38 GMT -6
This seems to be the most serious incident that occurred in Perry Count, MO, with this morning’s storms. This is in northern Perry County, close to the Mississippi River.  |
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Post by jmg378s on May 31, 2018 13:32:11 GMT -6
Not to detract from the this afternoon's pending events as we wait for storms to really get going, but I think we're going to have to consider the possibility of overnight/morning convection spoiling the atmosphere on Saturday for some parts of MO in terms of severe chances. ECM, GFS, and NAM are all unanimous on an MCS (albeit weakening) making into MO Saturday morning.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 31, 2018 13:37:42 GMT -6
Not to detract from the this afternoon's pending events as we wait for storms to really get going, but I think we're going to have to consider the possibility of overnight/morning convection spoiling the atmosphere on Saturday for some parts of MO in terms of severe chances. ECM, GFS, and NAM are all unanimous on an MCS (albeit weakening) making into MO Saturday morning. Hi Res NAM gets an MCS going Friday night that eats up a large chunk of the instability in Mo for Saturday. Dying MCS's sure love being party poopers around here |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on May 31, 2018 13:39:03 GMT -6
Got my lawn mowed and other odds and ends of chores done to get ready for the rain, which of course means that none will come. Looking at trends I'm surprised NWS still has 60% pops this far north, thinking more like a 20% or even less will do. For the central and northern thirds of the area it's on to Saturday otherwise it looks like it won't rain for awhile with mega upper level ridge building in for next week. Looks hellish as well, especially Wednesday onwards, talking heat warning type stuff.
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Post by dragons7stegen on May 31, 2018 14:06:44 GMT -6
Mr. Higgins I just saw you reporting at Valle football field where crews were cleaning up tree damage from this morning storms. If you need more footage in Valle Springs neighborhood ( close to your location) there is a large tree down over a sidewalk right before the first house as you enter. There is also a flagpole bent in half or over from this morning in that neighborhood. There are also large limbs down by a residence in front of the middle school. I would have stopped and said hello and grabbed a selfie but I'm heading north with my 4 yr old son to the Cardinals game. I also figured you have a pretty busy night and were probably going to stay down this way with redevelopment and needed to be respectful of that. Stay safe, last time you were down this way my hometown of Perryville took a hit from a strong tornado.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on May 31, 2018 14:34:48 GMT -6
The latest SPC day one outlook moves the greatest risk further south. Even the marginal is no longer covering the city.
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Post by STGOutdoors on May 31, 2018 14:40:53 GMT -6
Looks like the majority of the activity is going to even be south of me. Not developing much at all just yet.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 31, 2018 14:56:15 GMT -6
Not to detract from the this afternoon's pending events as we wait for storms to really get going, but I think we're going to have to consider the possibility of overnight/morning convection spoiling the atmosphere on Saturday for some parts of MO in terms of severe chances. ECM, GFS, and NAM are all unanimous on an MCS (albeit weakening) making into MO Saturday morning. Hi Res NAM gets an MCS going Friday night that eats up a large chunk of the instability in Mo for Saturday. Dying MCS's sure love being party poopers around here 9 times out of 10 you can bank on that scenario playing out around here... |
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on May 31, 2018 15:04:10 GMT -6
It has gotten breezy in the last half hour.
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Post by STGOutdoors on May 31, 2018 15:17:18 GMT -6
I really expected more for southern half of viewing area this afternoon. Guess it isn't gonna happen.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on May 31, 2018 15:20:14 GMT -6
I really expected more for southern half of viewing area this afternoon. Guess it isn't gonna happen. Agreed, i thought we would have some big boy supercells going by now. Still some time for things to come together, but maybe further south than thought |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on May 31, 2018 15:43:26 GMT -6
I really expected more for southern half of viewing area this afternoon. Guess it isn't gonna happen. Agreed, i thought we would have some big boy supercells going by now. Still some time for things to come together, but maybe further south than thought There is a band of towering cumulus and some radar returns from Pike Co. down towards Jeff City, but for the most part the air mass has struggled to destabilize across the region behind thus mornings debris. |
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Post by toddatfarmington on May 31, 2018 15:46:25 GMT -6
Some wicked hail signatures in the cell down around van buren
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Post by toddatfarmington on May 31, 2018 15:47:13 GMT -6
And now a tornado warning as well
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Post by guyfromhecker on May 31, 2018 16:21:26 GMT -6
The storm over St Clair County already has supercell characteristics with a well-formed meso in the rear
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Post by guyfromhecker on May 31, 2018 16:28:38 GMT -6
The storm over St Clair County already has supercell characteristics with a well-formed meso in the rear Not looking like it's getting going very well. It had classic shape there for a while |
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Post by STGOutdoors on May 31, 2018 18:16:01 GMT -6
Not they're goin kaboom. Question is will they sag south or hit me here in Perryville.
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Post by bdgwx on May 31, 2018 18:22:02 GMT -6
There are some unusually strong anticyclonic left movers down there. Three of them are severe warned and are likely dropping some large hail.
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Post by bdgwx on May 31, 2018 18:28:54 GMT -6
There's not a single storm chaser on any of those left movers which is a shame because at least one of them could be close to showing a rare anticyclonic supercell funnel.
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Post by STGOutdoors on May 31, 2018 18:34:58 GMT -6
Golf ball hail reported near Viburnum. Watch out Todd! Where's the Farmington webcam link?
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Post by fojginmo on May 31, 2018 18:38:00 GMT -6
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