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Post by bdgwx on Nov 25, 2024 15:55:32 GMT -6
18Z ICON joins the party.
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Nov 25, 2024 16:17:40 GMT -6
18Z ICON joins the party. For Saturday?
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Nov 25, 2024 19:05:09 GMT -6
18Z ICON joins the party. For Saturday? Yes...a blend of the 12z models paints a pretty snowy picture near/along I-70 on Saturday with that clipper. Some wet flakes are still possible N of 70 Wed evening as well but nothing substantial.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 25, 2024 19:15:31 GMT -6
18z Euro would have several inches of snow right through the heart of the area Saturday
Only 6 days out. What could go wrong.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 25, 2024 19:44:04 GMT -6
Yeah, the Saturday clipper has my attention. But clipper tracks can adjust significantly in even just a few hours before arrival. But the consensus of tracks at least has us in the game.. and temps will have been cold enough, long enough that even a small, short burst of snow should be able to accumulate a little. Selfishly, I'm going to a high school football playoff game Saturday afternoon and it would kind of fun to watch a "snow bowl" game in person!
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 25, 2024 21:28:07 GMT -6
Trying hard not to get sucked into a clipper 5 days out.... trying hard. But, the 00z Icon is very nice! It means nothing this far out... but the sounding over central Missouri has some VERY steep lapse rates through the DGZ. On the flip side... it is also still pretty dry below the saturated area of lift. So in a fantasy world... how much of that snow produced in that pretty sounding can survive the dry layer below?
All way too early to get wrapped into... but since it's early in the season it's nice to dream.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 25, 2024 22:20:20 GMT -6
00z Canadian is onboard! It is almost a carbon copy of the Icon actually. If only it were not 5 days out.................................
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 25, 2024 23:12:39 GMT -6
GEFS looks pretty good as well for Saturday
I still wouldn’t rule out some flakes Thanksgiving morning
Nothing that will accumulate, but could be a quick burst of mood snow
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 25, 2024 23:54:01 GMT -6
And the 00z euro is on board with the others.
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Post by amstilost on Nov 26, 2024 6:41:35 GMT -6
Sitting at 28* this morning I was surprised to see Lambert down to 30* already. The record will live at least one more year.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Nov 26, 2024 7:28:35 GMT -6
29 here ….. first time we have been below freezing down here
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Post by STGOutdoors on Nov 26, 2024 14:10:34 GMT -6
Basically all the models have a good shot at some light snow Saturday. Hard to get excited about it yet though since it is so small and could swing north with little notice.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Nov 26, 2024 14:25:16 GMT -6
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 26, 2024 17:47:53 GMT -6
Safe to say there is likely to be some light snow and flurries Saturday for many areas around St. Louis. I think generally speaking we are looking at around 1 inch... possibly a little more in a very narrow band where the heaviest snow focuses for a little longer time...and that may end up somewhere between Columbia and Rolla. Not a big system by any means, but the first flakes and a decent shot at the first light accumulations of snow for the season.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Nov 26, 2024 18:01:30 GMT -6
Safe to say there is likely to be some light snow and flurries Saturday for many areas around St. Louis. I think generally speaking we are looking at around 1 inch... possibly a little more in a very narrow band where the heaviest snow focuses for a little longer time...and that may end up somewhere between Columbia and Rolla. Not a big system by any means, but the first flakes and a decent shot at the first light accumulations of snow for the season. Some of the models have hinted at some pretty healthy looking mid-level Fgen developing across the region...that could help boost amounts over an inch where that sets up.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 26, 2024 18:48:49 GMT -6
Safe to say there is likely to be some light snow and flurries Saturday for many areas around St. Louis. I think generally speaking we are looking at around 1 inch... possibly a little more in a very narrow band where the heaviest snow focuses for a little longer time...and that may end up somewhere between Columbia and Rolla. Not a big system by any means, but the first flakes and a decent shot at the first light accumulations of snow for the season. Some of the models have hinted at some pretty healthy looking mid-level Fgen developing across the region...that could help boost amounts over an inch where that sets up. This is definitely the kind of system that could produce a 5-10 mile wide band of heavy snow over a couple of hours. If it parks itself as the system pivots, those would be the places to be for several inches for sure.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Nov 26, 2024 19:09:05 GMT -6
I'm actually a little intrigued by the potential for some freezing drizzle late tomorrow night. For at least a little while, soundings show a shallow saturated layer topped off by a pocket of dry air that could support a few hours of drizzle as temperatures drop to and below freezing.
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Post by WEAXWATCHER on Nov 26, 2024 19:11:05 GMT -6
I'll be in Nashville TN... enjoy the snow.
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