Chris's Corner - Hurricane Helene Edition

[bellevillewxguy]

Visually it just looks like there's a slight tint to the sky that's an dark red but nothing defined.

[dschreib]

May spoiled us down here. That was 45 minutes to an hour straight of colors dancing across the sky. Chris—Canada’s were good, but the videos out of Norway are amazing! I think it should be a MTW field trip.

[hage]

I've seen a few good shows in Canada, that stretch around 9:30 with all the red was right up there with them! Incredible!

[blueblood]

Was able to take this with my phone about an hour ago. East end of Belleville.

[STGOutdoors]

I agree, 915-930 tonight was unreal.

[guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters]

Friends as far south as Alabama and South Carolina posted pictures to Facebook. But we couldn't see it here because of lighting from a neighboring sports field.

[ajd446]

Last night was amazing in St.Peters. I had awesome pics at my house, as well as some nice ones in the parking lot at midrivers mall.

Of course camera on phone was best however even to the naked eye it was beautiful and much more vibrant than May at least locally.

[jmg378s]

Yeah that aurora last night was spectacular. A bit dull with the naked eye, but definitely more vivid through a phone.

[amstilost]

I see I have a low of 33* forecast with areas of frost on Wednesday morning. If anyone's been watching does this look like the type of cold air mass that'll come down stronger and maybe give us a freeze by that time. 33 seems awful close this far out cuz usually it gets closer in these types of situations it generally goes colder.🥶🥶🥶🥶

[BRTNWXMAN]

Oct 12, 2024 14:35:39 GMT -6 amstilost said:

I see I have a low of 33* forecast with areas of frost on Wednesday morning. If anyone's been watching does this look like the type of cold air mass that'll come down stronger and maybe give us a freeze by that time. 33 seems awful close this far out cuz usually it gets closer in these types of situations it generally goes colder.🥶🥶🥶🥶

It's possible with the dry ground that favorable radiative conditions will allow a hard freeze, especially in drainage areas. We'll have to see how conditions are looking on Monday or Tuesday. I'm keeping a close eye on it as I've still got some pepper plants producing well. May need to get the water walls out. But right now, 32*ish looks about right which isn't a hard freeze. But definitely good frost potential.

[amstilost]

Oct 12, 2024 14:42:58 GMT -6 BRTNWXMAN said:

Oct 12, 2024 14:35:39 GMT -6 amstilost said:

I see I have a low of 33* forecast with areas of frost on Wednesday morning. If anyone's been watching does this look like the type of cold air mass that'll come down stronger and maybe give us a freeze by that time. 33 seems awful close this far out cuz usually it gets closer in these types of situations it generally goes colder.🥶🥶🥶🥶

It's possible with the dry ground that favorable radiative conditions will allow a hard freeze, especially in drainage areas. We'll have to see how conditions are looking on Monday or Tuesday. I'm keeping a close eye on it as I've still got some pepper plants producing well. May need to get the water walls out. But right now, 32*ish looks about right which isn't a hard freeze. But definitely good frost potential.

Thanks, we still have some peppers, carrots, cauliflower, broccoli, and kohlrabi. Our fall plantings.👍

[bdgwx]

!AccuNotWx! has revised their damage estimates.

Helene - $225-250 billion
Milton - $160-180 billion

https://www.!AccuNotWx!.com/en/hurricane/hurricane-milton-by-the-numbers-an-ef3-tornado-and-blowout-tide/1702670

[bellevillewxguy]

Comet Tsuchinshan-ATLAS is visible in the eastern evening skies after sunset about 20-30 mins afterward but increasing in time as the comet pulls away from the sun. It made it's closest approach to Earth yesterday but should be bright for at least another week or so before becoming a binocular object. Got a long vivid tail and robust coma.

[BRTNWXMAN]

Looks like we could see a band of showers Tuesday AM with the secondary cold front...that's a pretty sharp trof with a strong vort lobe dropping in and some mid-level moisture in tow. Thermo profiles are awfully close to supporting frozen precip too...but warm surface temps would probably favor rain if those showers develop. Just something to watch.

The EC is still bullish with that trof ejection late next week while the GEM/GFS cut it off and delay the timing. That continues to look like a system that could bring a severe storm threat to the Central US.

[ElKay23 - Columbia, IL]

Oct 13, 2024 7:37:03 GMT -6 bellevillewxguy said:

Comet Tsuchinshan-ATLAS is visible in the eastern evening skies after sunset about 20-30 mins afterward but increasing in time as the comet pulls away from the sun. It made it's closest approach to Earth yesterday but should be bright for at least another week or so before becoming a binocular object. Got a long vivid tail and robust coma.

I thought it was the western sky?

[dgl1004-Moberly, MO]

I’m not as big of winter weather as many are on this board but I’m ready to follow potential winter storms instead of hurricanes and tornado outbreaks.

[bellevillewxguy]

Oct 13, 2024 8:32:26 GMT -6 ElKay23 - Columbia, IL said:

Oct 13, 2024 7:37:03 GMT -6 bellevillewxguy said:

Comet Tsuchinshan-ATLAS is visible in the eastern evening skies after sunset about 20-30 mins afterward but increasing in time as the comet pulls away from the sun. It made it's closest approach to Earth yesterday but should be bright for at least another week or so before becoming a binocular object. Got a long vivid tail and robust coma.

I thought it was the western sky?

Your right. Sun rises in the east and sets in the west. Had it reversed. That's what happens when I try to post something in the morning and haven't had my coffee yet.

[RyanD]

I got some amazing pics of it with my phone and so did my kids from our driveway. I'll try to post pics later.

[House Springs ~ DeerKiller ~]

Now this is pumpkin selling weather!🎃🎃🎃

Never heard so many people claiming these pumpkins will go bad because of the hot weather

The pumpkins that are not at my store are sitting out in the field... 🤷‍♂️

[BRTNWXMAN]

Oct 14, 2024 12:47:16 GMT -6 House Springs ~ DeerKiller ~ said:

Now this is pumpkin selling weather!🎃🎃🎃

Never heard so many people claiming these pumpkins will go bad because of the hot weather

The pumpkins that are not at my store are sitting out in the field... 🤷‍♂️

I wouldn't be surprised that the warm weather has led to some fermented pumpkins if they were left in the field too long but I'd think cool, wet weather would be worse for rot *shrug*

Have you gotten any feedback how the harvest has been this year locally?

[Snowstorm920]

Freeze warnings up for roughly the western half of the CWA minus the city.

Getting to be that time of year.

[BRTNWXMAN]

Oct 14, 2024 13:42:23 GMT -6 Snowstorm920 said:

Freeze warnings up for roughly the western half of the CWA minus the city.

Getting to be that time of year.

Models trended a bit further west with the low-level ridge axis...light N flow may save the E side from a freeze

[House Springs ~ DeerKiller ~]

Oct 14, 2024 13:22:33 GMT -6 BRTNWXMAN said:

Oct 14, 2024 12:47:16 GMT -6 House Springs ~ DeerKiller ~ said:

Now this is pumpkin selling weather!🎃🎃🎃

Never heard so many people claiming these pumpkins will go bad because of the hot weather

The pumpkins that are not at my store are sitting out in the field... 🤷‍♂️

I wouldn't be surprised that the warm weather has led to some fermented pumpkins if they were left in the field too long but I'd think cool, wet weather would be worse for rot *shrug*

Have you gotten any feedback how the harvest has been this year locally?

all my farmers had a bumper crop! Larger and cheaper than last year...

Now that being said I did have several say those big rains in July hurt some fields

But they all have irrigation so dry is good for pumpkins

[ElKay23 - Columbia, IL]

Comet develops rare anti-tail.
spaceweather.com/

[amstilost]

I have a clear shot of Venus but I do not see the comet. I'm assuming it is just to the right of Venus. I got a pretty wide view to the right of Venus before trees get in my way so I'm sure it's not that far to the right of it. Can anyone else see it right now???

[ElKay23 - Columbia, IL]

Same, not seeing it.

[Snowstorm920]

Oct 14, 2024 17:56:37 GMT -6 amstilost said:

I have a clear shot of Venus but I do not see the comet. I'm assuming it is just to the right of Venus. I got a pretty wide view to the right of Venus before trees get in my way so I'm sure it's not that far to the right of it. Can anyone else see it right now???

Look at the mid point between Venus and the star Arcturus. It’s small and dim and not easy to see with the naked eye. This is a 3 second exposure I just grabbed.

[Snowstorm920]

Better one with the sun going down

[dschreib]

[dschreib]