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Post by Chris Higgins on Aug 11, 2021 14:24:34 GMT -6
Thank goodness there is a breeze out there this afternoon!
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Aug 11, 2021 14:34:05 GMT -6
I out a fan out for the chickens and some ice water. They aren’t doing well today in this heat.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Aug 11, 2021 14:43:57 GMT -6
Thank goodness there is a breeze out there this afternoon! I liken it to a blow dryer to the face  |
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Post by mosue56 on Aug 11, 2021 15:31:38 GMT -6
Oh gee the humidity is 50 something in Festus but 94 with a breeze! C’mon fall!
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Post by mosue56 on Aug 11, 2021 16:33:22 GMT -6
Sunset is 7:59 losing that daylight 2 min everyday! Cmon cool
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Post by Snowman99 on Aug 11, 2021 16:38:42 GMT -6
What a pleasant afternoon. Refreshing
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Aug 11, 2021 16:56:51 GMT -6
What a pleasant afternoon. Refreshing Yeah if you are into DEATH BY HEAT EXHAUSTION. |
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Post by ajd446 on Aug 11, 2021 21:11:25 GMT -6
Holding around 90 at 10 p.m. at night is bout as warm as it gets after dark in this area. It is nasty put even being late evening.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 12, 2021 8:31:35 GMT -6
A wild frivolous appears!
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Post by House Springs ~ DeerKiller ~ on Aug 12, 2021 9:40:51 GMT -6
A wild frivolous appears! we are less than 100 days from our 1st snow opportunity Seems about right 😂 |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Aug 12, 2021 10:00:13 GMT -6
Starting to get a little nervous about the storms up on the Iowa Missouri line. If they throw out an outflow boundary... I could see them testing the cap... and eventually breaking the cap... resulting in a southward propagating MCS. This is one solution that has shown up in some of the CAMs at times this AM as well as in the most recent run of the HRRR. Another possible solution is that the bubbling underway in KS breaks open early and sends a forward propegating MCS rapidly east across MO this afternoon. I was hoping to keep storms at bay until at least midnight... but that is in question now.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 12, 2021 10:06:17 GMT -6
Yeah, that cluster along the border is already showing signs of turning southward down the river valley...definitely bears watching late this afternoon or early evening.
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Post by cardsnweather on Aug 12, 2021 10:50:58 GMT -6
My goodness, spots just north of Champaign may get over a foot of rain.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 12, 2021 11:12:18 GMT -6
My goodness, spots just north of Champaign may get over a foot of rain. N/central IL into WI has been absolutely hammered the past several days! |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Aug 12, 2021 11:15:08 GMT -6
Starting to see some steady southward propagation of that MCS with the outflow kicking off more storms to the south
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 12, 2021 11:17:24 GMT -6
Outflow near UIN surging down the river valley with storms firing along it and upstream.
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Post by Chris Higgins on Aug 12, 2021 11:23:40 GMT -6
Outflow near UIN surging down the river valley with storms firing along it and upstream. Interesting though that the cells popping up behind the outflow are clearly struggling with the cap... the main band of storms hasn't moved all that much yet... even with the low level oufow pushing south. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 12, 2021 11:37:02 GMT -6
Yeah, they do seem to be shallow. Always tricky when you're dealing with stout CINH but strong surface heating and low-level forcing.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Aug 12, 2021 12:24:07 GMT -6
Hrrrr is still out to lunch with that MCS to our north
It’s been predicting it to dissipate all morning
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Aug 12, 2021 13:57:49 GMT -6
Will the severe cluster north of Marshall, MO get here before we lose the daytime heating?
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Aug 12, 2021 14:04:23 GMT -6
Will the severe cluster north of Marshall, MO get here before we lose the daytime heating? She’s really starting to move fast so I would think it should hold together for awhile. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Aug 12, 2021 14:06:51 GMT -6
Will the severe cluster north of Marshall, MO get here before we lose the daytime heating? I’d keep a close eye on that. Could pose a severe threat here this evening |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 12, 2021 14:36:33 GMT -6
If that cluster out past COU develops a cold pool and forward momentum, it could pose a significant wind risk.
SPC doesn't seem too impressed with this but with DCAPE running 1200j/kg+ there's definitely potential for severe winds.
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Aug 12, 2021 14:57:24 GMT -6
Outflow coming down form the NE is gonna start really firing up.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Aug 12, 2021 14:57:27 GMT -6
Yea that cluster is starting to take on the bowed appearance.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 12, 2021 15:12:42 GMT -6
Yea that cluster is starting to take on the bowed appearance. Thinking we need a watch ASAP...almost solid warnings all the way back past KC with that bow echo. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Aug 12, 2021 15:15:42 GMT -6
Yea that cluster is starting to take on the bowed appearance. Thinking we need a watch ASAP...almost solid warnings all the way back past KC with that bow echo. Agreed. SPC seems to be dragging their feet a bit. MLCAPE is approaching 3500-4000j/kg across the area |
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Post by bdgwx on Aug 12, 2021 15:30:20 GMT -6
Storms are starting fire along that outflow boundary moving into the metro from the northeast. Kudos to demerson- Fletcher MO for calling that. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 12, 2021 15:34:35 GMT -6
Looks like a bookend vortex is developing near Macon as it's starting to interact with the outflow boundary from earlier storms. Strongly backed easterly winds here and the temp has dropped almost 20*. There may be a tornado risk right along that boundary and it looks to set up near the Metro as the line approaches.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Aug 12, 2021 15:51:58 GMT -6
Big time mid-level rotation developing near Hannibal...
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