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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Jan 4, 2021 17:07:58 GMT -6
Lol heck it was almost 50 here with sun.
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Post by koll27–Waterloo, IL on Jan 4, 2021 17:24:56 GMT -6
For the most part, the weather here has been incredibly boring since August. Sucks. I need a snowstorm.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 4, 2021 17:33:34 GMT -6
For the most part, the weather here has been incredibly boring since August. Sucks. I need a snowstorm. I’d even take a severe weather threat at this point. When was the last legit cool season severe threat we’ve had around here? 2013 maybe? |
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Post by Tilawn on Jan 4, 2021 17:36:42 GMT -6
Unfortunately , it is what it is. You can’t change the weather , we live in an area that seems to get screwed year after year. About every 4-5 years we have a good season. It really stinks when you are a snow Contractor who has to buy thousands and thousands of dollars worth of chemicals with no guarantee it will snow. That’s what really stinks about this area. I’m kind of numb to it by now. We are almost half way through our snow season with no storm insight . January 15th it usually about the half way point. Using the funds now and not getting much back in return for it sucks but it’ll store until next season and then we don’t have to purchase it then. |
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 4, 2021 18:43:50 GMT -6
18z euro is vomit worthy for later this week
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Post by landscaper on Jan 4, 2021 19:30:56 GMT -6
Let me guess accumulating snow within 50 miles of St. Louis
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giarC71
Wishcaster
Posts: 221 
Snowfall Events: Blizzard of'82 I became addicted to weather
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Post by giarC71 on Jan 4, 2021 19:56:30 GMT -6
Unfortunately , it is what it is. You can’t change the weather , we live in an area that seems to get screwed year after year. About every 4-5 years we have a good season. It really stinks when you are a snow Contractor who has to buy thousands and thousands of dollars worth of chemicals with no guarantee it will snow. That’s what really stinks about this area. I’m kind of numb to it by now. We are almost half way through our snow season with no storm insight . January 15th it usually about the half way point. Using the funds now and not getting much back in return for it sucks but it’ll store until next season and then we don’t have to purchase it then. Can you not use the chemicals and stock up for next year? |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 4, 2021 20:50:41 GMT -6
The mid-week system still bears watching but consensus is definitely pointing towards S MO and IL for snowfall potential. Those type of systems usually try to sneak further NE with time though...but we've already missed one similar storm to the south this season so it wouldn't surprise me if it misses us.
We just can't seem to catch a break this winter...
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 4, 2021 21:06:53 GMT -6
Nam isn’t doing us any favors with this week’s system. Need something from gfs and/or gem to keep hope going. Geez.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 4, 2021 21:56:50 GMT -6
GFS is close but this thing is just sliding off to the SE to quick.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 4, 2021 22:01:58 GMT -6
GFSv16 is much better. Need to see the other models come in similar to that
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Post by landscaper on Jan 4, 2021 22:04:42 GMT -6
That’s basically our last hope gem gets close but not quite. We need a 100 mile shift east north east
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 4, 2021 22:36:28 GMT -6
And the gem has gone south with the weekend storm. I sure hope Louisiana enjoys their snow!
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 4, 2021 22:45:31 GMT -6
We have to cash in here eventually. This pattern mid month and beyond just looks to good
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Post by Snowman99 on Jan 5, 2021 0:16:36 GMT -6
euro is further north, but still has the decent snow from Crawford, Washington and southern Jeffco on south. Maybe a dusting here.
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Post by Tilawn on Jan 5, 2021 7:01:31 GMT -6
Fairly thick fog setting in again this morning. North Highway 47 in the Warrenton area must be having black ice issues this morning as well.
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 5, 2021 8:24:24 GMT -6
If anyone wants to pull their hair out have a look at the 12z nam. I mean honestly, what invisible forcefield is that moisture plume from the south hitting?
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Post by weatherj on Jan 5, 2021 8:42:54 GMT -6
If anyone wants to pull their hair out have a look at the 12z nam. I mean honestly, what invisible forcefield is that moisture plume from the south hitting? Is it coming in from the south and heading north? Is it heading north but then turns eastward due to confluence across the lakes? |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 5, 2021 8:44:01 GMT -6
I still think southern half of area is in play but I'd like to see that snow edge up a little bit at this range.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Jan 5, 2021 9:07:51 GMT -6
06z euro still hits the southern 1/3rd of the area pretty good. Where’s that last minute north shift when you need it
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 5, 2021 9:15:20 GMT -6
Icon looks a bit better, like the Euro and RGEM with that band from Farmington/STG points south. Just a little more nudge north please. It's becoming evident wherever that band sets up could see some decent snow.
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 5, 2021 11:20:30 GMT -6
Being a weather enthusiast in St. Louis sure is unrewarding these days...
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Jan 5, 2021 11:43:41 GMT -6
writeup in louisville disco 1233 Est jan 4 speaks of neg epo pos pna with the forecaster suspecting a cold pattern emerging after the 20th. looking for a decent snow build across western canada until then resulting in a colder more wintry pattern as we head into last 2 weeks of jan.
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Post by landscaper on Jan 5, 2021 11:44:36 GMT -6
There’s really no storms in sight , the SSW is underway but I heard today most of the cold is headed to Europe on the models, we have that going for us
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 5, 2021 11:53:59 GMT -6
Being a weather enthusiast in St. Louis sure is unrewarding these days... The ridging developing over the Lakes as this midweek system comes south- blocks it from coming north. I've seen it a few times over the years... but this is getting a bit ridiculous. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 5, 2021 11:54:34 GMT -6
There’s really no storms in sight , the SSW is underway but I heard today most of the cold is headed to Europe on the models, we have that going for us The cold always dumps into Eurasia first as these SSW events unfold...I wouldn't sweat it just yet. Long range models look pretty solid towards mid-month across NA. |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Jan 5, 2021 11:56:20 GMT -6
Being a weather enthusiast in St. Louis sure is unrewarding these days... The ridging developing over the Lakes as this midweek system comes south- blocks it from coming north. I've seen it a few times over the years... but this is getting a bit ridiculous. Seems like models have consistently underestimated the strength of the downstream surface ridge lately. |
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Post by bellevillewxguy on Jan 5, 2021 11:57:18 GMT -6
GFS says cold air isn't a problem, just no storms or they are all suppressed to the south. It's 14+ days of no sensible weather. My favorite. (Sarcasm).
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Post by cozpregon on Jan 5, 2021 11:57:36 GMT -6
The ridging developing over the Lakes as this midweek system comes south- blocks it from coming north. I've seen it a few times over the years... but this is getting a bit ridiculous. Seems like models have consistently underestimated the strength of the downstream surface ridge lately. A day long omega just to screw us |
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Post by STGOutdoors on Jan 5, 2021 12:20:01 GMT -6
For once I'm rooting for the Euro. Southerners still in play according to it.
This one fits the theme of the season - relatively small swath of snow with a local jackpot. Odds of that right now are roughly from Springfield into the central Ozarks.
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