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Post by showtime - Marissa on Mar 28, 2020 22:51:02 GMT -6
Live coverage of the jonesboro storm-- @brtn was spot on. Went from a small funnel to a life-threatening tornado within 60 seconds. They likely saved lives today..... just shows how important you Mets are to our communities |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Mar 29, 2020 0:06:06 GMT -6
That tornado will he studied for yrs to come. Hopefully they will get some good data on that thing. My goodness how fast it blew up!!
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 29, 2020 10:12:48 GMT -6
Storm reports overlaid on the 11:30am outlook yesterday  |
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Post by Snowman99 on Mar 29, 2020 10:14:37 GMT -6
Storm reports overlaid on the 11:30am outlook yesterday oops |
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 29, 2020 10:56:57 GMT -6
That's honestly not terrible...definitely a bust for MO and S IL though. Timmer posted a good re-analysis of yesterday's setup earlier and the two clusters of tornadic storms seemed closely associated with the LER and RER of the jetstreak and the associated enhanced LLJ cores. We happened to be inbetween those regions...and the persistent cloud deck kept instability lower than forecast.
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Mar 29, 2020 12:16:24 GMT -6
Well other than the one tornadic rpt in sw IA, every rpt looks like it was in an outlook delineated area of marginal or above. All in all looks pretty good. It does look like IA had more tornadic rpts than n IL where the mdt risk was delineated but i dont think that much shld be read into that. Perhaps in Eastern OH into western PA they got more severe rpts than a marginal outlook may suggest, this really goes to show the viligance needed with any outlook. I think dividing the areas between N Il and the OH valley wld not hv been advisable with the dryline. I consider this outlook pretty much fully verified.
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Post by dschreib on Mar 29, 2020 13:28:56 GMT -6
Live coverage of the jonesboro storm-- @brtn was spot on. Went from a small funnel to a life-threatening tornado within 60 seconds. They likely saved lives today..... just shows how important you Mets are to our communities Just now catching up to the Corner. 7+ minutes into a tornado on the ground and no warning? Yowzers. |
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Post by cozpregon on Mar 29, 2020 13:48:14 GMT -6
Fully verified?- as a Met I would have much higher standards for myself
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Mar 29, 2020 14:24:57 GMT -6
They likely saved lives today..... just shows how important you Mets are to our communities Just now catching up to the Corner. 7+ minutes into a tornado on the ground and no warning? Yowzers. Yea that’s a pretty epic screw up |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 29, 2020 14:33:13 GMT -6
The moderate risk and associated PDS watch busted pretty bad yesterday IMO. An enhanced risk for central IL and non PDS watch would of been more than adequate yesterday
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Post by bear1 on Mar 29, 2020 16:06:13 GMT -6
In other news... Country singer "Joe Diffy" died today of complications from the corona-virus. He was 61.  |
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Post by Worldserieschampions (Chicago) on Mar 29, 2020 21:18:01 GMT -6
That was a bad SPC forecast. There are like no storm reports in the giant enhanced risk and they update these outlooks practically until it’s happening.
Better luck next time
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Post by beaker - Dardenne Prairie, MO on Mar 30, 2020 7:46:14 GMT -6
When i start to think that an spc guidance has gone bad is when i see a large number of storm reports outside a delineated area. I dont see that here. Im not a fan of the scale (slight, enhanced, etc), so i dont read too much into those. I dont know how these outlooks are used operationally, but it seems like every outbreak was watched, and warned. As a met, yes, always do a postmortem on these kinds of things and outline new requirements for data next time. But im not a met, and the rationale for the outlook has always made sense. Take away the state boundaries, and you do see storm reports were within and followed the general size of the delineation. When you get into the "well nothing happened imby", that so many general populations do, credibility does suffer, but as long as these false positives diminish over time, the public shld be ok. I know that im happy we didnt get anything.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Mar 30, 2020 10:35:35 GMT -6
It was looking like a cool first half of April. But just like the models did all winter they have now flipped and look warm
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Post by Snowman99 on Mar 30, 2020 10:52:35 GMT -6
How did Dave's cold and snowy March turn out? Lol
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Post by BRTNWXMAN on Mar 30, 2020 11:21:28 GMT -6
It was looking like a cool first half of April. But just like the models did all winter they have now flipped and look warm Yeah, it looked like we were heading towards a -NAO/-EPO but the -NAO becomes strongly west-based with the hugely anomalous ridge building west of Hudson Bay. That forces the cold air to dump into the W US which pumps up the ridging across the E US after the cut-off low finally moves offshore late this week. So it's looking substantially warmer than it was through early April for sure. |
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Post by maddogchief on Mar 30, 2020 11:39:32 GMT -6
It was looking like a cool first half of April. But just like the models did all winter they have now flipped and look warm Yeah, it looked like we were heading towards a -NAO/-EPO but the -NAO becomes strongly west-based with the hugely anomalous ridge building west of Hudson Bay. That forces the cold air to dump into the W US which pumps up the ridging across the E US after the cut-off low finally moves offshore late this week. So it's looking substantially warmer than it was through early April for sure. Agreed. I was hoping this pattern was going to break down and flip, but alas, it continues to chug along. |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Mar 30, 2020 12:37:25 GMT -6
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Post by REB on Mar 30, 2020 15:01:07 GMT -6
Teton County Wyoming
..WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM MDT TUESDAY...
WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 12 to
18 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.
WHERE...Teton and Gros Ventre Mountains.
WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 11 PM MDT Tuesday.
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Post by ElburnDave on Mar 30, 2020 15:25:56 GMT -6
Teton County Wyoming ..WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM MDT TUESDAY... WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 12 to 18 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. WHERE...Teton and Gros Ventre Mountains. WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 11 PM MDT Tuesday. My favorite place on the planet |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Mar 30, 2020 16:53:56 GMT -6
Teton County Wyoming ..WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM MDT TUESDAY... WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 12 to 18 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. WHERE...Teton and Gros Ventre Mountains. WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 11 PM MDT Tuesday. Don't know if it still is but I-90 over Snoqualmie Pass was closed earlier today by similar conditions. |
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Post by Chris Higgins on Mar 31, 2020 7:22:05 GMT -6
Taking timeout to ask your prayers for Matt Chambers over at KMOV... and his family. His dad just passed away (not COVID related) and I can only imagine how rough that is given our current situation. Matt is a great guy with a big heart and I'm sure he could use your thoughts and prayers.
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Mar 31, 2020 9:22:11 GMT -6
Prayers for Matt and his family
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Post by amstilost on Mar 31, 2020 9:26:32 GMT -6
Heartfelt condolences and prayers for Matt and his family.
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Post by Snowman99 on Mar 31, 2020 9:37:45 GMT -6
Matt appears to be a great guy and very nice. I gave him my condolences on twitter and thinking of him and his family.
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Post by dschreib on Mar 31, 2020 10:58:46 GMT -6
Taking timeout to ask your prayers for Matt Chambers over at KMOV... and his family. His dad just passed away (not COVID related) and I can only imagine how rough that is given our current situation. Matt is a great guy with a big heart and I'm sure he could use your thoughts and prayers. We had a funeral in the family last week. One of the strangest things I've been a part of. There were a handful of us at the funeral home, no hand shaking, hugging, etc. Then a brief service at the cemetery...and then we went home. No meal, no gathering. Planning on a "celebration of life" type event later. We're lucky enough that we live in a small town and they waived the 8-person limit, or whatever it was supposed to be. I think we had 12. |
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Post by demerson- Fletcher MO on Mar 31, 2020 17:54:35 GMT -6
It was nice to miss the rain today. Give the river a chance to calm down a bit out here.
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Post by Snowman99 on Mar 31, 2020 18:42:31 GMT -6
Yellowstone volcano wants some attention too. 6.5 earthquake a little while ago. It was in central Idaho, close enough. lol I say bring it!  |
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Post by bdgwx on Mar 31, 2020 18:50:14 GMT -6
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Post by bdgwx on Mar 31, 2020 18:52:00 GMT -6
Lol..99. I only saw your post after I submitted mine. I guess there's lot of interesting goings-on right now...
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