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Post by showtime - Marissa on Dec 14, 2019 15:25:04 GMT -6
Could someone post the nam snowfall map if it is allowed? Thanks! Kuchera method might be alittle over baked on totals but you get the idea
Thank you so much!!! Great map! |
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Post by unclesam6 on Dec 14, 2019 15:25:58 GMT -6
I'd take another 16.5 inch storm.
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BDS
Wishcaster
Columbia, MO
Posts: 202 
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Post by BDS on Dec 14, 2019 15:30:48 GMT -6
I always like to watch the wildlife in the day or two before a storm.
Tons of bird activity today.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Dec 14, 2019 15:30:55 GMT -6
Those are some perdy colors on the NAM.
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 14, 2019 15:32:50 GMT -6
zone forecast are out. The one for franklin county is kind of underwhelming, also not sure the numbers add up.
LATE THIS AFTERNOON...Cloudy. Temperature rising to the lower
30s. Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph.
.TONIGHT...Cloudy. Low in the mid 20s. Light wind.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy. Chance of snow in the morning, then snow in the
afternoon. Snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches. High in the lower
30s. East wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 90 percent.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Snow, possibly mixed with rain and freezing rain
in the evening, then rain and freezing rain likely after
midnight. Snow accumulation less than a half inch. Ice
accumulation up to one tenth of an inch. Near steady temperature
around 30. Northeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation
90 percent.
.MONDAY...Rain and freezing rain, possibly mixed with snow in the
morning, then snow in the afternoon. Snow accumulation less than
one inch. A light glazing expected. High in the lower 30s. North
wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Colder. Cloudy with snow likely in the evening,
then partly cloudy with slight chance of snow after midnight.
Snow accumulation less than one inch. Total snow accumulation
around 2 inches. Low around 17. Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph.
Chance of snow 60 percent.
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BDS
Wishcaster
Columbia, MO
Posts: 202
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Post by BDS on Dec 14, 2019 15:32:59 GMT -6
I'd take another 16.5 inch storm. That was my third 16 inch plus storm since I’ve lived in Columbia. 06, 11 and 19 |
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Dec 14, 2019 15:33:47 GMT -6
Ya we ended up getting about 11.5 inches during that Jan storm. It melted and compacted pretty fast too if i remember. I don't think all of it did, but it got real wet amd sloppy the next day.
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Post by dmbstl on Dec 14, 2019 15:33:56 GMT -6
I always like to watch the wildlife in the day or two before a storm. Tons of bird activity today. The squirrels are going something crazy today around my house. |
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Post by unclesam6 on Dec 14, 2019 15:34:30 GMT -6
I love the cloudy, cold atmosphere... no leaves on the trees. Feels like pure winter outside.
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Post by unclesam6 on Dec 14, 2019 15:35:40 GMT -6
I love the cloudy, cold atmosphere... no leaves on the trees. Feels like pure winter outside. Has the same vibe as the "hot, humid, sunny day" preceding severe weather... except flip flopped. and I'm way more excited for it. |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 14, 2019 15:38:08 GMT -6
I love the cloudy, cold atmosphere... no leaves on the trees. Feels like pure winter outside. Has the same vibe as the "hot, humid, sunny day" preceding severe weather... except flip flopped. and I'm way more excited for it. I love the feeling right before a winter storm, but nothing gets my juices going like the feeling right before a major severe weather outbreak. It’s almost like you can “feel” the energy in the atmosphere |
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BDS
Wishcaster
Columbia, MO
Posts: 202
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Post by BDS on Dec 14, 2019 15:41:27 GMT -6
Certainly riding a fine line on precip types and accumulations looking at the zone forecast.
Shows 5-7 in Columbia and 2 inches 30 miles away in Jeff City.
Fun times for the meteorologists!
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Dec 14, 2019 15:41:28 GMT -6
I always like to watch the wildlife in the day or two before a storm. Tons of bird activity today. The squirrels are going something crazy today around my house. We've lots of crows screeching around outside. That doesn't usually happen. |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Dec 14, 2019 15:43:42 GMT -6
Is there going to be much wind with this?
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twocat
Junior Forecaster
North St. Peters off Cave Springs
Posts: 395 
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Post by twocat on Dec 14, 2019 15:49:07 GMT -6
We took the 4-year-old grandkid to the St. Charles Main Street Christmas festivities this afternoon. It was cold, cold, cold. However, it was tolerable due to the buildings and all the people. What a great time it was! Truly an old fashioned Christmas celebration.
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Post by Snowman99 on Dec 14, 2019 16:00:48 GMT -6
gfs is solid
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Post by addicted2wx - Villa Ridge, Mo on Dec 14, 2019 16:06:39 GMT -6
Sure looks like totals for Franklin County are really going need a bump up from that 2” total. That GFS is a thing of beauty!
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 14, 2019 16:55:08 GMT -6
RAP continues to inch south.
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Post by Lovableweatherguy TROY,MO on Dec 14, 2019 17:00:18 GMT -6
Has the same vibe as the "hot, humid, sunny day" preceding severe weather... except flip flopped. and I'm way more excited for it. I love the feeling right before a winter storm, but nothing gets my juices going like the feeling right before a major severe weather outbreak. It’s almost like you can “feel” the energy in the atmosphere Exactly how i always feel. But be cautious, someone on here might think we wish for destruction and death too. 😉 |
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Post by mosue56 on Dec 14, 2019 17:01:24 GMT -6
The bird feeder is full! Heading to church for the Christmas choir concert in case tomorrow night is cancelled!
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luvhockey
Junior Forecaster
Arnold MO 1/2 mile from the Meramec Mississippi confluence
Posts: 455
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Post by luvhockey on Dec 14, 2019 17:20:41 GMT -6
It was cold and windy putting wreaths out for Wreaths Across America.
Amazing to see the huge amt of volunteers out helping.
Over 20k wreaths put on graves in about 1.5hrs. Twice as many as last year. Still 160k short.
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 14, 2019 17:20:44 GMT -6
Using the cobb method and factoring in compaction, the 18z NAM has just under 5" of measured snow at Lambert after wave 2  |
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Post by Frivolousz21 on Dec 14, 2019 17:22:18 GMT -6
The RAP continues to trend further South.
So much so with WAVE #1:
It has the main axis of accumulating snow along and SE of I44.
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woogie
Weather Weenie
west end of Belleville
Posts: 40
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Post by woogie on Dec 14, 2019 17:22:22 GMT -6
We have a carriage ride scheduled through Tissis Park scheduled for tomorrow night, starting to wonder if we are going to make it!
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Post by bdgwx on Dec 14, 2019 17:25:34 GMT -6
Using the cobb method and factoring in compaction, the 18z NAM has just under 5" of measured snow at Lambert after wave 2 Those are cool plots. Where did you find them? |
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Post by Snowstorm920 on Dec 14, 2019 17:32:23 GMT -6
Using the cobb method and factoring in compaction, the 18z NAM has just under 5" of measured snow at Lambert after wave 2 Those are cool plots. Where did you find them?
I actually just found it a few days ago. You can configure everything about the graphs on the right-hand side
This article helps explain some of it
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Post by STGOutdoors on Dec 14, 2019 17:35:28 GMT -6
The RAP continues to trend further South. So much so with WAVE #1: It has the main axis of accumulating snow along and SE of I44. HRRR heading that way too. |
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Post by showtime - Marissa on Dec 14, 2019 17:48:30 GMT -6
About a 30-40 mile shift south would make almost all of us happy
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socotpt
Weather Weenie
South County near 255 & Telegraph
Posts: 44
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Post by socotpt on Dec 14, 2019 18:07:05 GMT -6
It was cold and windy putting wreaths out for Wreaths Across America. Amazing to see the huge amt of volunteers out helping. Over 20k wreaths put on graves in about 1.5hrs. Twice as many as last year. Still 160k short. It was definitely colder this year than last year!! My group didn't last too long. |
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Post by guyatacomputer - NE St. Peters on Dec 14, 2019 18:24:02 GMT -6
We have a carriage ride scheduled through Tissis Park scheduled for tomorrow night, starting to wonder if we are going to make it! If you go it should be beautiful with the new snow. |
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