National Weather Service Watch Warning Advisory Summary
Hurricane Local Statement
Hurricane Florence Local Statement Advisory Number 58
NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-103-104-140530-
Hurricane Florence Local Statement Advisory Number 58
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC AL062018
530 PM EDT Thu Sep 13 2018
This product covers Eastern North Carolina
**DANGEROUS HURRICANE FLORENCE IS BRINGING LIFE-THREATENING
STORM SURGE AND POTENTIALLY HISTORIC RAINFALL WITH CATASTROPHIC
FLOODING TO PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- None
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Duplin, Greene, and Lenoir
- A Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect for
Beaufort, Carteret, Craven, Jones, Mainland Dare, Mainland
Hyde, Martin, Onslow, Outer Banks Dare, Outer Banks Hyde,
Pamlico, Pitt, Tyrrell, and Washington
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 110 miles south-southwest of Buxton NC or about 80 miles
south-southeast of Morehead City NC
- 33.7N 76.2W
- Storm Intensity 100 mph
- Movement West-northwest or 295 degrees at 5 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
Hurricane Florence remains a dangerous category 2 hurricane. The
center of the storm is expected to make landfall in southeast North
Carolina tonight and early Friday morning. Eastern North Carolina is
expected to see significant to potentially life threatening impacts,
including extreme storm surge, catastrophic and possibly historic
flooding rains, and damaging winds. Florence has already slowed down
to a crawl, and will continue a very slow westward motion until
landfall, prolonging these dangerous conditions into Friday and
Saturday.
On the current forecast track, hurricane force winds in excess of
74 mph will continue this afternoon. The strongest winds are expected
tonight into early Friday. Extreme winds in excess of 100 mph are
possible across the southern coastal areas. Tropical storm force winds
of 40 mph will expand north and west this evening into tonight. The
saturated ground and long duration of high winds will increase the
threat for downed trees and the likelihood for widespread power
outages.
The potential for historic flooding exists across portions of Eastern
North Carolina due to the prolonged period of heavy rainfall as
Florence slowly moves into the Carolinas. The current rainfall
forecast indicates widespread amounts of 1 to 2 FEET with locally
higher amounts over 3 FEET of rain possible. Highest rainfall total
are expected southern half to the area. The heavy rain will continue
through Saturday. These rainfall amounts would cause catastrophic
flash flooding during the storm, followed by significant and prolonged
river flooding lasting well into next week.
Major and potentially record river flooding is expected for rivers and
streams primarily over Duplin, Onslow, Carteret, and Craven Counties
where the heaviest rain is likely to fall. Elsewhere all other rivers
and streams are vulnerable to moderate or major flooding with this
storm. Many will reach flood stage as early as Friday night, and will
continue to rise well into next week. Given the generally slow rise of
area rivers, most won`t crest until mid to late next week extending
the impacts from this long duration flood event.
Extreme storm surge impacts are expected with Hurricane Florence.
Based on the current forecast, inundation of up to 7 to 11 feet above
ground with locally higher amounts will be possible near and to the
north and east of the center of the storm across the southern North
Carolina coast, including the Pamlico Sound, Neuse and Pamlico Rivers,
as well as adjacent streams and bays. Moderate to significant storm
surge flooding is expected over the northern coast with inundation of
3 to 6 feet above ground. A small shift in the track could change what
locations may see the most significant inundation.
High surf and large breaking waves will likely result in extreme beach
erosion and ocean overwash along the North Carolina coast today into
Friday.
Isolated to several tornadoes will continue to be possible through
Friday.
Very dangerous marine conditions, with extreme seas of 20 to 40 feet,
will continue into the weekend. A high threat of rip currents and
large and dangerous breaking waves in the surf zone will produce
extremely hazardous beach conditions.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* SURGE:
Potential impacts from the main surge event are now unfolding across
areas adjacent to Pamlico Sound, Neuse, Bay and Pamlico Rivers, and
along the Crystal Coast. Remain well away from life-threatening
surge having additional devastating impacts. If realized, these
impacts include:
- Widespread deep inundation, with storm surge flooding greatly
accentuated by powerful battering waves. Structural damage to
buildings, with many washing away. Damage greatly compounded
from considerable floating debris. Locations may be
uninhabitable for an extended period.
- Near-shore escape routes and secondary roads washed out or
severely flooded. Flood control systems and barriers may become
stressed.
- Extreme beach erosion. New shoreline cuts possible.
- Massive damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
Numerous small craft broken away from moorings with many lifted
onshore and stranded.
* FLOODING RAIN:
Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across
much of Eastern North Carolina. Remain well guarded against
life-threatening flood waters having additional devastating impacts.
If realized, these impacts include:
- Extreme rainfall flooding may prompt numerous evacuations and
rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may overwhelmingly overflow their banks
in many places with deep moving water. Small streams, creeks,
canals, and ditches may become raging rivers. Flood control
systems and barriers may become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter numerous structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
away. Numerous places where flood waters may cover escape
routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of raging water
with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become very
dangerous. Numerous road and bridge closures with some weakened
or washed out.
* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across
much of southeast North Carolina. Remain well sheltered from
life-threatening wind having additional extensive impacts. If realized,
these impacts include:
- Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having
window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural
damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed.
Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be
uninhabitable for weeks.
- Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways, and
access routes impassable.
- Large areas with power and communications outages.
Potential impacts from the main wind event are also now unfolding
across northeast North Carolina. Remain well sheltered from
dangerous wind having additional limited to significant impacts.
* TORNADOES:
Potential impacts from tornadoes are still unfolding across far
eastern North Carolina. Remain well braced against a dangerous tornado
event having additional significant impacts. If realized, these impacts
include:
- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.
- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or
uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about.
Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.
Potential impacts from tornadoes are still unfolding across the coastal
plain of eastern North Carolina. Remain well braced against a tornado
event having possible limited impacts.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
Do not enter evacuated areas until officials have given the all clear
to return.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to stay inside and away from windows. Listen for
updates and be ready in case you lose electrical power. Keep a
battery-powered radio, charged cell phone and flashlight handy.
During the peak of the storm be ready to move quickly. Keep your
shoes on and rain gear handy. Boots and athletic shoes offer the best
foot protection if you become unexpectedly exposed to the weather.
Keep your cell phone charged and in power-saving mode. If you lose
power, use it sparingly and mainly for personal emergencies and
check-ins.
Do not be a thrill seeker or risk your life for senseless photos or
videos.
Quickly move to the safest place within your shelter if it begins to
fail, preferably an interior room on the lowest floor as long as
flooding is not a concern.
If you are prone to flooding or in an area under a storm surge watch
or warning, be prepared for the possibility of a quick and dramatic
rise in water levels.
If a tornado warning is issued for your area, quickly move to the
safest place within your shelter. Protect your head and body.
If an Extreme Wind Warning is issued for your area, move to the
safest place within your shelter. Take the same life-saving actions
as if it were a violent tornado.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Newport/Morehead City NC around 6 PM EDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
527 PM EDT Thu Sep 13 2018
NCZ029-044>047-080-081-092>094-142130-
Martin-Pitt-Washington-Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-Beaufort-Mainland Hyde-
Jones-Craven-Pamlico-
527 PM EDT Thu Sep 13 2018
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...
...TORNADO WATCH 371 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...
...STORM SURGE WARNING IN EFFECT...
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Tornado Watch.
Flash Flood Watch.
Storm Surge Warning.
Hurricane Warning.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Flash Flood Watch.
Storm Surge Warning.
Hurricane Warning.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Flash Flood Watch
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
526 PM EDT Thu Sep 13 2018
...EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE FLORENCE WILL
LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODING...
.Hurricane Florence will impact the area into the weekend,
bringing potentially historic rainfall amounts and unprecedented
flooding across southern portions of eastern North Carolina.
NCZ029-044>047-079>081-103-140530-
/O.CON.KMHX.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-180916T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Martin-Pitt-Washington-Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-Greene-Beaufort-
Mainland Hyde-Outer Banks Dare-
Including the cities of Williamston, Robersonville, Oak City,
Jamesville, Greenville, Bethel, Farmville, Grifton, Grimesland,
Plymouth, Roper, Creswell, Columbia, Gum Neck, Manns Harbor,
Stumpy Point, East Lake, Snow Hill, Hookerton, Walstonburg,
Washington, Chocowinity, Belhaven, Bath, Aurora, Engelhard,
Fairfield, Ponzer, Scranton, Swanquarter, Kitty Hawk, Nags Head,
Manteo, Rodanthe, Buxton, and Hatteras Village
526 PM EDT Thu Sep 13 2018
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...
The Flash Flood Watch continues for
* A portion of eastern North Carolina, including the following
areas, Beaufort, Greene, Mainland Dare, Mainland Hyde, Martin,
Outer Banks Dare, Pitt, Tyrrell, and Washington.
* Through Saturday evening
* Widespread and extremely heavy rain associated with Hurricane
Florence will continue into the weekend. Rainfall totals of 4 to
12 inches, with locally higher amounts, are possible through
Saturday.
* Significant Flash Flooding can be expected.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.
&&
$$
Hurricane Warning
Florence Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 58
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC AL062018
511 PM EDT Thu Sep 13 2018
NCZ081-140515-
/O.CON.KMHX.SS.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.HU.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Mainland Hyde-
511 PM EDT Thu Sep 13 2018
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Swan Quarter
- Fairfield
- Engelhard
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Strong Tropical Storm force
wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 45-60 mph with gusts to 75 mph
- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: until early Saturday
morning
- POTENTIAL THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Potential for wind 58 to
73 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for dangerous wind of equivalent strong tropical
storm force due to possible forecast changes in track,
size, or intensity.
- PREPARE: Last minute efforts to protect life and property
should now be complete. The area remains subject to
significant wind damage.
- ACT: Now is the time to shelter from dangerous wind.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding.
* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 7-10 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: through early Sunday evening
- POTENTIAL THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 9 feet above ground
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Shelter against extreme life-threatening storm surge
flooding greater than 9 feet above ground.
- PREPARE: All ordered evacuations should be complete.
Evacuees should be in shelters well away from storm surge
flooding.
- ACT: Remain sheltered in a safe location. Do not venture
outside. Move to upper floors to escape rising water if
necessary.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flash Flood Watch is in effect
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally
higher amounts
- POTENTIAL THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Potential for major
flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are
likely.
- PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially
if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding.
- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take
action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and
rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches
may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and
barriers may become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or
washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover
escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of
moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions
become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some
weakened or washed out.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Tornado Watch is in effect
- Situation is favorable for tornadoes
- POTENTIAL THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Potential for several
tornadoes
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should continue to include the
potential for several tornadoes.
- PREPARE: Stay within your shelter keeping informed of the
latest tornado situation.
- ACT: Move quickly to the safest place within your shelter
if a tornado warning is issued.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the
execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few
spots of considerable damage, power loss, and
communications failures.
- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped
or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed
about. Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
-
ready.gov/hurricanes$$
Tornado Watch
WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 371
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
254 PM EDT THU SEP 13 2018
NCC013-031-049-055-061-079-095-103-107-117-133-137-147-177-187-
140100-
/O.CON.KMHX.TO.A.0371.000000T0000Z-180914T0100Z/
TORNADO WATCH 371 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IN NORTH CAROLINA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 15 COUNTIES
IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
BEAUFORT CARTERET CRAVEN
DARE DUPLIN GREENE
HYDE JONES LENOIR
MARTIN ONSLOW PAMLICO
PITT TYRRELL WASHINGTON
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF ARAPAHOE, ATLANTIC BEACHEMERALD ISLE,
AURORA, BATH, BAYBORO, BEAUFORT, BELHAVEN, BETHEL, BEULAVILLE,
BUXTON, CHOCOWINITY, COLUMBIA, COVE CITY, CRESWELL, ENGELHARD,
FAIRFIELD, FAISON, FARMVILLE, GREENVILLE, GRIFTON, GRIMESLAND,
GUM NECK, HAVELOCK, HOOKERTON, JACKSONVILLE, JAMESVILLE,
KENANSVILLE, KINSTON, KITTY HAWK, LA GRANGE, MANTEO, MAYSVILLE,
MOREHEAD CITY, NAGS HEAD, NEW BERN, NEWPORT, NORTH TOPSAIL BEACH,
OAK CITY, OCRACOKE, ORIENTAL, PINK HILL, PLYMOUTH, POLLOCKSVILLE,
RICHLANDS, ROBERSONVILLE, RODANTHE, ROPER, SCRANTON, SNOW HILL,
STUMPY POINT, SWANQUARTER, SWANSBORO, TRENTON, VANCEBORO,
VANDEMERE, WALLACE, WALSTONBURG, WARSAW, WASHINGTON,
AND WILLIAMSTON.
$$
U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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